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Zambia: Creditors, IMF raise ‘reservations’ on bondholder deal

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Following a debt restructuring agreement reached between Zambia and an international bondholder group, the country’s finance ministry has revealed that there are concerns as official creditors and the International Monetary Fund have “expressed reservations.”

The ministry said in a statement that Zambia and the bondholder group’s steering committee were continuing talks despite the official creditor committee and the IMF voicing their doubts during discussions over the “last several days.”

According to a source quoted by Reuters, the steering committee and the government are now having discussions under extended non-disclosure agreements.

Following the announcement of the bondholder deal, Zambia’s three existing international bonds, valued at $3 billion, saw a surge in value. The plan calls for the issuance of two additional “amortising” bonds with maturities set for 2035 and 2053, for a total value of $3.135 billion, which is greater than the face value of the existing outstanding Eurobond debt.

Since the announcement of the deal in principle, the bonds have appreciated. But the news of the IMF and official creditors’ reservations has caused Zambia’s bonds to decline; at 08:58 GMT, the 2024-dated note was down more than 0.9 cents on the dollar to 63.036 cents.

If Zambia’s economy outperforms forecasts during a monitoring period within 2026–2028, the 2053 bond’s maturity would also be pushed forward to 2035, with higher coupon payments.

Observers have pointed out that under the “base case” scenario, bondholders would receive over $500 million in amortisation for 2024–2025 in addition to over $100 million in annual interest payments; official creditors, on the other hand, have been granted a three-year grace period and lower interest rates than bondholders.

Zambia went into default on its external debts three years ago, causing an economic downturn following the COVID-19 pandemic. The Southern African country has since sought restructuring from its bilateral creditors with the hope of stabilizing its economy.

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Nigeria’s Petroleum Regulator begins bidding round for 12 oil blocks

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The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission has announced the start of the bidding process for 12 oil blocks recently put up for sale. It also marks the beginning of the 2024 Nigeria Petroleum Licensing Round and the continuation of the 2022/2023 mini-bid round.

This was stated in a press release issued by the commission’s CEO, Gbenga Komolafe, on Monday in Abuja. Last month, the commission made the first announcement about the bidding process.

It also waived the signing bonus requirement throughout the bidding process to entice investors to bid on the auctioned oil blocks.

He said, “On behalf of the Federal Government of Nigeria, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission is pleased to announce the commencement of the 2024 Petroleum Licensing Round.”

On the number of blocks for the offer, Komolafe noted, “We have identified 12 blocks that cut across deep offshore, shallow water and onshore terrains to be made available to interested investors.”

According to him, this licensing round represents a key milestone in our commitment to supporting long-term growth and innovation in the energy sector, as well as creating economic prospects for investment to stimulate new exploration and development activities in our petroleum landscape.

He explained that the 2024 Licensing Round will provide an opportunity for domestic and foreign parties to participate in the exploration and development of Nigeria’s hydrocarbon resources. He emphasized that having access to high-quality geological and geophysical data is important to this approach.

Komolafe stated that the National Data Repository of NUPRC, in partnership with multi-client partners, is committed to providing prospective bidders with access to broad and strong datasets to help them make better decisions.

Commenting on the 12-block offer, he stated that it is consistent with the licensing round’s objectives and includes a varied range of exploratory possibilities and discoveries with varying technical and operational preferences.

Komolafe added, “Our goal for this licensing round is to harness innovative exploration techniques and foster partnerships that will enhance our production capabilities and ensure environmental sustainability.

“We anticipate that this initiative will not only expand our operations but also significantly contribute to the global energy supply, aligning with international energy security goals.”

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Ecobank’s $183 million impairment losses highlight hazards in sovereign bonds

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Ecobank, a pan-African banking group, has more than doubled its impairment losses on Ghana’s problematic Eurobonds to $183 million, highlighting the extent of risk that African lenders face when investing in state bonds.

The Lome-based lender also stated that it had removed around $39 million in interest income collected on the $13 billion Ghanaian Eurobonds from its 2023 financial statements due to continuing and yet-to-be-completed restructuring discussions with commercial bondholders.

The latest impairment losses represent a 144%  increase from $75 million in 2022.

“As of year-end 2023, the total impairment charges on Government of Ghana Eurobonds are estimated at $183 million, a significant rise from $75 million in year-end 2022,” the lender says in its audited financial statement for 2023.

“Additionally, $26 million of modification losses were incurred on the GoG debt net of impairment charge releases due to the final settlement of the old bonds for the new bonds in February under the Domestic Debt Exchange Programme.

Ecobank operates in 35 African nations, including Kenya, Burundi, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Ghana, and Cote d’Ivoire. Moody’s Investor Service, a global rating organization, has previously urged banks against excessive lending to governments, warning that their credit profiles risk being lowered alongside those of governments facing liquidity constraints.

Zambia secured an agreement with its creditors in March to restructure $3.5 billion Eurobonds, bringing respite to Lusaka, which has been grappling with a long-running debt problem. As part of the agreement, bondholders agreed to extend payment dates, allowing Lusaka to continue receiving funding from a $1.3 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) project.

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