During the first half of the year ending June 30, 2023 (H1’23), there was an 88.17% year-on-year increase in capital inflow into Nigeria’s manufacturing sector.
Data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) revealed that investment in the sector increased from $457.66 million in H1’22 to $861.17 million in H1’23.
Additionally, the data demonstrates that during the six months, the manufacturing sector’s share of total capital inflow increased by 25.08 percentage points, from 14.73% in H1’22 to 39.81% in H1’23. In H1’23, the total amount of capital imported was $2.163 billion.
The sector’s inflow rose 136.2% on a quarter-over-quarter basis in Q2’23, reaching $605.04 million from $256.12 million in Q1’22. In Q2 2023; this also accounted for 58.73% of all capital imports.
According to the sectoral breakdown, the manufacturing sector saw the largest inflow during that time, coming in second with $499.14 million, followed by the banking sector.
Economic and investment strategist, Ayorinde Akinloye commented on the development, expressing surprise at the increase in capital flowing into the manufacturing sector and claiming it was more of an anomaly.
He stated, “I don’t think there’s a broad economic explanation for what happened. It is likely a situation whereby a major piece of equipment was imported into the sector. You will recall that sometime in 2018, Aliko Dangote imported one piece of equipment for his refinery, which boosted imported capital and foreign trade at that time. That may be what also happened in this case.”
Akinloye, however, said that the fact that the surge seen during the period was an outlier would make it difficult to sustain the trend as we advance.
“The economic fundamentals that should aid improvement in capital importation through production and manufacturing are not there. Foreign exchange (forex) remains a problem; the business operating environment also remains quite difficult,” he said.