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Private sector concerned as Nigeria’s central bank raises interest rate to 26.25% 

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The decision of Nigeria’s central bank’s Monetary Policy Committee to raise the country’s benchmark interest rate has alarmed members of the organized private sector and economists alike, some of whom believe it will severely impair the ability of business operators to repay their debts.

The decision of the committee was declared by Olayemi Cardoso, the governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria and chairman of the MPC, after the latter’s 295th meeting on Tuesday.

The interest rate was increased by 150 basis points by the MPC, from 24.74% to 26.25%. The benchmark interest rate increased for the third time this year on Tuesday with the MPR boost.

The policymakers raised the MPR by 750 basis points since the MPC reconvened in February. In February, the MPR jumped from 18.55% to 22.75%, a 400 basis point rise. In March, it was raised by 200 basis points to 24.75%.

Cardoso said, “The key focus of the MPC at this meeting remained to achieve price stability by effectively using tools available to the monetary authority to rein in inflation. Members observed that while year-on-year headline inflation in April 2024 rose moderately, the month-on-month measures of headline, food and core all declined significantly. This follows a decline (month-on-month) of headline and food measures in March 2024, suggesting that the recent tight monetary policy stance of the Bank is beginning to yield the desired outcomes.”

Cardoso added, “For the first time since October, we have seen a relatively significant moderation in the rate of increase and that is working. I believe very strongly that the tool that the central bank is using is working. I have said it before, there is no magic wand, these are things that need to take their own time. I’m confident and the figures show that we are beginning to get some relief and I believe in a couple of more months, we will see some positive reports on the effects of what the CBN is doing.”

Cardoso defended the decision to raise the MPR once more during a press conference on Tuesday following the MPC meeting. In the face of an uncertain economic environment, the MPC has remained hawkish in its approach to combating inflation.

Nigeria’s inflation rate increased to 33.69% in April. As compared to the headline inflation rate for March 2024, the National Bureau of Statistics reports that the headline inflation rate for April 2024 increased by 0.49 percentage points.

According to the NBS, the headline inflation rate increased by 11.47 percentage points year over year from the 22.22% rate reported in April 2023. In April 2024, food inflation was 40.53%. Cardoso stated that the MPC has connected the ongoing naira volatility to the principles of the free market.

“Members further observed the recent volatility in the foreign exchange market attributing this to seasonal demand, a reflection of the interplay between demand and supply of a freely functioning market system. The committee also noticed the marginal increase in the foreign reserve between March and April 2024,” he said.

Segun Kuti-George, National Vice Chairman of the Nigerian Association of Small-Scale Industrialists, denounced the Interest Rate Increase by MPC. At a time when many firms were depending on loans to operate, Kuti-George argued it was callous to keep rising interest rates.

He said, “That is the only thing they know. The only thing they know is to increase the interest rate. As long as the industrial sector cannot access cheap funds, we are joking. We cannot be talking about economic development.”

In addition, Gabriel Idahosa, the president of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, who disagreed with the rate hike, charged that the CBN was employing the incorrect measure to combat inflation.

Idahosa said, “The CBN is like a farmer that does not have any other tool. So, they are stuck with one tool. We just came out of a consultation session and this was the issue. The CBN is driving a metric that is not related to the problem.

“The problem is the cost of production. It has nothing to do with interest rates. It is not advisable to keep raising the interest rates, but they have run out of ideas and they don’t want to be seen to do nothing.”

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Nigeria obtains $600 million international loans for agriculture

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To promote food security and rural development, the Nigerian government, through the Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security, has obtained more than $600 million in foreign agricultural loans in 2024.

A $134 million credit facility from the African Development Bank was acquired by the government to increase seed and grain production across the country, according to information on the ministry’s website.

“The Federal Government has secured a loan facility of $134m from the African Development Bank to help farmers boost seeds and grain production in the country,” the statement read.

The fund now stands at $634 million after the Federal Government obtained a $500 million loan from the World Bank under the Rural Access and Agricultural Marketing Project.

The project will encourage social and economic growth in rural regions while enhancing access to hospitals, schools, and agricultural centres. Its goal is to close the gap between rural communities and bigger markets.

According to Aliyu Abdullahi, Minister of State for Agriculture and Food Security, states must establish operational road funds and road agencies to receive RAAMP monies.

Aminu Mohammed, the RAAMP National Coordinator, emphasised the project’s emphasis on rural infrastructure:

“The primary objective of RAAMP is to improve rural roads and trading infrastructure to boost food production,” Mohammed said.

The initiative, already underway in 19 states, will distribute funds competitively according to socioeconomic factors, implementation preparedness, and state co-finance pledges.

By creating Rural Access Road Authorities, the project also aims to increase the representation of women in the transportation industry.

The World Bank will contribute $500 million in the second phase of RAAMP, with the federal and state governments contributing $100 million in matching funds.

Farmers throughout Nigeria have criticised the Federal Government’s agricultural initiatives as being selective and badly executed, despite its attempts to increase agrarian activity through mechanisation, irrigation infrastructure, and in certain circumstances, financial support.

Many contend that the programs mostly help well-connected people, leaving off smallholder farmers, who are the foundation of Nigeria’s agriculture industry.

La’ah Dauda, a farmer from Kaduna, called the initiatives “very selective,” adding that even the data is scarce. They only raise awareness in areas that they find appealing. If others are left out, how can you recruit new farmers?

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Nigeria’s November inflation rate hits 34.60%

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According to figures released by the statistics office on Monday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the third consecutive month in November, rising from 33.88% in October to 34.60% in annual terms.

Following a brief period of respite in July and August, the naira devaluation and a string of rises in the price of petroleum have been blamed for the inflation spike that started in September.

The most populous nation in Africa is experiencing the worst cost-of-living crisis in decades as a result of these circumstances.

The central bank has hiked interest rates six times this year, for a total rise of 875 basis points, to counteract increasing inflation.

Due to price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil, food inflation increased to 39.93% year over year in November from 39.16% the month before, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

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