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Zambia: Creditors, IMF raise ‘reservations’ on bondholder deal

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Following a debt restructuring agreement reached between Zambia and an international bondholder group, the country’s finance ministry has revealed that there are concerns as official creditors and the International Monetary Fund have “expressed reservations.”

The ministry said in a statement that Zambia and the bondholder group’s steering committee were continuing talks despite the official creditor committee and the IMF voicing their doubts during discussions over the “last several days.”

According to a source quoted by Reuters, the steering committee and the government are now having discussions under extended non-disclosure agreements.

Following the announcement of the bondholder deal, Zambia’s three existing international bonds, valued at $3 billion, saw a surge in value. The plan calls for the issuance of two additional “amortising” bonds with maturities set for 2035 and 2053, for a total value of $3.135 billion, which is greater than the face value of the existing outstanding Eurobond debt.

Since the announcement of the deal in principle, the bonds have appreciated. But the news of the IMF and official creditors’ reservations has caused Zambia’s bonds to decline; at 08:58 GMT, the 2024-dated note was down more than 0.9 cents on the dollar to 63.036 cents.

If Zambia’s economy outperforms forecasts during a monitoring period within 2026–2028, the 2053 bond’s maturity would also be pushed forward to 2035, with higher coupon payments.

Observers have pointed out that under the “base case” scenario, bondholders would receive over $500 million in amortisation for 2024–2025 in addition to over $100 million in annual interest payments; official creditors, on the other hand, have been granted a three-year grace period and lower interest rates than bondholders.

Zambia went into default on its external debts three years ago, causing an economic downturn following the COVID-19 pandemic. The Southern African country has since sought restructuring from its bilateral creditors with the hope of stabilizing its economy.

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Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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