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Political factions in Sudan gather in Cairo with little chance of reconciliation

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Rival political groups in Sudan joined the first formal peace talks in Cairo on Saturday, nearly 15 months after hostilities started, but they acknowledged there was little chance of a speedy conclusion to the conflict.

The army-aligned Democratic Bloc declined to meet in combined sessions with the Taqaddum faction during the conference, claiming that the latter was sympathetic to the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The RSF did not come, nor did the army.

Since it broke out in April 2023, the Sudanese conflict has resulted in the forced displacement of nearly 10 million people, hunger warnings, and waves of ethnically motivated violence that have been primarily blamed on the RSF.

This week, the force that moved across the state of Sennar resulted in more displacement. General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, the army leader, responded by declaring that talks with the RSF or its backers would not take place.

“The stark deterioration in the humanitarian situation and the catastrophic consequences of this crisis, call on all of us to work immediately and sustainably to stop military operations,” said newly-appointed Egyptian foreign minister Badr Abdelatty.

The end of last year saw the breakdown of US-Saudi Arabia-sponsored talks between the army and RSF in Jeddah.

A coalition of armed organizations, civil society, and pro-democracy parties called Taqaddum has demanded that the war end. Multiple armed group leaders are fighting for the army-aligned Democratic Bloc.

At the beginning of the conference, the principal attendees were seated at opposite ends of the auditorium, despite Egypt’s ability to use its power to bring the gathering together.

The sole agreement reached by the two political groups was to establish a tiny subcommittee to draft a final communique demanding an end to the war, which three leaders of the Democratic Bloc who were fighting alongside the army refused to sign.

“We told them [the Egyptians] not to have high ambitions for this meeting,” Finance Minister Jibril Ibrahim told Reuters. He along with Darfur governor Minni Minawi and Sovereign Council deputy Malik Agar did not sign the communique.

“Given the situation on the ground, if we sit and eat and drink and laugh with the people who are allied and partners in the crimes that are happening we would be sending the wrong message to our citizens and our soldiers,” he said.

He continued by saying that unless the RSF leaves civilian areas by a deal reached in Jeddah last year and the United Arab Emirates stops providing material support to the RSF, an end to the conflict is not likely. Despite the UAE’s denials, U.N. experts have stated that allegations of such backing are plausible.

Abdalla Hamdok, the head of Taqaddum and a former prime minister, denied any connection between the alliance and the RSF, stating he was waiting for the army’s approval before the meeting.

“A crisis this complicated and deep is not expected to end in one meeting… The lesson is for us to be patient and to build on anything positive that comes out of it,” he told Reuters, echoing sentiments from diplomats at the meeting.

Tom Perriello, the Special Envoy of the United States, expressed optimism that the momentum from the meetings on Saturday will continue into next week’s meeting, which is one of several related efforts that the African Union has called.

 

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Politics

Ivory Coast: Ex-minister challenges ex-Credit Suisse boss Thiam for presidency

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Jean-Louis Billon, the former commerce minister of Ivory Coast, announced on Friday that he would challenge party head and former CEO of Credit Suisse, Tidjane Thiam, for the opposition PDCI party’s candidacy in the country’s 2025 presidential election.

The PDCI party, which dominated Ivory Coast from independence until the late 1990s but has had difficulty regaining power because of internal strife, may become even more divided due to Billon’s choice to run.

Thiam just won the PDCI leadership contest and returned to the country that produces the most cocoa worldwide.

His triumph stoked rumours that he may challenge or succeed President Alassane Ouattara. Neither man has made an official announcement about his plans.

Historically, the PDCI’s presidential candidate has been the organization’s leader.

The 59-year-old Billon was Ouattara’s trade minister and the former head of SIFCA, Ivory Coast’s leading agro-industrial organisation. In order to fairly choose the party’s presidential candidate, he demanded that a PDCI convention be held.

“I hope that this convention will be democratic, honest, and transparent, with no tricks or favouritism, no violence, and free from any tribal bias,” Billon said in a statement

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Sources suggest Sahel jihadis finding safety in Ghana

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According to seven sources cited by Reuters, Islamist militants in Burkina Faso are covertly utilising Ghana’s north as a medical and logistical rear camp to maintain their insurgency. This could allow them to increase their presence in West Africa.

 

According to the sources, which include regional diplomats and Ghanaian security officials, Ghanaian authorities seem to be largely ignoring the insurgents who are crossing over from neighbouring Burkina Faso to obtain food, fuel, and even explosives, as well as to receive medical attention for wounded fighters.

 

However, they said that strategy runs the risk of enabling terrorists to establish themselves in Ghana and recruit in some marginalised local areas, even though it has so far spared the country from the kind of devastating Islamist attacks that have afflicted its neighbours.

 

Ghana and Burkina Faso, which is at the centre of an insurgency that has killed thousands, displaced millions, and, according to some experts, made the Sahel region the epicentre of global terrorism as groups loyal to al Qaeda and Islamic State increase their presence, share a 600-kilometre (372-mile) border.

 

With the rise of JNIM, a pro-al Qaeda organisation, Burkina Faso has lost control of more than half of its territory. This week, a JNIM senior told French station RFI that the organization’s goal was to expand into Ghana, Togo, and Benin. Unlike Benin and Togo, Ghana has not experienced a significant attack.

 

Ghana’s ambassador to Burkina Faso, Boniface Gambila Adagbila, told Reuters that the militants were exploiting Ghana’s open borders and viewed the country as a “haven.”

 

However, he refuted claims that the government had inadvertently reached a non-aggression pact with the jihadists.

 

According to him, Ghana and Burkina Faso were collaborating to “flush them out”.

 

Since the beginning of October, attacks on companies have resulted in at least three fatalities and four injuries, according to an official.

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