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Political factions in Sudan gather in Cairo with little chance of reconciliation

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Rival political groups in Sudan joined the first formal peace talks in Cairo on Saturday, nearly 15 months after hostilities started, but they acknowledged there was little chance of a speedy conclusion to the conflict.

The army-aligned Democratic Bloc declined to meet in combined sessions with the Taqaddum faction during the conference, claiming that the latter was sympathetic to the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The RSF did not come, nor did the army.

Since it broke out in April 2023, the Sudanese conflict has resulted in the forced displacement of nearly 10 million people, hunger warnings, and waves of ethnically motivated violence that have been primarily blamed on the RSF.

This week, the force that moved across the state of Sennar resulted in more displacement. General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, the army leader, responded by declaring that talks with the RSF or its backers would not take place.

“The stark deterioration in the humanitarian situation and the catastrophic consequences of this crisis, call on all of us to work immediately and sustainably to stop military operations,” said newly-appointed Egyptian foreign minister Badr Abdelatty.

The end of last year saw the breakdown of US-Saudi Arabia-sponsored talks between the army and RSF in Jeddah.

A coalition of armed organizations, civil society, and pro-democracy parties called Taqaddum has demanded that the war end. Multiple armed group leaders are fighting for the army-aligned Democratic Bloc.

At the beginning of the conference, the principal attendees were seated at opposite ends of the auditorium, despite Egypt’s ability to use its power to bring the gathering together.

The sole agreement reached by the two political groups was to establish a tiny subcommittee to draft a final communique demanding an end to the war, which three leaders of the Democratic Bloc who were fighting alongside the army refused to sign.

“We told them [the Egyptians] not to have high ambitions for this meeting,” Finance Minister Jibril Ibrahim told Reuters. He along with Darfur governor Minni Minawi and Sovereign Council deputy Malik Agar did not sign the communique.

“Given the situation on the ground, if we sit and eat and drink and laugh with the people who are allied and partners in the crimes that are happening we would be sending the wrong message to our citizens and our soldiers,” he said.

He continued by saying that unless the RSF leaves civilian areas by a deal reached in Jeddah last year and the United Arab Emirates stops providing material support to the RSF, an end to the conflict is not likely. Despite the UAE’s denials, U.N. experts have stated that allegations of such backing are plausible.

Abdalla Hamdok, the head of Taqaddum and a former prime minister, denied any connection between the alliance and the RSF, stating he was waiting for the army’s approval before the meeting.

“A crisis this complicated and deep is not expected to end in one meeting… The lesson is for us to be patient and to build on anything positive that comes out of it,” he told Reuters, echoing sentiments from diplomats at the meeting.

Tom Perriello, the Special Envoy of the United States, expressed optimism that the momentum from the meetings on Saturday will continue into next week’s meeting, which is one of several related efforts that the African Union has called.

 

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Politics

Mozambique’s top court affirms governing party’s victory in recent election

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The highest court in Mozambique affirmed Monday that the incumbent Frelimo party won the October election, sparking widespread demonstrations from opposition parties who claim the vote was manipulated.

Fears of fresh bloodshed have been raised in the nation already shaken by weeks of fatal protests after Mozambique’s top electoral court mostly confirmed the results of the country’s contentious October elections, reinforcing the Frelimo party’s decades-long hold on power.

The final decision on the election process rests with the Constitutional Council. Mozambique, a nation of over 35 million people in Southern Africa that Frelimo has ruled since 1975, is expected to see more protests in response to its judgement.

Mozambique operates a framework of a semi-presidential representative democratic republic in a multi-party system. The president of Mozambique serves as both the head of state and the head of government.

The government exercises executive power. The administration and the Assembly of the Republic have the authority to enact laws.

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Alliance of Sahel States opposes ECOWAS disengagement schedule

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The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) withdrawal timeline has been rejected by the Alliance of Sahel States (AES), which is made up of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger.

The AES claims that the ECOWAS is attempting to destabilise their newly formed organisation.

During a meeting last week in Abuja, Nigeria, the regional organisation announced a six-month withdrawal period to give the three nations time to change their minds after their official departure date at the end of January 2025.

However, this decision is “nothing more than yet another attempt by the French and its auxiliaries to continue planning and carrying out destabilising actions against the AES,” according to the heads of state of the AES.

“This unilateral decision is not binding on the ESA countries,” the statement continues. Before the conference, they stated that their choice to leave the organisation was “irreversible.”

According to the president of the Ecowas Commission, this will be a “transition period” that ends on “July 29, 2025” to “keep the doors of Ecowas open.”

The three nations accused the bloc of neglecting to assist them in resolving their domestic security challenges and of imposing “inhumane and irresponsible” sanctions related to the coup.

The three nations that were involved in the coup have mostly rejected ECOWAS’ attempts to undo their withdrawal. They are creating their alliance and have begun thinking about how to issue travel passports independently of ECOWAS.

It is anticipated that they will finish giving their one-year notice of departure in January.

Visa-free travel to other ECOWAS members is a significant perk of membership, and it is unclear how this would alter after the three nations exit the group.

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