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Nigeria reduces electricity sale to foreign customers to boost domestic supply

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In a move aimed at increasing local supply, Nigeria’s power regulator has directed the grid operator to reduce supplies to consumers abroad.

The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) said in a directive last Friday that the grid operator’s current supply management strategy has severely harmed Nigerians since supply under bilateral contracts—including export to foreign customers—takes precedence over supply to domestic customers.

With effect from May 1, the regulator announced that it would cap the total amount of grid generation accessible to foreign off-takers at 6% for the following six months.

Nigerian power companies have electricity delivery contracts with neighbouring African nations, which provides them with foreign exchange to cover sub-economic tariff revenue. These businesses haven’t always paid their invoices on schedule, though.

Because of a lack of electricity, power outages are frequent in Nigeria, but they have recently gotten worse. Power companies have increased their rates for certain household customers who are expected to receive 20 hours a day or more of power, but the supply cannot keep up with the demand.

Nigerian power companies have bilateral contracts with large domestic users, including industry and government offices, which give them priority supply over normal customers, in addition to agreements with nations like Niger, Togo, and Benin.

The foreign sales cap, according to analysts, may confuse the industry. According to Mikolaj Judson, an analyst with international risk consultancy Control Risks, “operationally, it will require power generation companies to adjust production and distribution, and potentially modify contracts on short notice.”

He added that it will probably make things more difficult financially because it will mean less money coming in from foreign clients and more work for power distribution businesses, many of which already owe big sums to power-producing corporations.

Following the decision on Saturday, the national system’s electricity supply has surged beyond 4,700 megawatts, according to grid service data, after remaining below 3,000 megawatts for a few weeks. On typical days, local customers often receive less than 4000MW.

According to the regulator, off-takers regularly went beyond their agreed levels during peak operations at the expense of other grid users, and current bilateral and international contracts have loose conditions. It further said that penalties for breaking grid rules are not applied.

For 15% of consumers who should have received greater supply but the power companies have not been able to satisfy the stipulated 20 hours, NERC increased prices by 230% last month.

The incapacity of such clients to make timely debt payments may have also played a role in the regulator’s decision to reduce supply to foreign clients.

International consumers owe Nigerian power firms a total of $12.02 million in unpaid debt for services delivered, according to a report released by NERC in the fourth quarter of 2023.

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Nigeria: Marketers predict further price cut as another refinery begins operations

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Oil marketers and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority expect refined petroleum product prices to reduce as another public refinery in Warri begins operations.

The marketers made the prediction when the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited launched the 125,000-barrel-per-day Delta State WRPC. NNPCL also wants to export locally refined goods for foreign cash. Last month, the 60,000-barrel-per-day Port Harcourt Refinery in Rivers State began operations.

During an inspection tour of the facility on Monday, the NNPCL Group Chief Executive Officer, Mele Kyari, explained that the inspection aimed to show Nigerians the level of work completed so far.

During a tour with NMDPRA CEO Farouk Ahmed and NNPC Board Chairman Pius Akinyelure, Kyari said that while facility repairs were not yet 100% complete, refining operations had begun and would produce straight-run kerosene, diesel and naphtha.

In a statement commemorating the milestone, President Bola Tinubu stated the plant is functioning at 60% or 75,000 barrels per day.

Kyari said, “We are taking you through our plant. This plant is running. Although it is not 100 per cent complete, we are still in the process. Many people think these things are not real. They think real things are not possible in this country. We want you to see that this is real.”

Since some of these goods would be shipped to foreign markets, he said, the reopening of the Warri refinery will help the country become a net exporter of petroleum products.

“Secondly, this plant had three stages; we have started plant one, which we call Area One. It can produce AGO (diesel), kerosene, naphtha, and a blend of crude oil. These are high-grade quality products required in the country, and we may need to export them. So this will give us cash, this company will make money and the promise of Mr President that this country must be a net exporter of petroleum products is already happening. Some of these products will go into the international market.

“Most importantly, I must put on record that Mr President believes that we can get this to work and get them to start and gave us the charge that we must start all three refineries. It’s already happening; we have started the 60,000 barrels per day refinery, and Area One of the Warri refinery is already working. Other plants that would produce PMS are being streamed and they would also come alive.

Mustapha Zarma, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria’s National Operations Controller, stated that the rivalry in the downstream oil industry will become more fierce.

There will undoubtedly be a further decrease in pricing if the plant begins producing goods in bulk, he stated. This is because the market will ultimately be influenced by market forces and there will be fierce rivalry.

Until recently, none of Nigeria’s publicly owned refineries has worked to capacity for years, despite several investments to revive them. The failure of the government to revive them contributed to the high level of national anticipation surrounding the Dangote refinery whose operations appear to have revolutionalised the industry.

The refinery will concentrate on manufacturing and storing essential goods, such as heavy and light naphtha, automotive petrol oil and straight-run kerosene.

The country’s first fully owned refinery, the WRPC, was put into service in 1978 and is situated in Warri, Delta State, Nigeria. It was first built to process 100,000 barrels of crude oil a day, but in 1987 it was updated to process 125,000 barrels.

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Kenya: Consumer inflation rises to 3.0% from 2.8%

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Kenya’s statistics agency said on Tuesday that Kenya’s consumer price inflation increased slightly to 3.0% year-over-year in December from 2.8% the previous month.

According to a release from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, monthly inflation was 0.6%, down from 0.3% in November. Kenya aims to have a medium-term inflation rate of 2.5% to 7.5%.

With inflation under control, Kenya’s central bank said there was an opportunity for looser policy to assist economic development, lowering its benchmark lending rate by a larger-than-expected 75 basis points to 11.25% on December 5.

 

Kenya’s GDP expanded by 5.2% in 2023, up from 4.8% in 2022, thanks to a recovery in agriculture and a modest increase in services. Household consumption accounted for 70% of the growth on the demand side, while services and agriculture accounted for 69% and 23% of the growth, respectively, on the supply side.

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