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Nigerian govt backs central bank, vows further clampdown on currency speculators

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The Nigerian government says that the Central Bank of Nigeria under Yemi Cardoso is working hard to keep the Naira stable in line with President Bola Tinubu’s “multifaceted approach to ridding the nation’s foreign exchange market of malign actors and sharp practices.”

It also promised to keep going after racketeers, and told Nigerians to look forward to a stronger naira that would lead to big drops in the prices of basic goods by the first quarter of 2025.

Ajuri Ngelale, who is the Special Adviser to the President on Media and Publicity, claimed in light of the recent steps taken by the central bank to stop the naira’s free fall and bring it back to its fair value.

Ngelale, told journalists the president “has been very consistent in his view that the labour pains felt by our people and the incredible sacrifices made by our people over the past 10 months would be rewarded across the board.”

Therefore, “The President’s multi-faceted approach to ridding the nation’s foreign exchange market of malign actors and sharp practices have provided a platform for the sustainable strengthening of our national currency against all global currencies and this is what we are seeing,” he said.

“But there is still much work to be done and this is not a time for celebration. It is a time for doubling down and working harder to ensure that inflation is sustainably brought down in short order and that consumer-protecting regulatory agencies step up enforcement to ensure that our people are not short-changed by enterprises that fail to reflect the prevailing exchange rates on the pricing of goods and services across the board,” he added.

The central bank (CBN) issued many circulars and orders that caused the local currency to rise from about 1,900/dollar in late February to almost 1,200/dollar on Tuesday at the parallel market. On Friday, the naira fell against the dollar to over 1,500/dollar on the official market. On Monday, it rose to about 1,230/dollar.

The latest actions of the CBN have been very important in making the naira stronger against the dollar. Unifying exchange rate windows, opening up the foreign exchange market, clearing banks’ and airlines’ FX backlogs, putting in place a Price Verification System, putting limits on banks’ net open positions, getting rid of the daily limit of N2bn on the reimbursable standing deposit facility, and making changes to the bureau de change segment are some of the most important reforms.

In February and March, the central bank raised interest rates and made it easier for people from other countries to bid at its fixed-income sales. This made the currency stronger. Analysts say that the bank now lets buyers from outside Nigeria pay their accounts ahead of time and get naira at the mid-market exchange rate for auctions of bills.

Several changes to the FX market have made it harder for racketeers and currency traders to work in the banking sector and on the FX market. But on Tuesday, the Presidency promised to keep going strong, saying that regulatory agencies would go after racketeers and “malign actors” who are out to stop the government’s work. In addition to promising to keep the exchange rate stable, the President also said he would fight inflation and get it down to a reasonable level.

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Nigeria has received $10.9 billion multi-sector investments from AfDB— Official

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Nigeria has received $10.9 billion from the African Development Bank (AfDB), comprising $4.9 billion in public and private sector initiatives.

AfDB Director-General of the West Africa Region, Lamin Barrow, said the bank’s Nigeria funding approvals total $10.9 billion since it started operations.

Barrow made the revelation at the Second Interactive Session and Workshop on Developing Bankable Business Proposals/Business Plans for Youths in Agriculture in Abuja on Monday.

It was part of the bank’s 60th anniversary celebrations with stakeholders. Nigeria is the AfDB’s largest shareholder, and the bank’s relationship with it has grown, Barrow said.

The AfDB invests in Nigeria’s energy, power, transport, water, and sanitation infrastructure.

“Over the last 60 years, the Bank has grown into a trusted partner and the continent’s premier development financial institution.

“Our cooperation with Nigeria has expanded over the years, especially considering that Nigeria is the largest shareholder.

“Since it started operations in the country, cumulative financing approvals have reached 10.9 billion dollars and our portfolio currently stands at 4.9 billion dollars supporting projects in the public and private sectors,” he said.

After taking office eight years ago, AfDB President Dr Akinwumi Adesina prioritized the High 5—Power, Feed, Industrialize, Integrate, and Improve Africa’s quality of life—Barrow added. He said these were accelerators for achieving the SDGs and Agenda 2063 ambitions. The projects and programs supported during this time have reportedly affected over 400 million individuals.

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Analysts expect Egypt’s economy to rise 4.0% in 2024/25

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A recent study that sampled seventeen economists by Reuters has predicted slower economic growth for Egypt in April after a $8 billion IMF accord in March.

The median projection for GDP growth in the fiscal year starting July 1 was 4%, down from 4.35% in April and 4.15% in January.

The poll predicted the GDP grew 2.9% in the fiscal year ending June 30. This is below their April and January predictions of 3% and 3.5%. Poll: 2025/26 growth should rise to 4.99%.

After the IMF agreement, Capital Economics’ James Swanston predicted slower growth due to tighter fiscal and monetary policies and a weaker pound.

“The overall net impact is that economic growth will be weaker this fiscal year, but there are reasons to be more optimistic on GDP growth from FY2025/26 onward,” Swanston said.

Egyptian tourism and Suez Canal revenue have slowed due to the Gaza crisis, which has cut Egypt’s foreign revenue by more than half.

Egypt’s planning ministry predicted 4.2% growth in 2024/25 on June 2. Analysts expect the Egyptian pound to fall to 49.50 per dollar by June 2025 and 52.50 by June 2026.

Before dropping it in March 2024, the central bank kept the pound at 30.85 per dollar. It’s roughly 48.40 per dollar.

The survey forecast 20.5% headline inflation in 2024/25 and 12.05% in 2025/26. In June, inflation dropped to 27.5% from a record high of 38.0% in September, exceeding the central bank’s objective of 5%-9%.

The analysts expect the central bank’s overnight lending rate to drop to 21.25% by June 2025 and 15.25% by June 2026.

Foreign money shortages have slowed the Egyptian economy. However, a $24 billion real estate transaction with the UAE in late February, a significant currency devaluation, and a $8 billion IMF accord in early March have mitigated that.

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