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Nigerian govt backs central bank, vows further clampdown on currency speculators

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The Nigerian government says that the Central Bank of Nigeria under Yemi Cardoso is working hard to keep the Naira stable in line with President Bola Tinubu’s “multifaceted approach to ridding the nation’s foreign exchange market of malign actors and sharp practices.”

It also promised to keep going after racketeers, and told Nigerians to look forward to a stronger naira that would lead to big drops in the prices of basic goods by the first quarter of 2025.

Ajuri Ngelale, who is the Special Adviser to the President on Media and Publicity, claimed in light of the recent steps taken by the central bank to stop the naira’s free fall and bring it back to its fair value.

Ngelale, told journalists the president “has been very consistent in his view that the labour pains felt by our people and the incredible sacrifices made by our people over the past 10 months would be rewarded across the board.”

Therefore, “The President’s multi-faceted approach to ridding the nation’s foreign exchange market of malign actors and sharp practices have provided a platform for the sustainable strengthening of our national currency against all global currencies and this is what we are seeing,” he said.

“But there is still much work to be done and this is not a time for celebration. It is a time for doubling down and working harder to ensure that inflation is sustainably brought down in short order and that consumer-protecting regulatory agencies step up enforcement to ensure that our people are not short-changed by enterprises that fail to reflect the prevailing exchange rates on the pricing of goods and services across the board,” he added.

The central bank (CBN) issued many circulars and orders that caused the local currency to rise from about 1,900/dollar in late February to almost 1,200/dollar on Tuesday at the parallel market. On Friday, the naira fell against the dollar to over 1,500/dollar on the official market. On Monday, it rose to about 1,230/dollar.

The latest actions of the CBN have been very important in making the naira stronger against the dollar. Unifying exchange rate windows, opening up the foreign exchange market, clearing banks’ and airlines’ FX backlogs, putting in place a Price Verification System, putting limits on banks’ net open positions, getting rid of the daily limit of N2bn on the reimbursable standing deposit facility, and making changes to the bureau de change segment are some of the most important reforms.

In February and March, the central bank raised interest rates and made it easier for people from other countries to bid at its fixed-income sales. This made the currency stronger. Analysts say that the bank now lets buyers from outside Nigeria pay their accounts ahead of time and get naira at the mid-market exchange rate for auctions of bills.

Several changes to the FX market have made it harder for racketeers and currency traders to work in the banking sector and on the FX market. But on Tuesday, the Presidency promised to keep going strong, saying that regulatory agencies would go after racketeers and “malign actors” who are out to stop the government’s work. In addition to promising to keep the exchange rate stable, the President also said he would fight inflation and get it down to a reasonable level.

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Nigeria: Marketers predict further price cut as another refinery begins operations

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Oil marketers and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority expect refined petroleum product prices to reduce as another public refinery in Warri begins operations.

The marketers made the prediction when the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited launched the 125,000-barrel-per-day Delta State WRPC. NNPCL also wants to export locally refined goods for foreign cash. Last month, the 60,000-barrel-per-day Port Harcourt Refinery in Rivers State began operations.

During an inspection tour of the facility on Monday, the NNPCL Group Chief Executive Officer, Mele Kyari, explained that the inspection aimed to show Nigerians the level of work completed so far.

During a tour with NMDPRA CEO Farouk Ahmed and NNPC Board Chairman Pius Akinyelure, Kyari said that while facility repairs were not yet 100% complete, refining operations had begun and would produce straight-run kerosene, diesel and naphtha.

In a statement commemorating the milestone, President Bola Tinubu stated the plant is functioning at 60% or 75,000 barrels per day.

Kyari said, “We are taking you through our plant. This plant is running. Although it is not 100 per cent complete, we are still in the process. Many people think these things are not real. They think real things are not possible in this country. We want you to see that this is real.”

Since some of these goods would be shipped to foreign markets, he said, the reopening of the Warri refinery will help the country become a net exporter of petroleum products.

“Secondly, this plant had three stages; we have started plant one, which we call Area One. It can produce AGO (diesel), kerosene, naphtha, and a blend of crude oil. These are high-grade quality products required in the country, and we may need to export them. So this will give us cash, this company will make money and the promise of Mr President that this country must be a net exporter of petroleum products is already happening. Some of these products will go into the international market.

“Most importantly, I must put on record that Mr President believes that we can get this to work and get them to start and gave us the charge that we must start all three refineries. It’s already happening; we have started the 60,000 barrels per day refinery, and Area One of the Warri refinery is already working. Other plants that would produce PMS are being streamed and they would also come alive.

Mustapha Zarma, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria’s National Operations Controller, stated that the rivalry in the downstream oil industry will become more fierce.

There will undoubtedly be a further decrease in pricing if the plant begins producing goods in bulk, he stated. This is because the market will ultimately be influenced by market forces and there will be fierce rivalry.

Until recently, none of Nigeria’s publicly owned refineries has worked to capacity for years, despite several investments to revive them. The failure of the government to revive them contributed to the high level of national anticipation surrounding the Dangote refinery whose operations appear to have revolutionalised the industry.

The refinery will concentrate on manufacturing and storing essential goods, such as heavy and light naphtha, automotive petrol oil and straight-run kerosene.

The country’s first fully owned refinery, the WRPC, was put into service in 1978 and is situated in Warri, Delta State, Nigeria. It was first built to process 100,000 barrels of crude oil a day, but in 1987 it was updated to process 125,000 barrels.

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Kenya: Consumer inflation rises to 3.0% from 2.8%

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Kenya’s statistics agency said on Tuesday that Kenya’s consumer price inflation increased slightly to 3.0% year-over-year in December from 2.8% the previous month.

According to a release from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, monthly inflation was 0.6%, down from 0.3% in November. Kenya aims to have a medium-term inflation rate of 2.5% to 7.5%.

With inflation under control, Kenya’s central bank said there was an opportunity for looser policy to assist economic development, lowering its benchmark lending rate by a larger-than-expected 75 basis points to 11.25% on December 5.

 

Kenya’s GDP expanded by 5.2% in 2023, up from 4.8% in 2022, thanks to a recovery in agriculture and a modest increase in services. Household consumption accounted for 70% of the growth on the demand side, while services and agriculture accounted for 69% and 23% of the growth, respectively, on the supply side.

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