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Partners ‘willing to walk away,’ US warns Tanzania over gas project delays

Published

2 months ago

March 3, 2024

Tanzania’s much-awaited, multimillion-dollar liquefied natural gas project is facing impending investor withdrawals from the United States, if delays caused by negotiating technicalities persist, the country has warned.

Companies like Exxon Mobil, who have been pushing the deal with Tanzanian authorities, have reached a point where they are now “willing to walk away,” US Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Joy Basu told journalists.

Basu, whose portfolio in the Joe Biden administration includes overseeing economic and regional affairs in Sub-Saharan Africa cautioned that “there is LNG in lots of places around the world now, and for Tanzania the window for this particular investment is closing fast. Such windows do not remain open forever.”

In meetings with Tanzanian government officials during the week to monitor the development of a US-Tanzania commercial dialogue that was initiated in October of last year, she stated that the project’s status was a top priority.

One of many international companies involved in the LNG project in southern Tanzania is Exxon Mobil, headquartered in Houston, Texas. The project’s estimated cost increased from $30 billion in 2014 to $42 billion by the previous year.

The project’s other partners include the state-owned Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation, Exxon Mobil, Pavilion Energy (Singapore), Medco Energi (Indonesia), and Britain’s Shell and Norway’s Equinor, which have been designated as joint main operators.

She said that the project’s status was a major priority during meetings with Tanzanian government representatives this week to track the progress of a US-Tanzania commercial dialogue that was started in October of last year.

In order to expedite the development of its natural resources, the government intends to work with China’s Cnooc Ltd. to jointly explore for oil and gas in two offshore blocks that are owned by Tanzania Petroleum Development Corp., a state-owned company.

Since a downturn in 2020 when it 57.1 billion cubic feet of natural gas, a decline from 63.8 billion cubic feet the year before, the continent’s search for hydrocarbons has increased gradually as European countries look to diversify their energy sources and reduce their reliance on Russian gas.

Apart from the established main gas producing countries like Nigeria, Algeria, and Egypt, other African nations like Tanzania have been rising as potential players in the natural gas industry.

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Nigerian oil regulator implements regional fuel standards

Published

1 day ago

April 26, 2024

Ifeoluwa Dada

Nigeria’s oil authority has clarified that the recent changes to diesel fuel sulphur content standards are part of a regional effort to make things more uniform and are not meant to loosen rules for local refineries.

A report from S&P Global last week said that the West African fuel market had changed a lot after Nigeria raised the maximum diesel sulphur content from 200 parts per million (ppm) to around 650 ppm. This caused worries that the country might be lowering its standards to allow diesel made in Nigeria that is higher than the 200 ppm limit.

The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), on the other hand, said it was only following a 2020 decision by the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) that all of the regions had to slowly switch to better fuels.

Fuels that have a lot of sulfur can hurt engines and make the air dirty. As of right now, the ECOWAS rule lets locally-made fuel have more sulfur until January 2025. After that, a standard of less than 5 parts per million will be used for all oil, whether it is refined in West Africa or brought in from another country.

Farouk Ahmed, the head of the NMDPRA, told Reuters that the new limits are in line with ECOWAS’s choice to require stricter fuel specifications. The new rules will go into effect in January 2021 for non-ECOWAS imports and January 2025 for ECOWAS refineries.

“We are merely implementing the ECOWAS decision adopted in 2020,” Ahmed said.

“So a local refinery with a 650 ppm sulphur in its product is permissible and safe under the ECOWAS rule until January next year where a uniform standard would apply to both the locally refined and imported products outside West Africa”, Ahmed said.

Ahmed said that importers were told that the amount of sulphur allowed was going down, from 300 parts per million in February to 200 parts per million this month. This was done long before the huge Dangote refinery started providing diesel.

Diesel with a sulphur level of between 1,500 ppm and 3,000 ppm could be brought in by importers before.

The switch to cleaner fuels is in line with efforts to protect the environment around the world and makes sure that all area refiners have the same chances.

Nigeria recently had its worst blackout in decades because of a problem with its energy supply. The high cost of alternative energy sources has been a huge problem for both businesses and individuals, with the price of diesel being the most affordable choice for businesses.

VenturesNow

IMF predicts Kenya’s economy to overtake Angola

Published

1 day ago

April 26, 2024

Ifeoluwa Dada

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says that this year, Kenya will pass Angola to become the fourth biggest economy in sub-Saharan Africa. South Africa, Nigeria, and Ethiopia will then follow it.

Kenya is expected to stay in that spot until the end of 2029 as its GDP grew from $113.7 billion (Ksh13.37 trillion) in 2022 to $108.9 billion (Ksh15.14 trillion) last year, based on the current exchange rate. Ethiopia’s lead over Kenya has grown, and in two years it will pass Nigeria to become the second-largest economy in the area.

In 2020, Ethiopia’s economy was smaller than Kenya’s but it has continued upward and is expected to have reached $159.74 billion (Sh21.165 trillion) by 2023, making the gap between the two countries even bigger. Also, Ethiopia’s economy is likely to stay in second place for three years, until 2029.

Some people think that Ethiopia’s gross domestic product (GDP), which is the value of all the goods and services made in the country, is higher than it is. The country just got out of a civil war that lasted two years and destroyed its economy. It is one of the African countries that has not paid one of its debts.

According to the African Development Bank, East Africa will continue to grow fastest in Africa. In 2024 and 2025, growth is expected to reach 5.1% and 5.7%, respectively. The expected strong economic performance of countries in the region is reflected in the growth acceleration of 1.6% points from 3.5% in 2023 to 7% in 2024. Seven economies are expected to grow by 5% or more in 2024: Rwanda (7.2%), Ethiopia (6.7%), Djibouti (6.2%), Tanzania (6.1%), Uganda (6%), Burundi (5.8%), and Kenya (5.4%).

Charlie Robertson, who is in charge of macro strategy at investment management firm FIM Partners UK Ltd., called the exchange rate between the pound and the erg a “fantasy exchange rate.”

“Ethiopia is maintaining a hugely overvalued exchange rate which is not supported by reality,” said Robertson in an email response.

The stated exchange rate for the Ethiopian Birr is 57, but the FIM Partners FX model says that it should be about 97% of the dollar. The IMF says that Ethiopia’s economy grew by 7.2% last year, from a base of $118.97 billion to $193.0 billion. This was the fastest GDP growth in sub-Saharan Africa.

Kenya’s economy, on the other hand, grew more slowly, by only 5.5% in 2023. This was because the country’s economy came out of a year marked by drought and tight global financial markets because of the war in Ukraine. This month, Kenya is likely to share its official GDP numbers for 2023.

“But at a realistic exchange rate, [Ethiopia’s] GDP was probably $90 billion. Kenya’s GDP by comparison was $109 billion in 2023. So, if you use the official figure, you’d say Ethiopia’s economy was about 50% bigger than Kenya – but in reality, Kenya’s economy is bigger.”