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Partners ‘willing to walk away,’ US warns Tanzania over gas project delays

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Tanzania’s much-awaited, multimillion-dollar liquefied natural gas project is facing impending investor withdrawals from the United States, if delays caused by negotiating technicalities persist, the country has warned.

 

Companies like Exxon Mobil, who have been pushing the deal with Tanzanian authorities, have reached a point where they are now “willing to walk away,” US Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Joy Basu told journalists.

 

Basu, whose portfolio in the Joe Biden administration includes overseeing economic and regional affairs in Sub-Saharan Africa cautioned that “there is LNG in lots of places around the world now, and for Tanzania the window for this particular investment is closing fast. Such windows do not remain open forever.”

 

In meetings with Tanzanian government officials during the week to monitor the development of a US-Tanzania commercial dialogue that was initiated in October of last year, she stated that the project’s status was a top priority.

 

One of many international companies involved in the LNG project in southern Tanzania is Exxon Mobil, headquartered in Houston, Texas. The project’s estimated cost increased from $30 billion in 2014 to $42 billion by the previous year.

 

The project’s other partners include the state-owned Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation, Exxon Mobil, Pavilion Energy (Singapore), Medco Energi (Indonesia), and Britain’s Shell and Norway’s Equinor, which have been designated as joint main operators.

 

She said that the project’s status was a major priority during meetings with Tanzanian government representatives this week to track the progress of a US-Tanzania commercial dialogue that was started in October of last year.

 

In order to expedite the development of its natural resources, the government intends to work with China’s Cnooc Ltd. to jointly explore for oil and gas in two offshore blocks that are owned by Tanzania Petroleum Development Corp., a state-owned company.

 

Since a downturn in 2020 when it 57.1 billion cubic feet of natural gas, a decline from 63.8 billion cubic feet the year before, the continent’s search for hydrocarbons has increased gradually as European countries look to diversify their energy sources and reduce their reliance on Russian gas.

 

Apart from the established main gas producing countries like Nigeria, Algeria, and Egypt, other African nations like Tanzania have been rising as potential players in the natural gas industry.

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Nigeria: Marketers predict further price cut as another refinery begins operations

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Oil marketers and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority expect refined petroleum product prices to reduce as another public refinery in Warri begins operations.

The marketers made the prediction when the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited launched the 125,000-barrel-per-day Delta State WRPC. NNPCL also wants to export locally refined goods for foreign cash. Last month, the 60,000-barrel-per-day Port Harcourt Refinery in Rivers State began operations.

During an inspection tour of the facility on Monday, the NNPCL Group Chief Executive Officer, Mele Kyari, explained that the inspection aimed to show Nigerians the level of work completed so far.

During a tour with NMDPRA CEO Farouk Ahmed and NNPC Board Chairman Pius Akinyelure, Kyari said that while facility repairs were not yet 100% complete, refining operations had begun and would produce straight-run kerosene, diesel and naphtha.

In a statement commemorating the milestone, President Bola Tinubu stated the plant is functioning at 60% or 75,000 barrels per day.

Kyari said, “We are taking you through our plant. This plant is running. Although it is not 100 per cent complete, we are still in the process. Many people think these things are not real. They think real things are not possible in this country. We want you to see that this is real.”

Since some of these goods would be shipped to foreign markets, he said, the reopening of the Warri refinery will help the country become a net exporter of petroleum products.

“Secondly, this plant had three stages; we have started plant one, which we call Area One. It can produce AGO (diesel), kerosene, naphtha, and a blend of crude oil. These are high-grade quality products required in the country, and we may need to export them. So this will give us cash, this company will make money and the promise of Mr President that this country must be a net exporter of petroleum products is already happening. Some of these products will go into the international market.

“Most importantly, I must put on record that Mr President believes that we can get this to work and get them to start and gave us the charge that we must start all three refineries. It’s already happening; we have started the 60,000 barrels per day refinery, and Area One of the Warri refinery is already working. Other plants that would produce PMS are being streamed and they would also come alive.

Mustapha Zarma, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria’s National Operations Controller, stated that the rivalry in the downstream oil industry will become more fierce.

There will undoubtedly be a further decrease in pricing if the plant begins producing goods in bulk, he stated. This is because the market will ultimately be influenced by market forces and there will be fierce rivalry.

Until recently, none of Nigeria’s publicly owned refineries has worked to capacity for years, despite several investments to revive them. The failure of the government to revive them contributed to the high level of national anticipation surrounding the Dangote refinery whose operations appear to have revolutionalised the industry.

The refinery will concentrate on manufacturing and storing essential goods, such as heavy and light naphtha, automotive petrol oil and straight-run kerosene.

The country’s first fully owned refinery, the WRPC, was put into service in 1978 and is situated in Warri, Delta State, Nigeria. It was first built to process 100,000 barrels of crude oil a day, but in 1987 it was updated to process 125,000 barrels.

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Kenya: Consumer inflation rises to 3.0% from 2.8%

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Kenya’s statistics agency said on Tuesday that Kenya’s consumer price inflation increased slightly to 3.0% year-over-year in December from 2.8% the previous month.

According to a release from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, monthly inflation was 0.6%, down from 0.3% in November. Kenya aims to have a medium-term inflation rate of 2.5% to 7.5%.

With inflation under control, Kenya’s central bank said there was an opportunity for looser policy to assist economic development, lowering its benchmark lending rate by a larger-than-expected 75 basis points to 11.25% on December 5.

 

Kenya’s GDP expanded by 5.2% in 2023, up from 4.8% in 2022, thanks to a recovery in agriculture and a modest increase in services. Household consumption accounted for 70% of the growth on the demand side, while services and agriculture accounted for 69% and 23% of the growth, respectively, on the supply side.

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