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Proposed FX gateway bank by Nigeria’s central bank may impact banks’ liquidity— Fitch

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According to Fitch Ratings, a credit rating firm, the Central Bank of Nigeria’s proposed foreign currency gateway bank could negatively affect the liquidity of Nigerian banks.

Commenting on the proposal, Fitch Ratings said, “The Governor of the CBN, Yemi Cardoso, also announced plans to establish a FC gateway bank with the intention of centralising correspondent banking activities, while asserting that a recent audit has determined $2.4 billion of overdue FX forwards invalid. Fitch believes these measures by the CBN may negatively affect the banking sector’s FC liquidity.”

This was revealed in the latest Fitch Ratings commentary on Nigerian banks. It stated that, “Fitch expects the banking sector’s impaired loans (Stage 3 loans) ratio to increase at a faster pace than before the devaluation, which itself has caused already material FC-denominated problem loans (Stage 2 and Stage 3 loans; predominantly oil and gas sector loans) to have inflated relative to gross loans and core capital and accentuated credit concentration risks.”

According to Fitch, the CBN circular that forbids banks from maintaining net long foreign currency positions will cause the naira to depreciate by a further moderate amount.

“The Central Bank of Nigeria has published new circulars and made a number of statements accompanying the recent devaluation. One circular issued after the devaluation on January 31, aimed at increasing the supply of FC, prohibited banks from having net long FC positions, and set February 1 as the deadline for compliance.

“Net long FC positions have mitigated the impact of past devaluations, including the recent devaluation, on capital ratios as they result in foreign-exchange revaluation gains that cushion the impact of inflated FC-denominated risk-weighted assets.

“Without net long FC positions, banks’ capital positions are now more exposed to Fitch’s expectation of a further moderate depreciation of the naira, but total capital adequacy ratios (CAR), in most cases, will remain above regulatory minimum requirements,” the report said.

The apex bank’s governor, Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, recently stated that the CBN was “introducing a single FCY gateway bank to centralise all correspondent banking activities, currently dominated by two major banks in the corresponding banking space.”

The medium-term goal of the CBN is to centralise all correspondent banking operations in order to address Nigeria’s persistent foreign exchange issue.

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Nigeria’s Dangote Refinery exports first fuel to Cameroon

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The Dangote Refinery in Nigeria said on Wednesday that it had exported its first petrol to Cameroon, marking a significant milestone that may help stabilise gasoline costs throughout the region and open the door for regional energy integration.

When fully operational, Nigerian billionaire Aliko Dangote’s 650,000-barrel refinery in Lagos is intended to alter the trade of refined products in the Atlantic basin and compete with refineries in Europe.

According to a statement by Neptune Oil, an energy company based in Cameroon, both businesses were looking into new projects to create a dependable supply chain that would assist in stabilising fuel costs and opportunities throughout the area.

According to Neptune Oil, there were no middlemen involved in the petrol delivery deal.

It is anticipated that the refinery’s operations will spur growth in the upstream, midstream, and downstream sectors, increasing investments in cement manufacture, plastic and rubber production, chemical and pharmaceutical goods, and oil refining.

 

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Egypt’s November inflation drops to 25.5%, near 2-year low

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According to figures released Tuesday by statistics agency CAPMAS, Egypt’s annual urban consumer price inflation rate fell more than anticipated to 25.5% in November, the lowest level since December 2022.

Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which caused international investors to pull billions of dollars out of Egyptian treasury markets, inflation started to rise sharply in early 2022.

In September 2023, headline inflation reached a record high of 38.0%. It dropped to 26.5% by October 2024.

In a Reuters survey last month, 15 economists’ consensus prediction was for annual inflation to gradually decline to 26.4%.

According to CAPMAS statistics, headline inflation decreased from 1.1% in October to 0.5% in November every month.

Compared to October, when they fell 1.1%, food costs fell 2.8% over the month, making them 23.3% more than they were a year ago.

An increase in the money supply has been a major contributor to inflation. According to central bank data, Egypt’s M2 money supply increased by 29.54% in October compared to the same month last year.

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