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Nigeria’s NNPC insists no plans to raise petrol prices

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Nigeria’s state-owned oil firm, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC), announced on Thursday that it had no intention of increasing petrol prices.

This comes amid speculation that it could increase prices to recover some of its import costs given the devaluation of the Naira and the cost of purchasing and importing refined petrol.

The NNPC, which is the sole importer of petrol because local private firms are unable to obtain sufficient foreign currency, urged Nigerians to disregard the speculation about price increases, adding that “there are no plans for an upward review of the (petrol) price.”

Since President Bola Tinubu ended the expensive fuel subsidy and loosened limits on currency trading in July of last year, which caused petrol prices to more than quadruple, Nigerians have been feeling the impact.

The measures exacerbated the cost of living crisis by driving inflation to a nearly three-decade high in December, contrary to the president’s hopes that this would jump-start the economy’s flagging growth.

Unions have put pressure on Tinubu to provide assistance to small firms and households after he removed the subsidy that kept petrol prices low but came at a $10 billion cost to the government in 2022.

The president has insisted he is aware of the difficulties brought about by the removal of the subsidy and was keeping an eye on how inflation and the exchange rate were affecting the price of petrol. He also promised to step in if and when needed.

 

Meanwhile, Nigeria’s major unions expressed disappointment over the government’s inability to keep promises made to mitigate the effects of reforms and issued a two-week ultimatum to the government to comply with requests ranging from increased wages to better access to public utilities.

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Nigeria has received $10.9 billion multi-sector investments from AfDB— Official

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Nigeria has received $10.9 billion from the African Development Bank (AfDB), comprising $4.9 billion in public and private sector initiatives.

AfDB Director-General of the West Africa Region, Lamin Barrow, said the bank’s Nigeria funding approvals total $10.9 billion since it started operations.

Barrow made the revelation at the Second Interactive Session and Workshop on Developing Bankable Business Proposals/Business Plans for Youths in Agriculture in Abuja on Monday.

It was part of the bank’s 60th anniversary celebrations with stakeholders. Nigeria is the AfDB’s largest shareholder, and the bank’s relationship with it has grown, Barrow said.

The AfDB invests in Nigeria’s energy, power, transport, water, and sanitation infrastructure.

“Over the last 60 years, the Bank has grown into a trusted partner and the continent’s premier development financial institution.

“Our cooperation with Nigeria has expanded over the years, especially considering that Nigeria is the largest shareholder.

“Since it started operations in the country, cumulative financing approvals have reached 10.9 billion dollars and our portfolio currently stands at 4.9 billion dollars supporting projects in the public and private sectors,” he said.

After taking office eight years ago, AfDB President Dr Akinwumi Adesina prioritized the High 5—Power, Feed, Industrialize, Integrate, and Improve Africa’s quality of life—Barrow added. He said these were accelerators for achieving the SDGs and Agenda 2063 ambitions. The projects and programs supported during this time have reportedly affected over 400 million individuals.

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Analysts expect Egypt’s economy to rise 4.0% in 2024/25

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A recent study that sampled seventeen economists by Reuters has predicted slower economic growth for Egypt in April after a $8 billion IMF accord in March.

The median projection for GDP growth in the fiscal year starting July 1 was 4%, down from 4.35% in April and 4.15% in January.

The poll predicted the GDP grew 2.9% in the fiscal year ending June 30. This is below their April and January predictions of 3% and 3.5%. Poll: 2025/26 growth should rise to 4.99%.

After the IMF agreement, Capital Economics’ James Swanston predicted slower growth due to tighter fiscal and monetary policies and a weaker pound.

“The overall net impact is that economic growth will be weaker this fiscal year, but there are reasons to be more optimistic on GDP growth from FY2025/26 onward,” Swanston said.

Egyptian tourism and Suez Canal revenue have slowed due to the Gaza crisis, which has cut Egypt’s foreign revenue by more than half.

Egypt’s planning ministry predicted 4.2% growth in 2024/25 on June 2. Analysts expect the Egyptian pound to fall to 49.50 per dollar by June 2025 and 52.50 by June 2026.

Before dropping it in March 2024, the central bank kept the pound at 30.85 per dollar. It’s roughly 48.40 per dollar.

The survey forecast 20.5% headline inflation in 2024/25 and 12.05% in 2025/26. In June, inflation dropped to 27.5% from a record high of 38.0% in September, exceeding the central bank’s objective of 5%-9%.

The analysts expect the central bank’s overnight lending rate to drop to 21.25% by June 2025 and 15.25% by June 2026.

Foreign money shortages have slowed the Egyptian economy. However, a $24 billion real estate transaction with the UAE in late February, a significant currency devaluation, and a $8 billion IMF accord in early March have mitigated that.

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