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Nigeria’s Inflation hits 27.33%

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Inflation rate has continued its upward movement for the tenth straight month in Nigeria, as the latest data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday showed.

Nigeria’s inflation rate surged to 27.33% in October. It was a 0.61 percentage point increase from the 26.72% that was recorded in September.

The NBS maintained that food and nonalcoholic drinks, housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuel, clothing and footwear, transportation, furnishings, and upkeep of household appliances and equipment were the main causes of the inflation increase.

According to the statistics bureau, price increases for food and non-alcoholic drinks were the main cause of October’s inflation in terms of annual growth. The majority of Nigeria’s inflation was attributed to food inflation, which increased from 30.64% in September to 31.52% in October.

“Furthermore, on a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 6.24 percentage points higher compared to the rate recorded in October 2022, which was 21.09%. This shows that the headline inflation rate (year-on-year basis) increased in October 2023 when compared to the same month in the preceding year (i.e., October 2022),” the NBS report revealed.

Some observers have noted that the continued rise in inflation adds to the pressure on the new central bank governor, Olayemi Cardoso to raise interest rates when the monetary policy committee meets for the first time since his appointment. Cardoso has pledged to pull the bank back from the much-criticised fiscal interventions pursued under his predecessor, Godwin Emefiele, that some argue undermined the central bank’s ability to effectively manage inflation.

According to Cardoso, the CBN would rather take a “more limited advisory role” in support of the government’s economic growth agenda.

The elimination of petrol subsidies and the depreciation of the official exchange rate have been blamed for the ongoing rise in inflation.

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Nigeria’s energy crisis increases production costs by 40%— Report

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A recent report by Nanyang Technology University’s Centre for African Studies has revealed that Nigeria’s poor electricity contributes to up to a 40% rise in the cost of manufactured products.

Nigeria’s manufacturing sector can employ a larger share of the labour force, and has far higher productivity than agriculture, according to a report titled “Back to Growth: Priority Agenda for the Economic Revival of Nigeria,” which was recently presented in Lagos by the author and Director of the Centre, Amit Jain.

“Electricity blackouts, together with transport bottlenecks, crime, and corruption, are among the key impediments to firm growth. Outages and voltage fluctuations are commonplace.

“This damages machinery and equipment. Consequently, most firms rely on self-supply of electricity through the use of generators, which increases the cost of production and erodes competitiveness”, the report said.

Nigeria’s underdeveloped power sector makes it difficult for the country to achieve widespread economic development and compels the majority of companies to produce a sizable amount of their own electricity. The nation has recently seen the departure of well-known companies due to growing operating expenses.

Given the challenges in ensuring steady power supply throughout the nation, the report suggested the government look into creating industrial clusters. The primary advantage of clustering businesses, according to the report, is that it makes it possible to prioritise infrastructure development in order to give businesses a competitive edge while providing access to resources like raw materials, skilled labour, and technology.

It read further, “The clusters should ideally be located within zones that are well connected with roads, power lines, and telecommunications.

“Although Nigeria has scored some success with informal clusters, such as the computer village in Otigba, Lagos; the auto and industrial spare parts fabricators in Nnewi; the leather tannery in Kano; and the footwear, leatherworks, and garment cluster in Aba, very few are working to their full potential.

“Lack of coordination between the federal and state governments and patchy implementation of industrial policy has meant that the infrastructure required to attract manufacturing investment is inadequate.”

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Exit by multinational companies to cost Nigeria $335 million in FDI

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Nigeria’s economy is expected to lose $335 million (about N310 billion) in foreign direct investment (FDI) owing to continued exit by multinational companies.

Recently, the country has suffered the exit of high-profile firms amidst rising operation costs. The sum reflects the combined asset value of the most recent exit announcements made by Equinor, a major global player in the upstream oil sector, and Procter & Gamble, a major global player in the Fast Moving Consumer Goods, or FMCG, segment.

The American multinational consumer goods company, Procter & Gamble (P&G), is winding down its on-the-ground presence in Nigeria, while Equinor is also leaving after selling its Nigerian business, including its share in the Agbami oil field to Nigerian-owned Chappal Energies. P&G plans to switch from local production to solely importing its products.

Explaining the decision, Andre Schulten, chief financial officer, P&G, said the decision was a result of “the challenging business environment in Nigeria, as well as the difficulty in creating US dollar value”.

Equinor’s Senior Vice President for Africa Operations, Nina Koch, maintained, “Nigeria has been an important part of Equinor’s international portfolio over the past 30 years, but the transaction becomes necessary as it would enable it to “realise the value and is in line with Equinor’s strategy to optimize its international oil and gas portfolio and focus on core areas.”

A few months ago,  GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Nigeria Plc, a company that developed and manufactured innovative pharmaceutical medicines, vaccines, and consumer healthcare products, shut down its operations in Nigeria, leading to the loss of jobs and ultimately causing a surge in the prices of drugs.

Nigeria’s underdeveloped power sector is a bottleneck to broad-based economic development and forces most businesses to generate a significant portion of their electricity. It has also been a major factor in capital flight from the West African country, Africa’s largest economy.

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