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Uganda records 6.8% GDP growth

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Uganda’s Ministry of Finance has revealed that the country’s economy grew 6.8% in the first six months of the 2022/23 fiscal year that runs until the end of June.

The figure, mainly driven by services, agriculture, forestry, and fishing sectors, shows a rise from 3.7% in the same period of the previous fiscal year.

The ministry also revealed that the country was on track to achieve a growth rate of 5.3% for the whole fiscal year, helped by easing inflationary pressures.

Economic activity was hit by COVID-19 lockdowns in 2020 and 2021. Growth recovered from a contraction of 1.5% in 2020 to 6.0% in 2021, lifted by household consumption and investment. Services are however returning to pre-COVID-19 trends, driven by recent reforms in public administration and education.

Recent Quarterly GDP data released by the Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBOS) shows that the economy continued on a recovery path, registering an average GDP growth rate of 6.8 percent in the first half (Q1 and Q2) of the financial year (FY 2022/23) compared to 3.7 percent the same period last financial year.

Consequently, the ministry maintains that the economy remains on a path to achieving the annual projected growth of 5.3 percent this financial year, mainly supported by easing inflationary pressures and continued implementation of government-supported programs. Major downside risks to this growth include rising global and regional geo-political tensions and unpredictable weather patterns.

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Kenya: President Ruto assured of fresh IMF disbursement

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This would help the economy, which is getting better after avoiding a debt problem earlier this year.

Since the government released a $1.5 billion Eurobond in February, Kenya’s shilling has recovered from record lows. This was done to calm the market’s fears of a possible default on a $2 billion bond that matures in June.

The problems with the currency, high inflation, and new taxes meant to close budget gaps have all made living costs go up, which has led to anger and some protests.

Kenya has been able to get through a liquidity problem thanks to strong loans from the IMF and the World Bank. The East African country got an extra $941 million in loans from the IMF in January. This brought its total deal with the fund to $4.43 billion, with about $2.5 billion still due.

A source quoted by Reuters claimed the IMF officials would be in Kenya on May 9 for a review that would allow a $1 billion tranche to be released.

“That process is going on very well,” he said in the interview on Monday, adding that talks between the Kenyan minister of finance and the IMF in Washington during the World Bank/IMF spring meeting earlier this month were “extensive, very successful”. The IMF has not commented on the ongoing review.

Still, Ruto kept his promise to cut spending by 12% in the next fiscal year, from 4.2 trillion shillings to 3.7 trillion shillings.

It is expected that the budget deficit will go down from 4.9% of gross domestic product (GDP) this fiscal year to 3.9% of GDP in the 2024/25 fiscal year (17 July–June).

Earlier on Monday, Ruto and other African heads of state asked rich countries to lend record amounts to a low-interest World Bank facility for developing nations. They said that these countries were facing climate and debt problems that were getting worse.

“We want a fair international financial architecture,” Ruto said.

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In 30 years, half of Nigerian biscuit companies went out of business— Manufacturers

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The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria has claimed that in the last 30 years, half of the companies in the biscuit and bakery products business went out of business.

During the group’s recent annual general meeting in Lagos, Fola Osibo, head of the sub-sector, told everyone what was going on.

According to Osibo, Nigerian biscuit makers have had some tough times over the years, and some of these times have made it uncertain whether or not they would be able to stay in business.

He said that the problems included rules that made things hard to do, unpredictable prices and supplies of raw materials, and unfair competition from mostly cheap biscuits from other countries.

Osibo said, “Looking back about 30 to 40 years, biscuit manufacturing operations were thriving in this country, policies were supportive of local manufacturing, raw materials were readily available, and our association had up to 40 members scattered all over the country.

“Then suddenly, the economic situation started going southwards, and our sub-sector started facing economic disruptions, and unfavourable policies which impacted negatively on our operations. Most companies could not cope as margins were completely eroded caused by rising costs of operations, and they started closing shops.

“Unfortunately, our sector has been neglected over the years, and the various government policies have impacted negatively on our operations. Growth of local biscuit production has therefore been stunted and the number of those still in operation has shrunk to only about 15 to 20 companies.”

He asked the Federal Government to save the sector and keep it from falling apart totally by putting in place policies that are responsive and help local production.

The group asked the government to get rid of the Value Added Tax (like it was from 1999 to 2007), lower the net import duty on biscuit flour to 20%, and lower the import duty on some important raw materials like liquid glucose, hydrogenated fat, and flavourings.

Akinwande Owen, Plant Director of Cadbury Nigeria Plc, talked about the problems that the manufacturing industry faces in his presentation. He said that the main problems are changing foreign exchange rates, low consumer purchasing power, talent development and migration/relocation, multiple taxes, and government policies.

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