Nigeria’s President Muhammadu Buhari, has presented the country’s 2023 budget tagged “Budget of Fiscal Consolidation and Transition” to the joint session of Nigeria’s National Assembly.
The N20.51 trillion worth budget had oil, which is Nigeria’s major revenue source benchmarked at $70 per barrel, putting Nigeria’s budget deficit will widen to 4.78%.
President Buhari said the budget was “prepared amidst a very challenging world economy that is weakened by the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, high inflation, high crude oil prices resulting in the huge cost of PMS Subsidy and negative spillover effects of the Russia-Ukraine war.”
Nigeria pegged daily oil production estimate of 1.69 million barrels (inclusive of Condensates of 300,000 to 400,000 barrels per day); exchange rate of 435.57 Naira per US Dollar; the projected GDP growth rate of 3.75 percent and 17.16 percent inflation rate.
Nigeria’s current fiscal life is faced with rising public debt, industrial-scale oil theft, and the big white elephant – fuel subsidy. Thus inciting doubt among observers on the country’s ability to meet its financial projection according to the budget.
President Buhari hinted that the country will eventually stop payment of fuel subsidy will rise to 20.51 trillion naira ($47.4 billion) next year, up 18.4% from this year.
“Petrol subsidy has been a recurring and controversial public policy issue in our country since the early eighties. However, its current fiscal impact has clearly shown that the policy is unsustainable,” Buhari said in his last budget speech before the election.
Nigeria’s economy is projected to grow 3.7% next year, up from 3.55% this year while annual inflation is forecast to remain in double digits, averaging 17.16%.
With the general elections due for February and March 2023 and the change of leadership in the West African country, a lot might be rightly judged as uncertain considering Nigeria’s complex and peculiar nature.