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2023: Nigeria’s President Buhari, presents ₦20.51 trillion budget of ‘Fiscal Consolidation and Transition’ to National Assembly

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Nigeria’s President Muhammadu Buhari, has presented the country’s 2023 budget tagged “Budget of Fiscal Consolidation and Transition” to the joint session of Nigeria’s National Assembly.

The N20.51 trillion worth budget had oil, which is Nigeria’s major revenue source benchmarked at $70 per barrel, putting Nigeria’s budget deficit will widen to 4.78%.

President Buhari said the budget was “prepared amidst a very challenging world economy that is weakened by the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, high inflation, high crude oil prices resulting in the huge cost of PMS Subsidy and negative spillover effects of the Russia-Ukraine war.”

Nigeria pegged daily oil production estimate of 1.69 million barrels (inclusive of Condensates of 300,000 to 400,000 barrels per day); exchange rate of 435.57 Naira per US Dollar; the projected GDP growth rate of 3.75 percent and 17.16 percent inflation rate.

Nigeria’s current fiscal life is faced with rising public debt, industrial-scale oil theft, and the big white elephant – fuel subsidy. Thus inciting doubt among observers on the country’s ability to meet its financial projection according to the budget.

President Buhari hinted that the country will eventually stop payment of fuel subsidy will rise to 20.51 trillion naira ($47.4 billion) next year, up 18.4% from this year.

“Petrol subsidy has been a recurring and controversial public policy issue in our country since the early eighties. However, its current fiscal impact has clearly shown that the policy is unsustainable,” Buhari said in his last budget speech before the election.

Nigeria’s economy is projected to grow 3.7% next year, up from 3.55% this year while annual inflation is forecast to remain in double digits, averaging 17.16%.

With the general elections due for February and March 2023 and the change of leadership in the West African country, a lot might be rightly judged as uncertain considering Nigeria’s complex and peculiar nature.

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Nigeria’s antigraft agency EFCC may try 300 forex racketeers

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The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), Nigeria’s anti-corruption body, could go after 300 forex criminals who trade on a peer-to-peer platform without following the rules.

Ola Olukoyede, the chairman of the EFCC, said this during a briefing of reporters and bureau chiefs in Abuja on Tuesday. He said that the accounts were frozen on Monday because of a court order. He said that over $15bn had been moved into one of the accounts in the last year.

The government recently blocked Binance and other crypto companies’ online sites through the Nigerian Communications Commission. This was done to stop what the government saw as ongoing manipulation of the foreign exchange market and the illegal flow of money.

Two top executives of the cryptocurrency exchange Binance were also arrested. This came as the government tried to stop people from betting on the naira by cracking down on cryptocurrency exchanges.

The government also sent EFCC agents to arrest Bureau De Change operators in Abuja’s popular Wuse Zone 4. Reports say that crypto traders now use websites like Bybit, Bitget, Kucoin, and others instead of Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken.

But Olukoyede talked about the steps being taken to protect the naira and boost the economy. He said that the fx accounts were frozen to keep the foreign exchange market safe and the economy safe.

Olukoyede said that the FX accounts were frozen to protect the economy and make sure the foreign exchange market was safe. This was one of the steps being taken to protect the naira.

He said the work had made the naira and the forex market more valuable. For the commission to work, he said, Nigerians had to back it up. If the agency failed, he said, Nigeria had failed.

Nigeria has been severely impacted by a lack of dollars, which has caused the naira to fall to all-time lows in recent weeks and led the central bank to weaken the currency twice in less than a year.

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Dangote refinery drops diesel price further, but the wait continues for retail consumers

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Barely weeks after crashing the prices of diesel and aviation fuel by about 30% in the country, Nigeria’s private Dangote Petroleum Refinery has again announced a further reduction in the prices of the products.

According to a statement by the organization on Tuesday, both diesel and aviation fuel will now be sold at N940 and N980 per litre respectively from Africa’s largest refinery.

Dangote says the price change of N940 applies to customers buying five million litres and above from the refinery, while the price of N970 is for customers buying one million litres and above.

Speaking on the new development, the Head of Communication, Mr Anthony Chiejina, explained that the new price aligns with the company’s commitment to cushion the effect of economic hardship in Nigeria.

“I can confirm to you that Dangote Petroleum Refinery has entered a strategic partnership with MRS Oil and Gas stations, to ensure that consumers get to buy fuel at affordable prices, in all their stations be it Lagos or Maiduguri. You can buy as low as 1 litre of diesel at N1,050 and aviation fuel at N980 at all major airports where MRS operates.”

He further stated that the partnership would be extended to other major oil marketers. “The essence of this is to ensure that retail buyers do not buy at exorbitant prices.

“The Dangote Group is committed to ensuring that Nigerians have better welfare and as such, we are happy to announce these new prices and hope that it would go a long way to cushion the effect of economic challenges in the country.

Nigerian President Bola Tinubu had also commended Mr Dangote for the initial price reduction, describing it as an “enterprising feat.”

Reacting to the latest development, The Director General of the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN), Mr Ajayi Kadiri, who recently lamented the plight of manufacturers against the backdrop of rising prices of their products, stressing that automotive gas oil (AGO) gulped over 80℅ of manufacturers’ profit, noted that “the decision of Dangote Refinery to first crash the price from about N1,750/litre to N1,200/litre, N1,000/litre and now N940 is an eloquent demonstration of the capacity of local industries to positively impact the fortunes of the national economy.”

He added, “The trickledown effect of this singular intervention promises to change the dynamics in the energy cost equation of the country, in the midst of inadequate and rising cost of electricity.

“The reduction will have far-reaching effects in critical sectors like industrial operations, transportation, logistics, and agriculture, contributing to easing the high inflation rate in the country; a lot of companies will be back in operation.”

Following recent energy failure which has seen Nigeria suffer its worst blackout in decades, the cost of alternate energy has been a towering challenge for both industrial and private consumption, with the price of diesel being a lead factor being the most option for industrial purposes.

However, Nigerians are curios about the effect of the reduction as it appears the recent gain and strength of the local currency (Naira) and cut in the price of diesel both within the last three weeks has had little or no effect on the cost of living.

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