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World Bank predicts low economic growth for Madagascar in 2022

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The World Bank has forecasted a gloomy and a lower economic growth rate for the island southern African country of Madagascar for 2022.

The World Bank’s prediction is, however, at variance with the Malagasy authorities forecast of a positive growth rate of 5.4% this year.

In the framework of the initial 2022 Finance Law released by the World Bank on Friday, the global bank estimates that the Indian Ocean nation’s economic growth for the year is not expected to go beyond 2.6% this year as against 4.4% it recorded last year.

Part of the World Bank report said that Madagascar’s economy “faces new threats from new episodes of COVID-19, a series of extreme weather events and the fallout from the conflict in Ukraine in early 2022.”

“But it is the war in Ukraine that will have the greatest impact on Madagascar’s economic development, due to the slowdown in demand from trading partners and the rise in oil prices, which is expected to lead to a deterioration in the trade balance and increasing pressure on public finances,” the report continued.

Also commenting on the outcome of the report, Idah Pswarayi-Riddihough, the World Bank’s Director of Operations for Comoros, Madagascar, Mauritius and Mozambique, noted:

“In the face of new shocks and uncertainties, Madagascar needs more than ever to undertake bold reforms to accelerate growth and build resilience.

“This is a necessity to reduce poverty in the years to come and avoid a growing backwardness compared to peer countries.”

As a fallout of the gloomy forecast, the World Bank which is a key financial partner of the country, has established a number of priorities that are highlighted as particularly urgent, including a clear strategy to accelerate the immunization of people living in vulnerable situations, in urban and tourist areas.

Parts of the strategies, according to Pswarayi-Riddihough also include the restoration of essential public services and connectivity infrastructure following the recent climatic shocks, strong measures to reduce food insecurity and stimulate national agricultural production, reforms in fuel and electricity pricing, a new impetus to stimulate access to broadband and digital services and more transparency and accountability in the public sector.

This World Bank report also highlights the importance of improving the performance of public schools following the continued deterioration of learning outcomes in recent years.

“Based on new analytical findings, the World Bank suggests a new approach to improving performance that includes measures to strengthen teacher selection and evaluation, salary and school grant management, appeal mechanisms, and local community participation,” Pswarayi-Riddihough added.

VenturesNow

After decades of imports, Nigeria ends oil importation

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC) has declared that it has finally stopped the long-standing practice of importing petroleum products after decades of doing so.

 

Nigeria’s national oil corporation stated that it now purchased from the 650,000 barrels per day Dangote Petroleum Refinery in Lagos, which is estimated to save the country up to $10 billion in hard currency each year.

 

This was revealed by Mr Mele Kyari, Group Chief Executive Officer of NNPC, in Lagos during his keynote address at the 42nd annual international conference and exhibition of the Nigerian Association of Petroleum Explorationists (NAPE).

 

The statement coincided with the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria (IPMAN) announcing another positive development: the organisation had agreed to purchase goods directly from the $20 billion Dangote facility.

 

The oil dealers had fiercely protested the prior arrangement, which called for independent marketers to purchase from the NNPC rather than the Dangote Refinery.

 

However, Kyari also stated that all of the nation’s oil producers are required to send crude to the four NNPC refineries upon their return to the grid, citing the Domestic Crude Oil Obligation (DCOO) as outlined in the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) 2021 as support.

 

He denied rumours that local refineries were being harmed by the national oil company’s refusal to supply them with crude oil.

 

As a proud co-owner of the Dangote Refinery, Kyari described NNPC as having recognised an opportunity in the $20 billion refinery as a clear market for at least 300,000 barrels per day of production, which would allow it to avoid being caught in the rapidly contracting crude oil market.

 

“Oil is found in very many unexpected locations across the world and people have choices. And therefore, we saw an opportunity to now supply to not just Dangote, but every refinery that operates in the country. So, it’s a well-informed business decision. Therefore, from day one, we knew that it was to our benefit to supply crude oil to domestic refineries.

 

“So, we don’t need to be persuaded. We don’t need anyone to talk to us. There is no need for any pressure from the streets for us to do this. We are already doing this”, Kyari stated.

 

Nigeria saw a decrease in petrol imports according to the National Bureau of Statistics, after President Bola Tinubu eliminated the gasoline subsidy in May 2023. Additionally, the report revealed that petroleum imports decreased by 13.77 percent year over year to 20.30 billion litres in 2023 from 23.54 billion litres in 2022.

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Nigeria signs deal for aircraft maintenance facility

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To build an aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul facility, the Nigerian government, acting through the Ministry of Aviation and Aerospace Development, has partnered with a private company in a public-private partnership.

Details of the agreement were given by a Ministry of Aviation representative, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorised to discuss the subject. The representative explained that the new facility would function as an Approved Maintenance Organisation under the Nigerian Civil Aviation Authority’s regulations.

The representative said, “AMO approved by the NCAA is meant to perform specific aircraft maintenance activities, which activities may include the inspection, overhaul, maintenance, repair, and/or alteration and release to service of aircraft or aeronautical products.”

Nigeria, which is the most populous country in Africa, is a major destination for more than 22 international airlines. Over 78 nations now have bilateral air services agreements with Nigeria.

According to the ministry source, this facility is the first of its kind in Nigeria and is intended to address the increasing maintenance requirements of domestic aircraft, which currently frequently necessitate costly and time-consuming journeys to foreign maintenance facilities.

The actual “date of commercial operations will be the date on which the NCAA grants the concessionaire approvals and licenses as required by the concessionaire in the agreement,” the ministry continued, adding that the exact start date for construction and ultimate operations is still unclear.

The source added that “all necessary activities are underway to make the contract effective.”

The official responded, “I don’t have those timelines,” when questioned about them. Before we discuss the actual building and management of the facilities, we are working quickly to complete a few tasks that will make the contract effective.

Festus Keyamo, the country’s minister of aviation and aerospace development, announced in August that he had finalised plans to start the bidding process for the construction of maintenance, repair, and overhaul facilities.

The minister stated that the action was a component of the government’s endeavour to improve the nation’s aviation infrastructure and lessen dependency on foreign MRO services. Due to the project’s high capital requirements, he also declared his intention to pursue a significant project using a Public-Private Partnership approach.

Nigeria’s economy and transportation sector both heavily rely on civil aviation. Nigeria boasts 23 operating domestic airlines, 20 airports, several regulated airstrips and heliports, 554 certified pilots, 913 qualified engineers, and 1700 cabin crew members.

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