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World Bank predicts low economic growth for Madagascar in 2022

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The World Bank has forecasted a gloomy and a lower economic growth rate for the island southern African country of Madagascar for 2022.

The World Bank’s prediction is, however, at variance with the Malagasy authorities forecast of a positive growth rate of 5.4% this year.

In the framework of the initial 2022 Finance Law released by the World Bank on Friday, the global bank estimates that the Indian Ocean nation’s economic growth for the year is not expected to go beyond 2.6% this year as against 4.4% it recorded last year.

Part of the World Bank report said that Madagascar’s economy “faces new threats from new episodes of COVID-19, a series of extreme weather events and the fallout from the conflict in Ukraine in early 2022.”

“But it is the war in Ukraine that will have the greatest impact on Madagascar’s economic development, due to the slowdown in demand from trading partners and the rise in oil prices, which is expected to lead to a deterioration in the trade balance and increasing pressure on public finances,” the report continued.

Also commenting on the outcome of the report, Idah Pswarayi-Riddihough, the World Bank’s Director of Operations for Comoros, Madagascar, Mauritius and Mozambique, noted:

“In the face of new shocks and uncertainties, Madagascar needs more than ever to undertake bold reforms to accelerate growth and build resilience.

“This is a necessity to reduce poverty in the years to come and avoid a growing backwardness compared to peer countries.”

As a fallout of the gloomy forecast, the World Bank which is a key financial partner of the country, has established a number of priorities that are highlighted as particularly urgent, including a clear strategy to accelerate the immunization of people living in vulnerable situations, in urban and tourist areas.

Parts of the strategies, according to Pswarayi-Riddihough also include the restoration of essential public services and connectivity infrastructure following the recent climatic shocks, strong measures to reduce food insecurity and stimulate national agricultural production, reforms in fuel and electricity pricing, a new impetus to stimulate access to broadband and digital services and more transparency and accountability in the public sector.

This World Bank report also highlights the importance of improving the performance of public schools following the continued deterioration of learning outcomes in recent years.

“Based on new analytical findings, the World Bank suggests a new approach to improving performance that includes measures to strengthen teacher selection and evaluation, salary and school grant management, appeal mechanisms, and local community participation,” Pswarayi-Riddihough added.

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Nigeria’s antigraft agency EFCC may try 300 forex racketeers

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The Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), Nigeria’s anti-corruption body, could go after 300 forex criminals who trade on a peer-to-peer platform without following the rules.

Ola Olukoyede, the chairman of the EFCC, said this during a briefing of reporters and bureau chiefs in Abuja on Tuesday. He said that the accounts were frozen on Monday because of a court order. He said that over $15bn had been moved into one of the accounts in the last year.

The government recently blocked Binance and other crypto companies’ online sites through the Nigerian Communications Commission. This was done to stop what the government saw as ongoing manipulation of the foreign exchange market and the illegal flow of money.

Two top executives of the cryptocurrency exchange Binance were also arrested. This came as the government tried to stop people from betting on the naira by cracking down on cryptocurrency exchanges.

The government also sent EFCC agents to arrest Bureau De Change operators in Abuja’s popular Wuse Zone 4. Reports say that crypto traders now use websites like Bybit, Bitget, Kucoin, and others instead of Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken.

But Olukoyede talked about the steps being taken to protect the naira and boost the economy. He said that the fx accounts were frozen to keep the foreign exchange market safe and the economy safe.

Olukoyede said that the FX accounts were frozen to protect the economy and make sure the foreign exchange market was safe. This was one of the steps being taken to protect the naira.

He said the work had made the naira and the forex market more valuable. For the commission to work, he said, Nigerians had to back it up. If the agency failed, he said, Nigeria had failed.

Nigeria has been severely impacted by a lack of dollars, which has caused the naira to fall to all-time lows in recent weeks and led the central bank to weaken the currency twice in less than a year.

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Dangote refinery drops diesel price further, but the wait continues for retail consumers

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Barely weeks after crashing the prices of diesel and aviation fuel by about 30% in the country, Nigeria’s private Dangote Petroleum Refinery has again announced a further reduction in the prices of the products.

According to a statement by the organization on Tuesday, both diesel and aviation fuel will now be sold at N940 and N980 per litre respectively from Africa’s largest refinery.

Dangote says the price change of N940 applies to customers buying five million litres and above from the refinery, while the price of N970 is for customers buying one million litres and above.

Speaking on the new development, the Head of Communication, Mr Anthony Chiejina, explained that the new price aligns with the company’s commitment to cushion the effect of economic hardship in Nigeria.

“I can confirm to you that Dangote Petroleum Refinery has entered a strategic partnership with MRS Oil and Gas stations, to ensure that consumers get to buy fuel at affordable prices, in all their stations be it Lagos or Maiduguri. You can buy as low as 1 litre of diesel at N1,050 and aviation fuel at N980 at all major airports where MRS operates.”

He further stated that the partnership would be extended to other major oil marketers. “The essence of this is to ensure that retail buyers do not buy at exorbitant prices.

“The Dangote Group is committed to ensuring that Nigerians have better welfare and as such, we are happy to announce these new prices and hope that it would go a long way to cushion the effect of economic challenges in the country.

Nigerian President Bola Tinubu had also commended Mr Dangote for the initial price reduction, describing it as an “enterprising feat.”

Reacting to the latest development, The Director General of the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN), Mr Ajayi Kadiri, who recently lamented the plight of manufacturers against the backdrop of rising prices of their products, stressing that automotive gas oil (AGO) gulped over 80℅ of manufacturers’ profit, noted that “the decision of Dangote Refinery to first crash the price from about N1,750/litre to N1,200/litre, N1,000/litre and now N940 is an eloquent demonstration of the capacity of local industries to positively impact the fortunes of the national economy.”

He added, “The trickledown effect of this singular intervention promises to change the dynamics in the energy cost equation of the country, in the midst of inadequate and rising cost of electricity.

“The reduction will have far-reaching effects in critical sectors like industrial operations, transportation, logistics, and agriculture, contributing to easing the high inflation rate in the country; a lot of companies will be back in operation.”

Following recent energy failure which has seen Nigeria suffer its worst blackout in decades, the cost of alternate energy has been a towering challenge for both industrial and private consumption, with the price of diesel being a lead factor being the most option for industrial purposes.

However, Nigerians are curios about the effect of the reduction as it appears the recent gain and strength of the local currency (Naira) and cut in the price of diesel both within the last three weeks has had little or no effect on the cost of living.

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