Nigeria’s Finance Minister, Zainab Ahmed, has revealed that the country plans to tap 2 billion euros ($2.2 billion) this month or next of the money it raised in a Eurobond sale last year and target more local borrowing in 2022 to help fund its costly petrol subsidies as oil prices rise.
“Rising oil prices has put us in a very precarious position because we import refined products … and it means that our subsidy cost is really increasing,” she said on the side-lines of an Arab-African conference in Cairo.
In February, Nigeria’s President Muhammadu Buhari in a letter sent to the National Assembly requested for consideration and approval to accommodate the additional fuel subsidy funding. The request was for an additional provision of N2.557 trillion for petrol subsidy payments in 2022 noting that country’s budget deficit would rise to 4% of GDP as the government eyes new domestic borrowing. The deficit was originally set at 3.42% of GDP.
Despite her increasing debt profile, Nigeria’s government in January postponed its planned removal of subsidy on petroleum products till further notice. Petrol subsidy payments reportedly gulped overN1.15 trillion 2021 alone, resulting in low revenue for federal, state and local governments to cater for developmental projects.
But the price of oil has soared. The West African country depends almost entirely on imports to meet its domestic gasoline needs, even though it is a crude oil exporter. It is also facing shortages after taking delivery of some unusable substandard gasoline.
While it remains unclear by how much the commencement of active local refining will reduce the landing cost of petrol, the Chairman of Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, recently disclosed that its refinery would begin operations in Q3 2022, starting with a capacity of 540,000bpd.
Nigeria’s daily demand for refined crude oil was estimated at 442,000bpd, as of 2018, which still comes below the proposed initial capacity of 540,000bpd. Many other modular refineries are also expected to come on stream. Beyond a possible reduction in the landing cost of petrol, achieving self-sufficiency in refining petrol will help conserve the country’s scarce FX.
Ahmed said that the government was working with lawmakers to boost revenues and that the rise in oil prices means that borrowings will increase more than planned.