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NIGERIA: Report says 6 retired Army Generals may scuttle President Buhari’s 2019 power ambition

President Muhammadu Buhari’s public rating may have scaled up on account of his recognition of the June 12, 1993 election and appreciation of the efforts of Late Moshood Abiola and other human right campaigners like late Chief Gani Fawehinmi SAN, but he still has a hurdle to scale

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President Muhammadu Buhari’s public rating may have scaled up on account of his recognition of the June 12, 1993 election and appreciation of the efforts of Late Moshood Abiola and other human right campaigners like late Chief Gani Fawehinmi SAN, but he still has a hurdle to scale.

For the President, his military constituency may still be his major opposition. Many of those who had worked, in the past, to stop his ascendency to the presidency of Nigeria, may still be watching from the flanks while plotting their next move for 2019.

Within the military community are some retired generals who are not yet tired of stirring the nation’s political compass. And a few of them have already spoken out over their mindset concerning Buhari and the race for 2019. The question is, can Buhari take them on and come out unscathed?
See those he may have to take on to get through with his plots for 2019.

General Ibrahim Babangida

IBB as he is popularly called sits on President Buhari’s enemy list. Buhari is yet to forgive him for leading the pack of military officers that overthrew him in 1985. Babangida also imprisoned Buhari and refused to allow him attend the burial of his mother, a reality that has made him a Buhari enemy for life. Even efforts to reconcile the two in the early 2000s, spearheaded by the Sultan of Sokoto, failed as Buhari believed that Babangida was the one that offended him and ought to come to him to seek forgiveness.

Babangida is believed to have funded movements in the past that stopped Buhari’s quest for the presidency. The Buhari camp believes that IBB is still a dangerous figure politically and may be up to some game as 2019 approaches, especially given his renewed alliance with some top retired generals who were involved in the politics of Nigeria from 1985. Ripples Nigeria learnt that though Babangida supported Buhari’s aspiration in 2015 as a show of letting the past be, the Buhari camp remain suspicious of his constant meetings with other retired generals who now, allegedly, see Babangida as a rallying point against Buhari’s 2019 aspiration.

Chief Olusegun Obasanjo

Obasanjo was Nigeria’s president from 1999 till 2007. He presided over the 2003 and 2007 presidential elections which Buhari contested and lost, though he (Buhari) believed he was rigged out. Buhari also believed that Obasanjo used the judiciary against him in the subsequent litigations. Though he backed Buhari in the 2015 quest, Obasanjo had publicly declared ‘war’ against Buhari urging him not to present himself for election in 2019 on argument that he had failed. Obasanjo believes that Buhari has fragmented Nigeria like no leader before him had done and also mismanaged the economy such that more Nigerians now beg for food.

However, the Buhari camp see Obasanjo as even more dangerous that Babangida and one who must be contained before 2019. The camos also believes that with Obasanjo’s international and regional connections, he could stir up the international community against Buhari on account of poor human right records and alleged refusal to publicly repudiate killer herdsmen who are wreaking havoc on Nigerian communities.

Ripples Nigeria is made to understand that Obasanjo has held meetings with several retired generals in plots on how to stop Buhari in 2019. Buhari, despite accepting Obasanjo’s support in 2015, still believes that Obasanjo institutionalized corruption in Nigeria during his leadership from 1999 till 2007. Buhari is said to have told a United States of America envoy to Nigeria, prior to the 2007 general elections that Obasanjo ruined the economy and supervised a most corrupt privatization exercise.

General Abdulsalam Abubakar

Though he is not known to have shown open disapproval of Buhari’s leadership of the country since 2015, the Buhari camp believes that he has become too associated with Obasanjo and Babangida for comfort. Despite his role in ensuring a peaceful transition in 2015, the Buhari camp sees him as working with other generals to ensure that President Buhari does not achieve a second term in office. He is also alleged to be using his contacts in the international community and the African Union, to mobilize support against Buhari.

However, Gen. Abubakar remains a quiet strategist. He is not known to talk much. It was gathered that his silence but close association with other generals is unsettling the Buhari camp, marking him out as another of the top generals to watch as 2019 approaches.

General TY Danjuma

Though Danjuma is said to have donated generously, cash and materials, towards Buhari’s campaign in 2015, he is said to have fallen out with the President and is marked as one to fear because of his stupendous wealth. Danjuma is seen as a very strong voice in the Middle Belt of Nigeria and has been accused of allegedly arming his ethnic Jukun people to tackle Fulani herdsmen in the Mambila plateau area of Taraba state. The Buhari camp alleges that he had used his closeness and military background to influence a negative narrative against the Buhari presidency and caused many people in the middle belt region to draw away from the president and his party.

The Buhari camp is keeping a very close eye on him and monitoring his moves ahead of 2019. On his part, Danjuma is not sleeping. He was recently in the United States of America with the Taraba State governor, where he held talks with different groups to campaign against the Buhari administration and its handling of the herdsmen menace in Taraba state and the Middle belt region. The Buhari camp suspects that Danjuma is rallying support of retired generals from the region to work against the president’s re-election in 2019. And of as is to be expected, a response is being work out to neutralize him.

General Aliyu Gusau

Gusau was Minister of Defence under President Goodluck Jonathan. He also served as National Security Adviser to two presidents. Prior to those appointments, he worked in different intelligence agencies as a military officer. He had on two occasions sought nomination of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) to become its presidential candidate. He is known to be a very clever security eye and is said to be hawkish in his approach. He is a known ally of Babangida and Obasanjo, and also very close to Danjuma and Abdulsalam.

Though from Zamfara state like the incumbent Defence minister, Mansur Dan-Ali, the Buhari camp believes he is working in cahoots with other retired and influential generals to stop Buhari’s 2019 aspirations. Gen. Gusau is not known to be loquacious and is feared to be one of the unseen hands in the plot by some retired generals to stop Buhari in 2019.

General Haliru Akilu

Not much is known of Gen. Akilu’s involvement in politics though many in the Buhari camp believe he is another unseen hand in the move by retired generals to stop the President in 2019. However, his profile published on Wikipedia credits him as a strong member of the coupists that toppled Buhari in 1985.

According to the narrative, Akilu served as Director General of the National Intelligence Agency, Chief of Defence Intelligence, and Head of the Directorate of Military Intelligence. He played a coordinating role in the coup that ousted the democratically elected government of President Shehu Shagari and installed Maj-Gen. Muhammadu Buhari as military head of state on December 31, 1983. He as a Lt-Colonel, also played a major coordinating role in the August 27, 1985 coup that ousted the Maj-Gen Buhari regime and installed Maj-Gen. Ibrahim Babangida to power as Nigeria’s Head of State.

Akilu and Babangida have a close relationship in that Akilu’s wife and Babangida’s wife (the late Maryam Babangida are cousins. Gen. Babangida (then Chief of Army Staff (COAS) exploited his closeness to Akilu and other graduates of the NDA’s Regular Course 3 (Babangida was an NDA instructor in the early 70s) to hatch the 1985 palace coup. Akilu was strategically placed in the DMI as a mole and counterweight to Mohammed Lawal Rafindadi, Gen. Buhari’s loyal Director of the Nigerian Security Organization (NSO). Akilu’s name featured prominently in public inquest into the killing of Dele Giwa, one of Nigeria’s celebrated journalists of the Babangida era.

Politics

Uganda begins withdrawal of troops from eastern Congo DR

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Uganda has started the withdrawal of 1,000 troops deployed for a regional peacekeeping mission in the Eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC).

According to a statement released by the military, Uganda’s decision not to extend the mandate of the East African Community Regional Force (EACRF) past December 8 prompted the withdrawal.

At its meetings in Arusha, Tanzania, the CDF affirmed the DRC’s decision and advised the defence ministers of the East African Community (EAC) to formally terminate the EACRF’s operations in the country’s vast eastern region, effective December 8.

UPDF’s contingent spokesperson, Capt. Ahmad Hassan Kato, “UPDF will ensure to expedite the pull-out of its forces and equipment within the approved timelines as enshrined in the extraordinary meeting of EAC CDFS (Chief of Defense Forces) held on December 6.”

“The Uganda contingent urges all armed groups (in the Eastern DRC) to facilitate the withdrawal of the UPDF troops by observing a total ceasefire to allow the forces to exit the mission area safely,” said Kato.

Aside from EAC forces, the United Nations Organization Stabilization Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, also known as (MONUSCO), has around 12,400 troops in the Congo, with a cost of over $1 billion per year.

Lately, there has been an upsurge in violence in Congo, DR. High rates of civilian casualties and displacement have been caused by hostilities with neighbouring countries, political violence, extrajudicial killings by security forces, and conflicts between militant groups over territory and natural resources.

According to the United Nations, more than 100 armed groups and local militias operate in the eastern DRC.

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Politics

Morocco joins PPCA to phase out coal

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Morocco has joined an international campaign to phase out coal, Powering Past Coal Alliance (PPCA), an effort to secure renewable energies in the next seven years.

With Morocco, PPCA has 60 national governments united by the desire to make a clean break with coal-fired power generation.

The United States, the United Arab Emirates, the Czech Republic, Cyprus, the Dominican Republic, Iceland, Kosovo, Malta, and Norway joined the global initiative earlier at the COP 28 climate summit, according to a statement from PPCA.

Without providing a timeline, the PPCA stated that Morocco “will work together with the PPCA to develop a plan for phasing (coal) out.”

Africa bears the least responsibility for climate change, yet it is already experiencing more severe effects than most other regions of the world.

The continent has the lowest carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions per capita of any region, contributing less than 3% of global energy-related CO2 emissions to date. Africa is home to nearly one-fifth of the world’s current population.

According to official figures, about 70% of Morocco’s electricity is generated from coal, with 20% coming from renewable sources thus far this year. By 2030, Morocco wants to increase the proportion of renewable energy in its energy mix to over 52%.

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