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Nigerian stocks hit 10-month low on Dangote drop, election risk

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Nigerian stocks hit a 10-month low on Friday, dragged down by losses in the country’s biggest listed firm Dangote Cement and mounting concerns over political risk in the run-up to next year’s presidential election, traders said.

The stock market shed 2.9 percent this week, its biggest weekly fall since June 2018. It fell 2.17 percent on Friday after declining for a fifth straight day.

Dangote Cement is one of the most liquid stocks on the Lagos bourse and accounts for around a third of market capitalisation. The company fell 6.1 percent on Friday, its single biggest drop in more than a year and its lowest level in ten months. The reason was not immediately clear.

Reuters reported on Friday that an oil refinery being built in Nigeria by Aliko Dangote, Africa’s richest man, is unlikely to start production until 2022, two years later than the target date, citing sources with direct knowledge of the matter.

In July, Dangote Cement posted a 1.53 percent decline in pretax profit to 77.1 billion naira for the second quarter.

Read Also: IMF warns South Africa’s economy still faces major risks

Analysts at FBNQuest Capital said Dangote Cement’s results were weaker than expected in the second quarter, citing that as a reason for the decline.

President Muhammadu Buhari’s re-election bid has become a contentious issue after a faction of his ruling All Progressives Congress last month said it no longer supported him, triggering a wave of defections to the opposition party.

Nigeria’s security forces temporarily stopped lawmakers entering parliament on Tuesday in a blockade seen by the opposition as a bid to intimidate its leaders. Some analysts said it highlighted the potential for a fractious campaign ahead of February’s presidential election.

“Recent events … have raised the level of political uncertainty and hit market activity. Market turnover declined to a 16-month low on Wednesday,” Vetiva Capital analysts wrote in a note. “We do not anticipate much joy for the market until the political terrain settles.”

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Nigeria obtains $600 million international loans for agriculture

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To promote food security and rural development, the Nigerian government, through the Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security, has obtained more than $600 million in foreign agricultural loans in 2024.

A $134 million credit facility from the African Development Bank was acquired by the government to increase seed and grain production across the country, according to information on the ministry’s website.

“The Federal Government has secured a loan facility of $134m from the African Development Bank to help farmers boost seeds and grain production in the country,” the statement read.

The fund now stands at $634 million after the Federal Government obtained a $500 million loan from the World Bank under the Rural Access and Agricultural Marketing Project.

The project will encourage social and economic growth in rural regions while enhancing access to hospitals, schools, and agricultural centres. Its goal is to close the gap between rural communities and bigger markets.

According to Aliyu Abdullahi, Minister of State for Agriculture and Food Security, states must establish operational road funds and road agencies to receive RAAMP monies.

Aminu Mohammed, the RAAMP National Coordinator, emphasised the project’s emphasis on rural infrastructure:

“The primary objective of RAAMP is to improve rural roads and trading infrastructure to boost food production,” Mohammed said.

The initiative, already underway in 19 states, will distribute funds competitively according to socioeconomic factors, implementation preparedness, and state co-finance pledges.

By creating Rural Access Road Authorities, the project also aims to increase the representation of women in the transportation industry.

The World Bank will contribute $500 million in the second phase of RAAMP, with the federal and state governments contributing $100 million in matching funds.

Farmers throughout Nigeria have criticised the Federal Government’s agricultural initiatives as being selective and badly executed, despite its attempts to increase agrarian activity through mechanisation, irrigation infrastructure, and in certain circumstances, financial support.

Many contend that the programs mostly help well-connected people, leaving off smallholder farmers, who are the foundation of Nigeria’s agriculture industry.

La’ah Dauda, a farmer from Kaduna, called the initiatives “very selective,” adding that even the data is scarce. They only raise awareness in areas that they find appealing. If others are left out, how can you recruit new farmers?

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Nigeria’s November inflation rate hits 34.60%

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According to figures released by the statistics office on Monday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the third consecutive month in November, rising from 33.88% in October to 34.60% in annual terms.

Following a brief period of respite in July and August, the naira devaluation and a string of rises in the price of petroleum have been blamed for the inflation spike that started in September.

The most populous nation in Africa is experiencing the worst cost-of-living crisis in decades as a result of these circumstances.

The central bank has hiked interest rates six times this year, for a total rise of 875 basis points, to counteract increasing inflation.

Due to price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil, food inflation increased to 39.93% year over year in November from 39.16% the month before, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

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