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South Africa: Petrol, diesel prices to rise on Wednesday. Here’s why

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Following an increase in the price of oil due to the crisis between Iran and Israel, petrol and diesel prices will be raised in South Africa on Wednesday.

The cost of unleaded petrol will go up by 25 cents per gallon for both 93 and 95. Depending on the sulphur concentration, diesel’s wholesale price will increase by either 20 or 21 cents per litre.

Illuminating paraffin’s wholesale price will increase by 21 cents per litre, and the maximum retail price of LP gas will rise by 36 cents per kilogramme.

Fuel prices dropped to their lowest points since February 2022, when Russia’s invasion of Ukraine disrupted supply chains and limited the import of Russian crude oil, sending oil prices to multi-year highs. This was at the beginning of October.

The Department of Mineral and Petroleum Resources stated on Monday that the average price of Brent Crude oil rose from $72.82 per barrel to $75.07 over the last month, following several months of pressure on the price of oil.

“The main contributing factor is the continued conflict in the Middle East and the stand-off between Iran and Israel,” the department said in a statement.

Investors are worried that an Israeli strike on Iran’s oil infrastructure will not only remove Iranian crude from the market but also incite a larger confrontation including other oil exporters in the region.

Since oil is priced in dollars, the rand exchange rate also affects fuel prices in South Africa.

According to the department, the rand averaged R17.53/$ over the previous month, down from R17.68 in September. However, this was insufficient to offset the rising price of oil.

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IMF mission concludes 4th loan program assessment in Egypt

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Following the completion of a recent visit to Egypt, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has announced that its mission had achieved significant strides in policy talks aimed at concluding the fourth review of the IMF loan program.

The review is the fourth in Egypt’s most recent 46-month IMF loan program, which was authorised in 2022 and increased to $8 billion this year following an economic crisis characterised by high inflation and chronic foreign exchange shortages. It may unleash more than $1.2 billion in financing.

Along with reaffirming its commitment to maintain a flexible exchange rate system, the IMF stated that Egypt “has implemented key reforms to preserve macroeconomic stability,” including the unification of the currency rate that facilitated imports.

Earlier on Wednesday, Egypt’s Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said Cairo has asked the IMF to modify the targets for the programme not only for this year, but for its full duration, he added without giving more details.

“Discussions will continue over the coming days to finalize agreement on the remaining policies and reforms that could support the completion of the fourth review,” the IMF added in its statement.

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Kenya seeks $750m from World Bank, obtains $200m from AfDB— Official

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The head of debt management for the finance ministry told Reuters that Kenya had obtained a $200 million loan from the African Development Bank (AfDB) and was negotiating a fresh $750 million loan with the World Bank.

After being forced to abandon proposed tax rises costing more than 346 billion shillings ($2.68 billion) in June due to fatal demonstrations, the East African nation’s administration, which has been grappling with significant debt, has been frantically seeking fresh funding.

The Finance Ministry’s public debt management office director general, Raphael Owino, told Reuters that the IMF’s October clearance of the seventh and eighth reviews, which opened the door for a $606 million loan tranche, had aided the ministry’s talks for more loans.

“The World Bank is coming on board, riding on the back of IMF receipts,” Owino said. “The AfDB is already on board.”

The discussions for more assistance, which came under the World Bank’s “Development Policy Operations” (DPO) with the government, were confirmed by a representative at the organization’s Kenya office.

“The amount of the current (loan) is yet to be determined. The amount will also depend on the implementation of the policy reforms agreed upon,” the spokesperson told Reuters, adding that past DPO loans averaged about $750 million.

In May, the World Bank approved the latest round of DPO loans, totalling $1.2 billion.

According to a statement made last month by Finance Minister John Mbadi, Kenya has set a foreign borrowing goal of 168 billion shillings for the fiscal year ending in June 2025.

 

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