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Zambia eyes recovery following worst drought

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As it emerges from its worst drought in living memory, Zambia hopes to achieve a fast recovery in economic growth and a halving of its budget deficit in the following year, the country’s finance minister announced on Friday.

In contrast to a projected 2.3% growth in 2024, the copper producer aims for 6.6% growth in 2025, according to Finance Minister, Situmbeko Musokotwane, in a budget speech.

The El Nino-caused drought destroyed Southern Africa’s crops, resulting in food shortages and harming the region’s economic prospects this year.

Zambia’s finance minister said on Friday that the nation, which is coming out of the worst drought in living memory, intends to quickly recover economic growth and cut its budget deficit in half the next year.

Finance Minister Situmbeko Musokotwane stated in a budget address that the copper producer is targeting 6.6% growth in 2025 as opposed to a projected 2.3% increase in 2024.

A UNICEF study in March 2024 states that the majority of the country’s central and southern regions have been impacted by the dry spell since mid-January. These regions have gotten less rainfall than usual, which has resulted in the destruction of one million hectares of maize—nearly half of all the corn grown in the nation.

Since hydropower generates more than 80% of Zambia’s electricity, the analysis also predicted that the drought would cause a power shortage of 430 megawatts and have an impact on surface and groundwater levels. These projections would have serious ramifications for industries other than agriculture.

The minister further stated that following the conclusion of a Eurobond restructuring exercise, Zambia was still negotiating restructuring arrangements with certain commercial creditors.

He reported that the China Development Bank and the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China have just struck provisional restructuring agreements with Zambia.

It has been demonstrated that the agreements are in line with Zambia’s IMF program and the “Comparability of Treatment principle,” which aims to prevent the wealthier creditor nations that make up the Paris Club from making disproportionate concessions in comparison to other creditors.

The lengthy debt restructuring process in Zambia has hurt local financial markets and discouraged investment.

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Ghana central bank cuts key rate as inflation cools

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The governor of Ghana’s central bank has stated that the country’s economy is still recovering strongly and that inflation is continuing to decline, causing the bank to drop its main interest rate by 200 basis points to 27%. This was the first rate cut since January.

 

At a press conference Friday, Bank of Ghana Governor Ernest Addison stated that economic indicators point to a proceeding disinflation, with price increases continuing to moderate in the direction of the year’s short-term range target of 13% to 17%.

 

“Such a strong signalling of the monetary policy rate by reducing it by 200 basis points tells you that the central bank is quite satisfied with the progress of recovery of this economy,” Addison said, adding that all indicators including growth, inflation and fiscal policy are improving.

According to Reuters polled economists in July, Ghana’s interest rate is predicted to drop by 200 basis points by year’s end.

 

 

“This easing of policy is understandable, given that the recent falls in inflation had caused real interest rates to rise, something that this cut will partially reverse,” said Leslie Dwinght-Mensah, economist and research fellow at Accra-based Institute for Fiscal Studies.

 

 

“The strong rate of economic activity, which official data recently revealed, also gave the central bank the comfort to take this step.”

 

 

Economists surveyed by Reuters in July expected that by year’s end, Ghana’s interest rate will have decreased by 200 basis points.

 

“This easing of policy is understandable, given that the recent falls in inflation had caused real interest rates to rise, something that this cut will partially reverse,” said Leslie Dwinght-Mensah, economist and research fellow at Accra-based Institute for Fiscal Studies.

 

“The strong rate of economic activity, which official data recently revealed, also gave the central bank the comfort to take this step.”

 

Economists surveyed by Reuters in July expected that by year’s end, Ghana’s interest rate will have decreased by 200 basis points.

 

 

“This easing of policy is understandable, given that the recent falls in inflation had caused real interest rates to rise, something that this cut will partially reverse,” said Leslie Dwinght-Mensah, economist and research fellow at Accra-based Institute for Fiscal Studies.

 

 

“The strong rate of economic activity, which official data recently revealed, also gave the central bank the comfort to take this step.”

 

Following the completion of preliminary debt restructuring negotiations with two bondholder groups, Ghana extended an invitation to holders of its approximately $13 billion worth of international bonds to exchange their holdings for new instruments.

 

Bondholders can accept the offer until September 30.

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World Bank wants to protect projects in Uganda from anti-LGBT law

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The World Bank says it is rolling out measures to ensure the recipients of lending to Uganda are not discriminated against by a tough anti-gay law.

 

A World Bank spokesperson said the measures, which include an independent monitoring mechanism to ensure compliance, would apply to ongoing and new projects.

 

Uganda, a mostly conservative country, enacted the Anti-Homosexuality Act (AHA) in May last year, drawing widespread condemnation from the West and sanctions from the United States.

 

 

Same-sex relationships are illegal and carry a life sentence in jail; similarly, individuals found guilty of “aggravated homosexuality” are executed.

 

Last year, the bank decided that the law went against its core beliefs and halted all further lending to Uganda.

 

One of Uganda’s largest donors is the World Bank, particularly for vital infrastructure like electricity and roads. The financing suspension was thought to have seriously damaged Uganda’s finances.

 

The bank said, “We will not propose any new public financing for Uganda to our board until we are satisfied that mitigation measures are in place. ”

LGBT activists said in a statement this week that they had asked the bank to keep the ban on funding as long as the law remains in force.

“The World Bank’s mitigation measures are a facade, designed to provide the illusion of protection,” said Richard Lusimbo, a top official at Convening for Equality (CFE), a Ugandan LGBT activist group.

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