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Nigerian oil marketers project N600/litre for Dangote petrol

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In Nigeria, independent petroleum merchants are expecting that when Premium Motor Spirit—also known as petrol—is eventually allowed into the market, the Dangote Petroleum Refinery will sell it for N600 or N650 per litre.

According to dealers operating under the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria, the Dangote refinery will cause the price of petrol to plummet, just like it did for diesel.

In an interview on Monday, IPMAN National Vice President Hammed Fashola informed our correspondent that if the $20 billion refinery received the necessary funding, fuel prices would decrease, particularly concerning the availability of crude oil.

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, the exclusive importer of PMS, has been supplying it to marketers for N570 per litre, but the majority of IPMAN members purchase it from private depot owners for N700 and more, he claims.

“We are marketers, we go for the best. We have been buying from the NNPC, but if the opportunity of Dangote comes and the price is favourable, we will grab it. It depends on the price.

“The official price from the NNPC is around N570/litre, but the third parties, the private depots sell PMS to most of our members at N700 and above.

“Plus or minus, we hope Dangote can sell between N600 and N650/litre. N600 is still okay. However, it depends on the cost of the production from Dangote’s end. We have to be factual and sincere to ourselves. The NNPC we are talking about has an element of subsidy or what they now call under-recovery. I think something is hidden there,” Fashola stated.

“We know Dangote refinery crashed the price of diesel,” Fashola recalled when discussing the cost of diesel. Diesel cost about N1,600 when the refinery first began to produce it, and it now only costs N1,000.

“Now you can buy diesel at N1,150 or N1,200/litre. We expect the same with PMS, but this crude crisis is a major challenge. Even if Dangote is buying crude in naira, if it is at the international market price, it will make no difference. We have to be realistic.”

The head of IPMAN stated that the organisation has discussed potential commercial partnerships with some refinery executives and that the marketers are awaiting Dangote’s arrival.

“The discussion continues. We are on course. I think very soon we will conclude the discussion. We are waiting,” he stated.

Last month, Alhaji Aliko Dangote, President of the Dangote Group, predicted that the refinery would start producing petrol between 10 and August 12, 2024. For various reasons, the refinery with a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day was unable to start producing petrol on Monday.

The continued difficulty in the supply of crude oil may be a hindrance to the refinery, according to findings.

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Ghanaian cocoa farmers stockpile beans ahead of price rise

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According to industry sources cited by Reuters, cocoa farmers in Ghana, the world’s second-largest producer, are stockpiling beans in anticipation of higher prices.

This could put pressure on supplies to a global cocoa market that is trying to rebound from the devastating harvests of the previous season.

A dozen farmers, purchasers, and representatives from the state regulator Cocobod confirmed the practice, though it was unclear how widespread the up-country bean stocking was. Some blamed the practice for the slowdown in bean purchases.

“I have more than 300 bags, but I won’t sell,” said a cocoa farmer in south-central Ghana, who asked not to be named. “I will only sell after Christmas. We want to see if they will increase the price as they said.”

All of the reports claimed that farmers were responding to remarks made by Vice President Mahamudu Bawumia, who four weeks prior had promised to increase farmer prices to members of the ruling New Patriotic Party.

Speaking at Sefwi Wiaso, one of the largest cocoa-growing communities in southwest Ghana, Bawumia is vying for the presidency in the elections scheduled for December 7. Since then, he has claimed that his remarks were misinterpreted.

According to Cocobod officials, Ghana lost over one-third of its 2023–2024 cocoa production to smuggling, compounding the problems that caused production to drop to a level not seen in over two decades and contributed to record-high cocoa prices worldwide.

After a volatile session on Monday, US stocks ended the day marginally lower as investors braced for a pivotal week that would see the Federal Reserve make its policy announcement and Americans elect a new president.

Ghana increased the fixed farmgate price by over 45% to 48,000 cedis, or little less than $3,000, per metric tonne for the 2024–25 season, which began in September, in an effort to increase farmer incomes and discourage smuggling.

But Ivory Coast, Ghana’s neighbour and the largest cocoa producer in the world, increased the price to 1,800 CFA francs ($3.00) per kilogramme, which is only marginally more than Ghana’s.

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Zambian govt spends K16.6 billion in October on debt servicing, gulping K4.7 billion

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Zambian Ministry of Finance and National Planning released K16.6 billion in October to assist Zambian development and public service delivery, according to the ministry’s budget release issued by the Treasury.

The government allotted K4.5 billion to pay public service personnel salaries and allowances. Health and teaching staff and Zambian ambassadors abroad received allowances.

The government set aside K4.7 billion for debt service and arrears to reduce national debt. K2.2 billion went to domestic debt service, K256.9 million to overseas debt, and K2.1 billion to legacy fuel arrears.

The ministry’s budget, which stated, “Notable expenditures included K3.5 billion for transfers, subsidies and social benefits, K4.2 billion for various development programs, general operations and capital expenditure, and K700 million for drugs and medical supplies.”

Situmbeko Musokotwane, Minister of Finance and National Planning, took advantage of the statement to urge foreign investors to think about Zambia as a potential place to invest.

Musokotwane emphasised Zambia’s favourable investment climate while speaking at a recent World Bank meeting in Washington. He also urged collaborations in the fields of manufacturing, mining exploration, renewable energy, and agriculture.

“Zambia is endowed with critical natural resources, and we invite you to collaborate with local business players in mobilizing the resources required for green energy projects, mining explorations and development, and agriculture value chain ventures that support out-grower schemes through farm blocks,” Musokotwane stated.

He called for investors to collaborate with Zambian companies, highlighting the advantages of doing so in important economic sectors like mining, agriculture, and energy.

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