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Nigeria: Marketers worry about expensive petrol ahead of supply from Dangote Refinery

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There are concerns by petroleum marketers in Nigeria that the price of Premium Motor Spirit, also known as petrol, may rise higher than expected as petrol from privately-run Dangote Petrochemical Refinery hits the local market in two to three weeks.

The 650,000-capacity refinery’s unsuccessful attempt to obtain feedstock locally from foreign oil firms was the background against which the marketers talked. The marketers, in Interview, expressed concern that the cost of importing crude oil would affect production costs, perhaps leading to an increase in the Dangote PMS’s ex-depot price.

At a greater cost, Dangote Refinery has persisted in importing crude oil from the US and other nations. Some local marketers claim that this development has made their diesel and aviation fuel less appealing to them because of cost.

Nigeria’s state-owned refineries have not operated at full capacity for many years, despite numerous attempts to bring them back online. The high level of national anticipation surrounding the Dangote refinery is partly attributed to the failures of both the previous and present governments. The country has been hopeful that the Dangote refinery will cut down the price of PMS which jumped from around N200/litre to over N600/litre after the removal of fuel subsidies by President Bola Tinubu on May 29, 2023.

Stakeholders worry that Nigerians’ hopes of obtaining less expensive PMS may be dashed due to Dangote’s lack of access to local crude oil. The Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria’s National Vice President, Hammed Fashola, stated that the organization feared crude imports would cause Dangote gasoline prices to spike.

Even while Fashola agreed that the IOCs also have other commercial obligations, he said that the rejection of the IOCs to supply crude oil to Dangote would be a significant issue for the $20 billion refinery.

“The non-supply of crude is a big challenge for Dangote. You know Dangote cried out too. The international oil companies too will have their reasons; you know they have their commitments too. It’s not like they will start feeding Dangote only. People should understand that. I think Dangote should consider that. I know this prompted Dangote to go outside the soil of Nigeria to seek crude oil. You know when he keeps bringing crude oil from the United States, that is another cost. That is another problem we are scared of because it will still boil down to the high cost of petrol, unlike where he can source the crude locally in Nigeria,” Fashola said.

“I will advise that the government should assist Dangote in the supply of crude oil. If Dangote can get an adequate supply of crude oil locally, I think the whole problem will be solved somehow. I don’t think there will be any need for anybody to go and bring in petrol again, especially if Dangote is selling at a reasonable price,” he added.

However, Fashola ordered Dangote to refrain from monopolizing the petroleum industry if he eventually gained government approval, stating that the refinery had to charge a fair price for PMS.

“Dangote too should not see it as an advantage to start monopolising the market by raising fuel prices. Dangote has to come with a clean mind by selling at a reasonable price to the public, otherwise, people will still go and start importing if Dangote’s price is high. But if the price is normal and anybody who brings in product from abroad knows that he would run at a loss, nobody will venture into it. Dangote should be sincere, and the government should support him,” he stated.

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Kenya urges IMF to probe corruption after Western pressure

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Following pressure from Western countries, Kenya’s government has requested that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) conduct an official evaluation of the country’s governance and corruption problems.

Kenya has battled debt that has risen to dangerous levels in recent years. Its decision to back out of planned tax increases earlier this year in response to violent protests made it more difficult for the country to receive a $600 million payment from the IMF.

The countries must request the so-called “governance diagnostic,” which examines if corruption and governance flaws are sapping revenue or causing other issues with state finances.

“We have received a governance diagnostics request from the authorities,” an IMF spokesperson said in response to written questions.

“The government of Kenya aims to strengthen its governance and anti-corruption policies. They intend to utilize these diagnostics to enhance public spending efficiency, boost competitiveness, foster growth, and inclusively reduce poverty.”

According to a person with knowledge of the matter, the assessment would be a gesture of goodwill in the nation’s attempts to get its finances back on track even though it was unrelated to the payment.

President William Ruto was forced to rescind $2.7 billion in proposed tax increases in June as a result of widespread protests centred around perceived waste and corruption in the government.

Requests for comments were not answered by Kenya’s finance ministry. The news that Western countries were pressuring for the IMF review was originally broken by Reuters on Tuesday.

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TotalEnergies CEO to meet Mozambique president for further project discourse

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To discuss the company’s proposed LNG project in Mozambique with the nation’s new president, CEO Patrick Pouyanne has announced he will travel to Mozambique later this month.

“The project remains profitable, we remain committed,” Pouyanne said at an investor presentation.

The $20 billion Mozambique LNG project has been delayed because of worries about violent upheaval in the area, although Pouyanne claimed there had been “progress on security” recently.

On October 9, Mozambicans will cast their votes in presidential and legislative elections that will almost certainly prolong the fifty-year rule of the ruling Frelimo party, which is fighting a protracted Islamist insurgency in one of the largest gas reserves in Africa.

Pouyanne went on to say that lenders had affirmed between 70% and 80% of a $14 billion finance package that supports the project.

“We are waiting on the green light on financing from three credit agencies, some are in Western countries where rules on gas have changed … as soon as that is in place we will move,” Pouyanne said.

 

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