The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Kenya struck a staff-level agreement on Tuesday, according to the multilateral body, opening the door to the payment of roughly $976 million.
The fund stated that it would have instant access to $120 million provided its Executive Board approved a second review of Kenya’s Resilience and Sustainability Facility.
Additionally, the lender recommended the East African country to modify its 2024–2025 budget to incorporate more measures aimed at increasing income, given that a decline in the primary fiscal balance during the preceding fiscal year and a shortfall in tax collections were anticipated to maintain high domestic borrowing needs.
Kenya has struggled with cash since 2022, but in February it was able to partially repurchase another Eurobond that is expiring in June by selling a new $1.5 billion Eurobond from international markets, albeit at a hefty price.
The shilling strengthened versus the dollar as a result of the issuance, which also allayed investor fears about a possible default and restored trust in the economy among foreign investors. The fund suggested that making changes to the budget for 2024–2025 could help.
“Authorities have taken decisive steps towards fiscal consolidation by introducing several measures in the context of the draft 2024/25 Budget and the 2024 Finance Bill,” it added.
On Thursday, the finance minister will provide the parliament the budget for 2024–2025 (July–June). Parliament approved 4 trillion shillings ($31 billion) for the year’s total spending, which is more than the 3.75 trillion shillings the minister had given in June of last year for the 2023–2024 fiscal year. Later on, the budget was changed to 3.85 trillion shillings.
The Finance Bill 2024, a separate law including revenue-raising recommendations that some claim might bankrupt industries like financial services, transportation, manufacturing, and retail, will be introduced with the 2024–2025 budget.
The current $3.6 billion IMF agreement with Kenya was reached in April 2021. This evaluation is the seventh that the program has conducted.
Kenya will utilize a portion of a $1.2 billion World Bank budget support loan to pay around $500 million toward a maturing Eurobond this month, according to the central bank governor’s announcement last week.