In the last two weeks, investors at the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) have taken profits, which has reduced investor wealth by Ksh127.4 billion ($968.8 million) while bank stocks have been the most affected as their prices have dropped even though the shares are still eligible for final rewards.
By March 27, investors’ wealth on the NSE had reached a one-year high of Ksh1.84 trillion ($14 million). This was due to sharp gains in bank stocks as the lenders finished reporting for the full year that ended in December 2023.
The market capitalization, which is a measure of how wealthy investors are, has now dropped to Ksh1.712 trillion ($13 billion). Analysts say this is because people are taking profits, which has skewed the market by making more shares available than people want to buy. Because of this, share prices have gone down.
Most of the stocks in the banking sector hit multi-month highs at the end of March. Since March 27, their market value has dropped by Ksh44.42 billion, bringing it down to Ksh686.2 billion.
Safaricom’s market value has dropped by Ksh94.2 billion since the end of March, to Ksh679.1 billion. This is after rising in March before the book closed on a Ksh0.55 share interim payment. The telco’s share price dropped from Ksh19.30 on March 27 to Ksh16.95 on Tuesday.
“We have seen increased offers on the trading board, without the offsetting bids, hence the price trend. Broadly, it is about investors weighing the time value of their money, given that they can get higher yields on fixed-income securities,” said Ronnie Chokaa, an analyst at AIB-AXYS Africa.
Together, the rise in prices in March and the strengthening of the shilling against the dollar made it very appealing for foreign buyers to sell their shares. If the shilling is stronger when you leave the market than when you joined it, you get more dollars back on your shares because foreign investors get more dollars per shilling.