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Investors on close watch as Nigeria’s Monetary Policy Committee set to meet

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Stock market investors are looking forward to the outcome of the Nigerian apex bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meetings, scheduled to be held on Monday and Tuesday.

During its last MPC meeting in February, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) raised its benchmark interest rate, the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), by 400 basis points from 18.75% to 22.75%.

The meeting’s decision, which will be made public tomorrow, is anticipated to have an impact on investment choices made across a number of the market’s major segments, but mainly the financial industry.

Analysts have emphasized that investor sentiment and confidence in the industry are already being impacted, and this effect has spread to the entire market, due to the delayed certification of banks’ results as it seems the MPC has sacrificed the economy to draw in foreign capital in exchange for better foreign exchange supplies that will aid in resolving FX issues.

The market underperformed last week because of losses in MTN Nigeria, which fell by 12.25% W/W, Dangote Sugar, which fell by 3.67% W/W, and Transcorp, which fell by 0.32% W/W. Buying interests in First Bank Nigeria Holdings, FBNH, which gained 4.46% W/W, UBA, which dropped by 11.11% W/W, and Access Corporation, which gained 4.35% W/W, were outweighed by these losses.

Commenting on the market outlook, analysts at InvestData Consulting Limited quoted by Punch said: “We expect a mixed sentiment and profit taking to continue as players await the release of more corporate earnings with dividend possibility ahead of next MPC meeting, while Investors take advantage of low valuation to position and rebalancing portfolio.

“This is amid the volatility and pullbacks that add more strength to the upside potential. As such, investors should take advantage of price correction. Also looking at the trends and events across the globe and domestically.”

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Nigeria obtains $600 million international loans for agriculture

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To promote food security and rural development, the Nigerian government, through the Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security, has obtained more than $600 million in foreign agricultural loans in 2024.

A $134 million credit facility from the African Development Bank was acquired by the government to increase seed and grain production across the country, according to information on the ministry’s website.

“The Federal Government has secured a loan facility of $134m from the African Development Bank to help farmers boost seeds and grain production in the country,” the statement read.

The fund now stands at $634 million after the Federal Government obtained a $500 million loan from the World Bank under the Rural Access and Agricultural Marketing Project.

The project will encourage social and economic growth in rural regions while enhancing access to hospitals, schools, and agricultural centres. Its goal is to close the gap between rural communities and bigger markets.

According to Aliyu Abdullahi, Minister of State for Agriculture and Food Security, states must establish operational road funds and road agencies to receive RAAMP monies.

Aminu Mohammed, the RAAMP National Coordinator, emphasised the project’s emphasis on rural infrastructure:

“The primary objective of RAAMP is to improve rural roads and trading infrastructure to boost food production,” Mohammed said.

The initiative, already underway in 19 states, will distribute funds competitively according to socioeconomic factors, implementation preparedness, and state co-finance pledges.

By creating Rural Access Road Authorities, the project also aims to increase the representation of women in the transportation industry.

The World Bank will contribute $500 million in the second phase of RAAMP, with the federal and state governments contributing $100 million in matching funds.

Farmers throughout Nigeria have criticised the Federal Government’s agricultural initiatives as being selective and badly executed, despite its attempts to increase agrarian activity through mechanisation, irrigation infrastructure, and in certain circumstances, financial support.

Many contend that the programs mostly help well-connected people, leaving off smallholder farmers, who are the foundation of Nigeria’s agriculture industry.

La’ah Dauda, a farmer from Kaduna, called the initiatives “very selective,” adding that even the data is scarce. They only raise awareness in areas that they find appealing. If others are left out, how can you recruit new farmers?

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Nigeria’s November inflation rate hits 34.60%

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According to figures released by the statistics office on Monday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the third consecutive month in November, rising from 33.88% in October to 34.60% in annual terms.

Following a brief period of respite in July and August, the naira devaluation and a string of rises in the price of petroleum have been blamed for the inflation spike that started in September.

The most populous nation in Africa is experiencing the worst cost-of-living crisis in decades as a result of these circumstances.

The central bank has hiked interest rates six times this year, for a total rise of 875 basis points, to counteract increasing inflation.

Due to price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil, food inflation increased to 39.93% year over year in November from 39.16% the month before, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

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