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Nigeria: Investors lose N1.5trn in stocks after new monetary policy

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Following the significant changes to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) during its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting on Tuesday, investors in the Nigerian stock market lost roughly N1.5 trillion of their capital.

The MPR was raised from 18.75% to an unprecedented MPR height of 22.75%, an unprecedented 400 basis points higher than before.

With the inflation rate rising to 29.90% annually in January and the January 2024 Consumer Price Index (CPI) report indicating that food inflation increased to 35.41% during that time from 33.93% in December 2023, the decision was made to abruptly increase the MPR to address the system’s high rate of inflation and substantial liquidity.

The total value of investments made on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) is represented by the NGX market capitalization, which decreased from N55.810 trillion on Monday to N54.317 trillion at the close of trading on Wednesday.

Following the announcement of the new MPR by CBN Governor Yemi Cardoso on Tuesday, investors lost N773 billion on the stock market, and on Wednesday, it fell by an additional N720 billion.

In a similar spirit, the NGX All Share Index, or ASI, another important stock market indicator, saw a 2.7% drop for the second day in a row, closing at 99,266.02 points on Monday after closing at 101,995.53 points on Monday.

The NGX ASI fell 1.4% and 1.3%, respectively, on Tuesday and Wednesday, according to trading analysis.
Trade turnover settled lower in the market than it had in the previous session, with a 4.8% decrease in transaction value. 10,549 transactions totalling 396.23 million shares, valued at N5.83 billion, were completed.

The market’s immediate reaction to the 4% increase in MPR caused the benchmark NGX All Share index to close lower, which analysts attributed to selloffs in expensive stocks and profit-taking in blue-chip companies.

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Food prices drive second straight monthly hike in Nigeria’s inflation

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According to official statistics released on Friday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the second consecutive month in October, rising to 33.88% in annual terms from 32.70% in September, mostly as a result of increasing food costs.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

As the effects of the naira devaluation started to lessen in July of this year, a slew of hikes in the price of petroleum and devastating floods that destroyed crops once again exacerbated pricing pressures, making the greatest cost-of-living crisis in decades worse in Africa’s most populous country.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil prompted food inflation to surge from 37.77% in October to 39.16% year over year.

This year, more than 1.5 million hectares of agriculture have been damaged by torrential rain and floods in 29 of Nigeria’s 36 states, leaving millions hungry and displacing large numbers of people.

In an effort to curb inflation, the central bank has raised interest rates five times this year. On November 26, it is expected to make its final rate decision of the year.

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MTN financial report reveals drop in group service revenue

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Due to operational difficulties in Sudan and the depreciation of the Nigerian naira, MTN Group, Africa’s largest telecom provider, announced on Thursday an 18.5% decline in service revenue for the third quarter that concluded on September 30.

With 288 million users in 17 African regions, MTN said that its group service revenue dropped from 156.3 billion rand ($6.99 billion) in the same quarter of the previous year to 127.4 billion rand.

Despite stating that “the naira was less volatile on a sequential basis in Q3 than in preceding quarters,” the business reported a 48.7% decline in MTN Nigeria’s income due to the currency’s depreciation.

Due to a stronger Ugandan shilling than the previous year, Uganda’s largest contributor, MTN South Africa (MTN SA), expanded by a meagre 3.3%.

Due to “subscriber registration regulations in Nigeria and a decline in users in Sudan, where the conflict has displaced millions of people,” the business reported that its subscriber base increased by 1.6% to 288 million.

Given the higher demand in Nigeria despite the legal obstacles, MTN plans to increase its capital expenditures, which it expects would total between 28 and 33 billion rand for the entire year.

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