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Nigeria’s apex bank targets 21% inflation rate

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Olayemi Cardoso, Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, stated on Wednesday that the bank wanted to see the country’s naira strengthen and inflation drop to roughly 21%.

Cardoso stressed in a speech, a copy of which the central bank shared by email, that “inflationary pressures are expected to decline in 2024 due to the CBN’s inflation-targeting policy, which aims to rein in inflation to 21.4%.”

He continued by saying that increased agricultural output and less strain on the world supply chain would increase consumer confidence and purchasing power.

For the first time since he assumed office in September, the CBN will be under pressure to raise interest rates at its rate-setting meeting next month. Following years of unconventional monetary policy initiatives by his predecessor, Godwin Emefiele, the bank is anticipated to adopt a more conventional approach under Cardoso.

“We believe that the naira is currently undervalued, and, coupled with coordinated measures on the fiscal side, we will expedite genuine price discovery in the near term,” Cardoso said. “This coordinated approach will contribute to a more balanced and stable exchange rate.”

Reiterating its promise to settle outstanding foreign exchange obligations after paying at least $2 billion of the $7 billion owed, Cardoso stated that the CBN was working to increase liquidity in the foreign exchange market.

After taking office as president last year, Bola Tinubu implemented a number of reforms, such as eliminating the petrol subsidy and loosening regulations on currency trading. However, the nation continues to face a foreign exchange shortage and suffers from a significant discrepancy between the official and black market exchange rates.

December saw a sharp increase in food prices, which contributed to Nigeria’s worst inflation in almost 27 years. Consumer inflation grew in December for the 12th consecutive month, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). In November, it was 28.20% year over year, but in December, it was 28.92%.

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Nigeria obtains $600 million international loans for agriculture

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To promote food security and rural development, the Nigerian government, through the Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security, has obtained more than $600 million in foreign agricultural loans in 2024.

A $134 million credit facility from the African Development Bank was acquired by the government to increase seed and grain production across the country, according to information on the ministry’s website.

“The Federal Government has secured a loan facility of $134m from the African Development Bank to help farmers boost seeds and grain production in the country,” the statement read.

The fund now stands at $634 million after the Federal Government obtained a $500 million loan from the World Bank under the Rural Access and Agricultural Marketing Project.

The project will encourage social and economic growth in rural regions while enhancing access to hospitals, schools, and agricultural centres. Its goal is to close the gap between rural communities and bigger markets.

According to Aliyu Abdullahi, Minister of State for Agriculture and Food Security, states must establish operational road funds and road agencies to receive RAAMP monies.

Aminu Mohammed, the RAAMP National Coordinator, emphasised the project’s emphasis on rural infrastructure:

“The primary objective of RAAMP is to improve rural roads and trading infrastructure to boost food production,” Mohammed said.

The initiative, already underway in 19 states, will distribute funds competitively according to socioeconomic factors, implementation preparedness, and state co-finance pledges.

By creating Rural Access Road Authorities, the project also aims to increase the representation of women in the transportation industry.

The World Bank will contribute $500 million in the second phase of RAAMP, with the federal and state governments contributing $100 million in matching funds.

Farmers throughout Nigeria have criticised the Federal Government’s agricultural initiatives as being selective and badly executed, despite its attempts to increase agrarian activity through mechanisation, irrigation infrastructure, and in certain circumstances, financial support.

Many contend that the programs mostly help well-connected people, leaving off smallholder farmers, who are the foundation of Nigeria’s agriculture industry.

La’ah Dauda, a farmer from Kaduna, called the initiatives “very selective,” adding that even the data is scarce. They only raise awareness in areas that they find appealing. If others are left out, how can you recruit new farmers?

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Nigeria’s November inflation rate hits 34.60%

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According to figures released by the statistics office on Monday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the third consecutive month in November, rising from 33.88% in October to 34.60% in annual terms.

Following a brief period of respite in July and August, the naira devaluation and a string of rises in the price of petroleum have been blamed for the inflation spike that started in September.

The most populous nation in Africa is experiencing the worst cost-of-living crisis in decades as a result of these circumstances.

The central bank has hiked interest rates six times this year, for a total rise of 875 basis points, to counteract increasing inflation.

Due to price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil, food inflation increased to 39.93% year over year in November from 39.16% the month before, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

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