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Nigeria not earning enough for its developmental needs— IMF

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has stated that Nigeria is not earning enough revenue to support its developmental needs.

Nigeria’s Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Abubakar Bagudu, during the 2024 budget presentation before parliament, admitted that “revenue generation remains the major fiscal constraint to Nigeria’s fiscal viability. However, the government is reviewing current tax and fiscal policies to improve revenue generation.

“The target is to increase the ratio of revenue to GDP from less than 10% currently to 18% within the current term of this administration. Efforts will however focus on improving tax administration and collection efficiency.”

The Director of the IMF’s Communications Department, Julie Kozak, revealed over the weekend that the country’s 9% revenue to Gross Domestic Product ratio was very low and not enough to support the country’s social safety nets and development spending, and protect its vulnerable households.

“As we mentioned in our Article IV Consultation, which was held in February 2023, raising revenue from the very current low revenue to GDP ratio of 9% is essential to create fiscal space for social and development spending,” she said in response to a question about Nigeria during the briefing.

“Nine per cent of GDP is a very low revenue to GDP ratio, and it is not high enough to be able to support strong social safety nets, and development spending, to help protect vulnerable households and also to meet Nigeria’s development needs.”

She added, “The 2024 budget aims to reduce the fiscal deficit while also creating space for these priority spendings, both on the social side and also on the development side.”

 

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Nigeria’s Petroleum Regulator begins bidding round for 12 oil blocks

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The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission has announced the start of the bidding process for 12 oil blocks recently put up for sale. It also marks the beginning of the 2024 Nigeria Petroleum Licensing Round and the continuation of the 2022/2023 mini-bid round.

This was stated in a press release issued by the commission’s CEO, Gbenga Komolafe, on Monday in Abuja. Last month, the commission made the first announcement about the bidding process.

It also waived the signing bonus requirement throughout the bidding process to entice investors to bid on the auctioned oil blocks.

He said, “On behalf of the Federal Government of Nigeria, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission is pleased to announce the commencement of the 2024 Petroleum Licensing Round.”

On the number of blocks for the offer, Komolafe noted, “We have identified 12 blocks that cut across deep offshore, shallow water and onshore terrains to be made available to interested investors.”

According to him, this licensing round represents a key milestone in our commitment to supporting long-term growth and innovation in the energy sector, as well as creating economic prospects for investment to stimulate new exploration and development activities in our petroleum landscape.

He explained that the 2024 Licensing Round will provide an opportunity for domestic and foreign parties to participate in the exploration and development of Nigeria’s hydrocarbon resources. He emphasized that having access to high-quality geological and geophysical data is important to this approach.

Komolafe stated that the National Data Repository of NUPRC, in partnership with multi-client partners, is committed to providing prospective bidders with access to broad and strong datasets to help them make better decisions.

Commenting on the 12-block offer, he stated that it is consistent with the licensing round’s objectives and includes a varied range of exploratory possibilities and discoveries with varying technical and operational preferences.

Komolafe added, “Our goal for this licensing round is to harness innovative exploration techniques and foster partnerships that will enhance our production capabilities and ensure environmental sustainability.

“We anticipate that this initiative will not only expand our operations but also significantly contribute to the global energy supply, aligning with international energy security goals.”

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Ecobank’s $183 million impairment losses highlight hazards in sovereign bonds

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Ecobank, a pan-African banking group, has more than doubled its impairment losses on Ghana’s problematic Eurobonds to $183 million, highlighting the extent of risk that African lenders face when investing in state bonds.

The Lome-based lender also stated that it had removed around $39 million in interest income collected on the $13 billion Ghanaian Eurobonds from its 2023 financial statements due to continuing and yet-to-be-completed restructuring discussions with commercial bondholders.

The latest impairment losses represent a 144%  increase from $75 million in 2022.

“As of year-end 2023, the total impairment charges on Government of Ghana Eurobonds are estimated at $183 million, a significant rise from $75 million in year-end 2022,” the lender says in its audited financial statement for 2023.

“Additionally, $26 million of modification losses were incurred on the GoG debt net of impairment charge releases due to the final settlement of the old bonds for the new bonds in February under the Domestic Debt Exchange Programme.

Ecobank operates in 35 African nations, including Kenya, Burundi, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Ghana, and Cote d’Ivoire. Moody’s Investor Service, a global rating organization, has previously urged banks against excessive lending to governments, warning that their credit profiles risk being lowered alongside those of governments facing liquidity constraints.

Zambia secured an agreement with its creditors in March to restructure $3.5 billion Eurobonds, bringing respite to Lusaka, which has been grappling with a long-running debt problem. As part of the agreement, bondholders agreed to extend payment dates, allowing Lusaka to continue receiving funding from a $1.3 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) project.

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