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Zimbabwe’s economic growth to fall in 2024. Here’s why

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Zimbabwe’s Finance Minister, Mthuli Ncube, has revealed that the country’s economic growth is expected to fall to 3.5% in 2024 from 5.5% this year.

The minister explained that the fall in crop yields during the 2023–2024 farming season is expected to be caused by an anticipated drought brought on by El Nino, a natural climate phenomenon in which surface waters of the central and eastern Pacific become unusually warm, causing changes in global weather patterns.

Ncube added that growth will be hampered by falling prices for mineral commodities. According to him, Zimbabwe’s budget deficit is predicted to be 1.2% of GDP at the end of the year, and annual inflation is predicted to drop from 20% in 2023 to 10%–20% in 2024.

“Going into 2024… fiscal restraint and tight monetary policy, together with a healthy current account position, provide the necessary conditions for currency and price stability,” Ncube said.

He suggested raising the toll on the busiest road in the nation, levying sugar-filled drink taxes, and instituting a wealth tax to improve revenue collection. To promote value addition, he added, lithium miners should submit refinery plans by March 2024. Africa’s top producer of lithium is Zimbabwe.

Zimbabwe’s economy has been fluctuating since the beginning of the year 2000. It has experienced episodes of hyperinflation which resulted in the depreciation of the national currency and the introduction of a multi-currency system in 2009. Its Real GDP growth remained high at 6.5% in 2022 from 8.5% in 2021 driven by a continued growth in agricultural production.

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Nigeria’s inflation hits 28-year high of 33.69% in April

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Nigeria’s consumer inflation reached a 28-year high of 33.69% in April, up from 33.20% in March, according to statistics agency figures released on Wednesday.

President Bola Tinubu’s administration has slashed petrol and energy subsidies and devalued the local naira currency twice.

To manage pricing pressures, the central bank has hiked interest rates twice this year, including the highest hike in almost 17 years. The central bank governor has stated that rates will remain high for as long as necessary to reduce inflation. The bank will host another rate-setting meeting next week.

When compared to the previous year, the inflation rate in April 2024 was 11.47 percentage points more than in April 2023, when it stood at 22.22 percent. This implies that the headline inflation rate has increased dramatically during the last year.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, food and nonalcoholic beverages remained the largest contributor to inflation in April. Food inflation, which accounts for most of the inflation basket, rose to 40.53% yearly from 40.01% in March.

Price pressures have left millions of Nigerians facing the biggest cost-of-living crisis in decades, as they fight to satisfy their most basic necessities.

Tinubu has offered a 35% salary increase for state personnel to alleviate pressure on government workers. To assist disadvantaged households, his government has resumed a direct cash transfer program and provided at least 42,000 tons of grains such as corn and millet.

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Uganda discusses power line to South Sudan with China’s Sinohydro

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According to the president’s office, Uganda is in negotiations with Sinohydro Corporation Limited of China to build a $180 million power transmission line that would enable Uganda to export electricity to South Sudan, which is severely short on energy.

Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni received a group led by Vice President of Sinohydro Corporation Yang Yi Xin on Monday as part of the negotiations, according to a late-morning statement from Museveni’s office.

The project, according to the statement, will entail building a new substation and expanding two existing ones in addition to building a 138-kilometre high-voltage transmission line to provide power to South Sudan.

“We are very much willing to help develop this project with the required finance if needed,” Xin was quoted as telling the president.

The statement stated that Museveni endorsed Sinohydro’s proposal to carry out the project. Uganda and South Sudan inked a power sales deal in June of last year, enabling Uganda to sell electricity to South Sudan.

To enable Uganda to export electricity to South Sudan, the two nations inked a power sales deal in June of last year. The Chinese firm is completing a $1.5 billion, 600-megawatt hydropower project on the River Nile in Northern Uganda that is meant to be the source for electricity exports to South Sudan.

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