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Ruto passed up opportunity to press ‘Restart’, By Tee Ngugi

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On November 23, 2023, President William Ruto delivered his first State of the Nation Address. It was an opportunity to demonstrate the progress his government had made towards delivering on the promises he had made during the campaigns last year.

The promises were based on a radical economic philosophy that sought to reverse the “trickle down” economic practice of previous regimes. He called this the “bottom up” economic philosophy. It claimed a development plan informed by the needs of the “wretched of the earth” – the Mama Mbogas, Boda Bodas and others at the bottom of Kenya’s economic stratum.

The campaign pledges were lavish and irresponsible because they, in effect, promised “heaven on earth” in record time for the poor. The pledges had simplistic diagnosis of the economic problems and even simpler solutions.

He blamed the high cost of fuel, staple foods, power, tuition and other fees on the policies he and Uhuru Kenyatta presided over. The solutions he offered varied from reduction of taxes on different products to different ways of approaching, for example, the importation of fuel.

Yet, one year since assumption of office, Ruto’s “revolutionary” government has only served up the business as usual approach that has underpinned Kenya’s underdevelopment since independence.

Corruption continues at a steady pace. Sensitive jobs are given to loyalists, not the best in the country. Government officials continue with their wasteful ways. Negligence and incompetence, as exemplified by the chaos at the Jomo Kenyatta International Airport, continue. Punitive levies have increased. Vague plans and bumbling efforts have failed to bring the cost fuel down.

The cost of staple foods has remained high. His cabinet has proved to be the most incompetent in a long time. By his own admission, most of them are addicted to foreign travel and know very little about the dockets they head. The president himself is not averse to foreign travel, having made a record 38 foreign trips in one year.

There have been attempts to intimidate critics. Some police actions are reminiscent of the dark Kanu days. In summary, the poor have become poorer, and we are not any nearer to achieving our ambitions to becoming a prosperous equitable and fully democratic country by 2030. As a matter of fact, Ruto’s State of the Nation Address conceded that things will get worse for Kenyans. There was little trace of his erstwhile utopian vision.

Many people expected the address to offer concrete actions of recovering the momentum, offer a new Cabinet to put the train back on its tracks, outline new ethical rules for government officials, declare a merciless war on thievery and waste, etc.

Instead, the address was vague and short on detailed action. At one point, said Ruto, “The cost of living is a reality experienced by all households, which can be addressed through practical action and effective measures.” This is not a precise and concrete plan to put the country back on its tracks.

Tee Ngugi is a Kenyan-based political commentator

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Strictly Personal

In 64 years, how has IDA reduced poverty in Africa? By Tee Ngugi

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The name of the organisation is as opaque as a name can get: World Bank’s International Development Association (IDA).

I had never heard of it. And suppose I, who follows socioeconomic developments that affect Africa, had never heard of it until last week when it convened in Nairobi. In that case, likely, only a handful of people outside those who serve its bureaucracy had ever heard of it.

Maybe IDA intends to remain shadowy like magicians, emerging occasionally to perform illusions that give hope to Africa’s impoverished masses that deliverance from poverty and despair is around the corner.

So, I had to research to find out who the new illusionist in town was. IDA was founded in 1960. Thirty-nine African countries, including Kenya, are members. Its mission is “to combat poverty by providing grants and low-interest loans to support programmes that foster economic growth, reduce inequalities, and enhance living standards for people in developing nations”.

It’s amazing how these kinds of organisations have developed a language that distorts reality. In George Orwell’s dystopian novel, Nineteen Eighty-Four, the totalitarian state of Oceania devises a new language. “Newspeak” limits the thoughts of citizens of Oceania so that they are incapable of questioning whatever the regime does.

Let’s juxtapose the reality in Africa against IDA’s mission. Africa has some of the poorest people in the world. It contributes a paltry two percent of international trade. It contributes less than one per cent of patents globally.

The continent has the largest wealth disparities in the world. Millions of people across Africa are food insecure, needing food aid. A study has indicated that Africa is among the most hostile regions in the world for women and girls, because of residual cultural attitudes and the failure of governments to implement gender equality policies.

Africa has the largest youth unemployment rate in the world. Africa’s political class is the wealthiest in the world. Africa remains unsustainably indebted. The people who live in Africa’s slums and unplanned urban sprawls have limited opportunities and are susceptible to violent crime and natural and manmade disasters.

As speeches in “Newspeak” were being made at the IDA conference, dozens of poor Kenyans were being killed by floods. These rains had been forecast, yet the government, not surprisingly, was caught flatfooted.

So in its 64-year existence, how has IDA reduced poverty and inequality in Africa? How has its work enhanced living standards when so many Africans are drowning in the Mediterranean Sea trying to escape grinding poverty and hopelessness?

As one watched the theatre of leaders of the poorest continent arriving at the IDA illusionists’ conference in multimillion-dollar vehicles, wearing designer suits and wristwatches, with men in dark suits and glasses acting a pantomime of intimidation, and then listened to their “Newspeak,” one felt like weeping for the continent. The illusionists had performed their sleight of hand.

Tee Ngugi is a Nairobi-based political commentator

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This Sudan war is too senseless; time we ended it, By Tee Ngugi

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Why are the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RPF) engaged in a vicious struggle? It is not that they have ideological, religious or cultural differences.

Not that people should fight because of these kinds of differences, but we live in a world where social constructions often lead to war and genocide. It is not that either side is fighting to protect democracy. Both sides were instruments of the rapacious dictatorship of Omar el-Bashir, who was overthrown in 2019.

 

Both are linked to the massacres in Darfur during Bashir’s rule that led to his indictment by the International Criminal Court for crimes against humanity. They both stood by as ordinary, unarmed people took to the streets and forced the removal of the Bashir regime.

 

None of these entities now fighting to the last Sudanese citizen has any moral authority or constitutional legitimacy to claim power. They both should have been disbanded or fundamentally reformed after the ouster of Bashir.

 

The SAF and the RSF are fighting to take over power and resources and continue the repression and plunder of the regime they had supported for so long. And, as you can see from news broadcasts, they are both well-versed in violence and plunder.

 

Since the fighting began in 2023, both sides have been accused of massacres that have left more than 30,000 people dead. Their fighting has displaced close to 10 million people. Their scramble for power has created Sudan’s worst hunger crisis in decades. Millions of refugees have fled into Chad, Ethiopia and South Sudan.

 

The three countries are dubious places of refuge. Chad is a poor country because of misrule. It also experiences jihadist violence. Ethiopia is still simmering with tensions after a deadly inter-ethnic war.

 

And South Sudan has never recovered from a deadly ethnic competition for power and resources. African refugees fleeing to countries from which refugees recently fled or continue to flee sums up Africa’s unending crisis of governance.

 

Africa will continue to suffer these kinds of power struggles, state failure and breakdown of constitutional order until we take strengthening and depersonalising our institutions as a life and death issue. These institutions anchor constitutional order and democratic process.

 

Strong independent institutions would ensure the continuity of the constitutional order after the president leaves office. As it is, presidents systematically weaken institutions by putting sycophants and incompetent morons in charge. Thus when he leaves office by way of death, ouster or retirement, there is institutional collapse leading to chaos, power struggles and violence. The African Union pretends crises such as the one in Sudan are unfortunate abnormally. However, they are systemic and predictable. Corrupt dictatorships end in chaos and violence.

 

Tee Ngugi is a Nairobi-based political commentator.

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