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Nigeria: Central Bank’s report shows oil revenue reduced by 36% in May

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Nigeria’s oil revenue target for May dropped from N804 billion to N223 billion, a 72% reduction in government earnings, according to statistics from the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Monthly Economic Report for May 2023.

The report says “Oil revenue at N223bn for May was 36% below receipts in the preceding month and below the monthly target of N804bn”.

The CBN stated that decreased receipts from the Petroleum Profit Tax and Royalties were the primary cause of the observed shortfall in oil revenue, leading to a decline in gross federation earnings.

According to the report, non-oil revenue sources remained the main source of revenue for the federation during the review period, making up 73.4% of total revenue. Non-oil receipts came in at N614 billion, 5.4% less than the April level and 36% less than the target.

The deficiency was primarily ascribed to decreased receipts from value-added tax, company income tax, and customs and excise duties, which indicated a seasonal pattern in the submission of tax returns by Nigerian companies. In addition, the CBN said that the United States debt predicament made a drop in crude oil prices even more detrimental to earnings from the commodity.

It said: “Consequently, provisional data shows that crude oil and gas export receipts fell by 3.8% to $4.06 billion, from $4.22 billion in April. A breakdown reveals that crude oil export receipts declined by 4.2% to $3.58 billion, from S$3.73 billion in the preceding month. Similarly, gas export receipts fell by 2.1% to $0.49 billion, from $0.50 billion in April.”

Particularly, the bank noted that the average spot price of Nigeria’s reference crude oil, the Bonny Light (34.9° API), dipped by 11.16% to $76.91 per barrel, from US$86.57 pb in the preceding month.

It added that a decline was also recorded in the prices of UK Brent at $76.95 pb, Forcados at $77.24 pb, WTI at $72.34 pb, and the OPEC Reference Basket at $75.70 pb.

Nigeria’s revenue has suffered as a result of industrial-scale oil theft. According to the Nigerian Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (NEITI), the country lost 619.7 million barrels of crude oil valued at N16.25 trillion ($46.16 billion) to theft between 2009 and 2020.

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Nigeria obtains $600 million international loans for agriculture

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To promote food security and rural development, the Nigerian government, through the Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security, has obtained more than $600 million in foreign agricultural loans in 2024.

A $134 million credit facility from the African Development Bank was acquired by the government to increase seed and grain production across the country, according to information on the ministry’s website.

“The Federal Government has secured a loan facility of $134m from the African Development Bank to help farmers boost seeds and grain production in the country,” the statement read.

The fund now stands at $634 million after the Federal Government obtained a $500 million loan from the World Bank under the Rural Access and Agricultural Marketing Project.

The project will encourage social and economic growth in rural regions while enhancing access to hospitals, schools, and agricultural centres. Its goal is to close the gap between rural communities and bigger markets.

According to Aliyu Abdullahi, Minister of State for Agriculture and Food Security, states must establish operational road funds and road agencies to receive RAAMP monies.

Aminu Mohammed, the RAAMP National Coordinator, emphasised the project’s emphasis on rural infrastructure:

“The primary objective of RAAMP is to improve rural roads and trading infrastructure to boost food production,” Mohammed said.

The initiative, already underway in 19 states, will distribute funds competitively according to socioeconomic factors, implementation preparedness, and state co-finance pledges.

By creating Rural Access Road Authorities, the project also aims to increase the representation of women in the transportation industry.

The World Bank will contribute $500 million in the second phase of RAAMP, with the federal and state governments contributing $100 million in matching funds.

Farmers throughout Nigeria have criticised the Federal Government’s agricultural initiatives as being selective and badly executed, despite its attempts to increase agrarian activity through mechanisation, irrigation infrastructure, and in certain circumstances, financial support.

Many contend that the programs mostly help well-connected people, leaving off smallholder farmers, who are the foundation of Nigeria’s agriculture industry.

La’ah Dauda, a farmer from Kaduna, called the initiatives “very selective,” adding that even the data is scarce. They only raise awareness in areas that they find appealing. If others are left out, how can you recruit new farmers?

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Nigeria’s November inflation rate hits 34.60%

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According to figures released by the statistics office on Monday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the third consecutive month in November, rising from 33.88% in October to 34.60% in annual terms.

Following a brief period of respite in July and August, the naira devaluation and a string of rises in the price of petroleum have been blamed for the inflation spike that started in September.

The most populous nation in Africa is experiencing the worst cost-of-living crisis in decades as a result of these circumstances.

The central bank has hiked interest rates six times this year, for a total rise of 875 basis points, to counteract increasing inflation.

Due to price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil, food inflation increased to 39.93% year over year in November from 39.16% the month before, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

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