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Nigeria’s headline inflation rate spikes by 1.72% to hit 25.80% in August 

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Nigeria’s headline inflation rate increased to 25.80% in August and 24.08% in July in the latest report by the official state data source, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The August 2023 headline inflation rate shows an increase of 1.72% points when compared to the July 2023 headline inflation rate.

The headline inflation rate was 5.27% points higher on an annual basis than the rate, which was 20.52% in August 2022. This demonstrates that when compared to the same month the year before, the headline inflation rate rose in August 2023. (i.e., August 2022).

The Food inflation rate spiked to 29.34%, up 2.35% points from the previous month’s reading of 26.98% and 6.22% points from the reading of 23.12% for the same time in 2022.

According to the NBS, price increases in oil and fat, bread and cereals, fish, fruit, meat, vegetables, and potatoes, as well as yam and other tubers, vegetables, milk, cheese, and eggs, are to blame for the rise in food inflation on an annual basis.

Food inflation is likely to continue on an upward trend as the year ends, based on higher demands for food supplies for end-of-year celebrations.

At the sub-national level, Kogi, Lagos, and Rivers states led the chart with 31.50%, 29.17%, and 29.06%, respectively, for the annual rate of inflation for all goods in August 2023, while Sokoto (20.91%), Borno (21.77%), and Nasarawa (22.25%) had the lowest annualised rate of inflation for headline items.

The three states with the biggest annual increases in food prices were Kogi (38.84%), Lagos (36.04%), and Kwara (35.33%), whereas the three states with the slowest annual increases in food prices were Sokoto (20.09%), Nasarawa (24.35%), and Jigawa (24.53%).

The sharp rise in inflation rates has been linked to the depreciation of the official exchange rate and the effects of the elimination of petrol subsidies on consumer costs.

While the two policies have been lauded by economists and multilateral bodies like the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, their immediate effects on Nigerians remain brutal, as evident in the inflation figures.

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Nigeria obtains $600 million international loans for agriculture

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To promote food security and rural development, the Nigerian government, through the Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security, has obtained more than $600 million in foreign agricultural loans in 2024.

A $134 million credit facility from the African Development Bank was acquired by the government to increase seed and grain production across the country, according to information on the ministry’s website.

“The Federal Government has secured a loan facility of $134m from the African Development Bank to help farmers boost seeds and grain production in the country,” the statement read.

The fund now stands at $634 million after the Federal Government obtained a $500 million loan from the World Bank under the Rural Access and Agricultural Marketing Project.

The project will encourage social and economic growth in rural regions while enhancing access to hospitals, schools, and agricultural centres. Its goal is to close the gap between rural communities and bigger markets.

According to Aliyu Abdullahi, Minister of State for Agriculture and Food Security, states must establish operational road funds and road agencies to receive RAAMP monies.

Aminu Mohammed, the RAAMP National Coordinator, emphasised the project’s emphasis on rural infrastructure:

“The primary objective of RAAMP is to improve rural roads and trading infrastructure to boost food production,” Mohammed said.

The initiative, already underway in 19 states, will distribute funds competitively according to socioeconomic factors, implementation preparedness, and state co-finance pledges.

By creating Rural Access Road Authorities, the project also aims to increase the representation of women in the transportation industry.

The World Bank will contribute $500 million in the second phase of RAAMP, with the federal and state governments contributing $100 million in matching funds.

Farmers throughout Nigeria have criticised the Federal Government’s agricultural initiatives as being selective and badly executed, despite its attempts to increase agrarian activity through mechanisation, irrigation infrastructure, and in certain circumstances, financial support.

Many contend that the programs mostly help well-connected people, leaving off smallholder farmers, who are the foundation of Nigeria’s agriculture industry.

La’ah Dauda, a farmer from Kaduna, called the initiatives “very selective,” adding that even the data is scarce. They only raise awareness in areas that they find appealing. If others are left out, how can you recruit new farmers?

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Nigeria’s November inflation rate hits 34.60%

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According to figures released by the statistics office on Monday, Nigeria’s inflation rate increased for the third consecutive month in November, rising from 33.88% in October to 34.60% in annual terms.

Following a brief period of respite in July and August, the naira devaluation and a string of rises in the price of petroleum have been blamed for the inflation spike that started in September.

The most populous nation in Africa is experiencing the worst cost-of-living crisis in decades as a result of these circumstances.

The central bank has hiked interest rates six times this year, for a total rise of 875 basis points, to counteract increasing inflation.

Due to price increases for basics such as rice, maize, bread, potatoes, and cooking oil, food inflation increased to 39.93% year over year in November from 39.16% the month before, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

In an attempt to boost economic development and strengthen public finances, President Bola Tinubu devalued the naira and reduced subsidies, which caused inflation to spike in the second half of last year.

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