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693 containers abandoned at ports for 15 years! How Nigeria jokes with power sector reforms

The news was heart-rendering but it had to be told

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The news was heart-rendering but it had to be told.

On Friday, the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) revealed what many had feared; that Nigeria’s claims to being serious with its power sector reforms may have been a huge joke.

An inkling into this mindset was provided by the Managing Director, Usman Mohammed, who told newsmen via a statement that TCN had recovered more than 693 containers of power equipment lying waste at the ports for 15 years.

The company alleged tariff as excuse why the multi-billion Naira equipment were abandoned.

Even more embarrassing was Mohammed’s claims that some of the power equipment had been auctioned by the Nigeria Customs Service, promising that TCN would go after the auctioneers to recover the containers.

“TCN still has over 200 other containers auctioned by the Customs outside the ports,’’ he said.

He added, “We were able to recover 693 containers as of last week, out of a total of 800 containers that have been in the ports.

“Some of these containers have been there for 15 years.

“Others have been auctioned and we had to trace the auctioneers to get the containers.

“The government is supporting us. And with the same way they are supporting us, I know that as government has beamed its searchlight on the distribution companies, they are going to solve the problems with power distribution.”

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Friday’s revelation came on the heels of a recent face-off between Nigeria’s Minister of Power, Babatunde Fashola, and investors in the Distribution Companies (DisCos).

Trouble began to brew on July 18 when 11 Electricity Distribution Companies (DisCos) in Nigeria said the claims by the Minister of Power, Works and Housing, Babatunde Fashola, on the status of the nation’s power generation capacity were false.

Fashola had, while addressing newsmen at a briefing in Abuja, claimed that Nigeria’s power generation capacity was about 7,000 megawatts (MW), insisting that the problem facing the nation’s electricity sector had changed from unavailability of power for distribution to an excess capacity of about 2,000MW of power left unused.

But the DisCos, in a 28-page response said that the basis for the increase in power generation capacity from 4,000MW in 2015 to 7,000MW in 2018 as released by the minister was not clear.

“We do not understand the constant references to the increase of generation capacity to 7,000MW from 4,000MW for the period of 2015 to 2018 that has been used as the basis of defining the Discos as incapable of taking on more power – the stranded 2,000MW.

“A review of NERC’s ‘Daily Energy Watch’ for January 28, 2015 would indicate a generation availability of 6,421MW (divided into peak of 4,230MW and constrained energy of 2,191MW).

“In other words, it is misleading to state that available generation has grown from 4,000MW in 2015, as a measure of progress, given that a volume of generation slightly under 7,000MW already or previously existed, prior to the beginning of this administration,” they said.

The DisCos also faulted claims that the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) currently had capacity to wheel over 5,000MW, stressing that in spite of the TCN’s tested wheeling capacity of 5,500MW, with the two historical generation peaks of 5,074MW recorded on February 2, 2016, and 5,222MW on December 18, 2017, only 4,577MW and 4,265MW were wheeled or transmitted, respectively.

“In simple terms, the TCN has not wheeled energy in excess of 4,265MW ever,” the firms added.

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Miffed, Fashola, on July 21, maintained that the power firms were sabotaging the nation’s economy by their actions.

“Claims that no directives from me will save the power sector from collapse, is consistent with the views of someone who has no skin in the game.

“As for the allegation that figures of power generation and distribution released by me are not true, the taste of the pudding lies with those who eat it. Electricity consumers know what their experience was in 2015, 2016, 2017 and today.

“Electricity consumers (which include Fashola), want better service; NBET wants its money; about N800 billion, so she can pay GenCos; If DisCos can prove that FGN owes more than what we admit, they should deduct (N72 billion) from N800 billion and pay the remaining N728 billion which they owe NBET,” he said.

Signals Nigeria could be heading for total darkness as Fashola and the DisCos talked tough came on August 1 when the latter threatened to divest and walk away from the contracts.

Addressing a press conference in Abuja, the investors in Jos Electricity Distribution Company Plc, led by Tukur Modibbo, said the DisCos were doing their best and would not hesitate to sell and leave the market if anyone was interested in buying.

“You asked me whether we are willing to quit the business. Now, please listen to me and put it down clearly that we bought our distribution company cash down for $82 million in 2013; we are willing to take $72 million in 24 hours and leave.

“If you have $72 million or Fashola can give us $72 million, we are giving him $10 million discount; if we get that sum, in 24 hours we are out of this business. Please, is there anybody with $72 million here? If there is none, please advertise it for me because I’ve given you the price,” he said.

The Chief Operating Officer, Ibadan Electricity Distribution Company, John Ayodele, on his part, stated that the power companies would quit immediately if they had an opportunity to do so.

He said, “On when we are going to quit the business, the fact is that if you ask all the investors, because I’ve sat with them, if you can refund them their money in five minutes, they will quit in 10 minutes. No investor wants to stay.”

With power games very evident in high places, the joke appears to be on Nigerians who, over the years, have pinned their hopes on a so called power sector reforms that had gulped billions of dollars with little to show in terms of its impact on industries and homes.

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FX bank swaps account for 30% of Nigeria’s external reserves— Fitch

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Global credit ratings firm, Fitch, has claimed that approximately 30% of Nigeria’s external reserves is comprised of foreign exchange (FX) bank swaps.

 

This disclosure underscores ongoing uncertainties regarding the country’s net FX reserves, exacerbated by opaque entries amounting to nearly $32 billion in FX forwards, over-the-counter futures, and currency swaps listed as off-balance sheet commitments in the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) consolidated financial statement for 2022.

 

 

This disclosure underscores ongoing uncertainties regarding the country’s net FX reserves, exacerbated by opaque entries amounting to nearly $32 billion in FX forwards, over-the-counter futures, and currency swaps listed as off-balance sheet commitments in the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) consolidated financial statement for 2022.

 

 

The Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) consolidated financial statement for 2022 lists approximately $32 billion in FX forwards, over-the-counter futures, and currency swaps as off-balance sheet commitments.

 

These opaque entries, combined with this disclosure, highlight the continued uncertainty surrounding the nation’s net foreign exchange reserves.

 

“Uncertainty continues over the net FX reserve position, with a particular lack of clarity on near USD32 billion of ‘FX forwards, OTC futures, and currency swaps’ recorded as an off-balance sheet “commitment” in CBN’s last consolidated financial statement for 2022.

 

“Fitch estimates around 30% of Nigeria’s reserves are made up of FX bank swaps, although we expect most of these to continue to be rolled over.”

Uncertainty in Nigeria’s FX Reserves.

 

In its latest credit outlook for the country, Fitch noted that the lack of clarity over the precise size and composition of Nigeria’s FX reserves remains a significant constraint on the nation’s sovereign credit profile.

 

 

Fitch believes that the majority of FX bank swaps will be rolled over in spite of these worries, which might offer some brief stability in the reserves management. Additional report insights point to a recent increase in non-resident inflows into Nigeria, which are being driven by more stringent monetary policy measures and a greater formalization of FX activities.

 

The report also showed that by the end of April, Nigeria’s gross foreign exchange reserves had dropped from $34.4 billion in mid-March to $32.2 billion. Fitch stated that in order to support the currency, FX sales to Bureau de Change operators and debt repayments account for a portion of the decline.

 

 

By the end of 2024, the FX reserves are expected to fall to just 4.2 months’ worth of current external payments, which is in line with the “B” median.

 

“Gross FX reserves fell to USD32.2 billion at end-April, from a peak of USD34.4 billion in mid-March, partly reflecting repayment of existing debt obligations, and FX sales to BDCs to support the currency.

 

“Fitch projects a broadly flat current account surplus, averaging 0.5% of GDP in 2024-2025, supported by a modest rise in oil production and remittances.

 

“We forecast FX reserves to fall to 4.2 months of current external payments at end-2024 (‘B’ median 4.2), from 4.4 months at end-2023.”

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VenturesNow

Nigeria offers oil majors faster exit if …

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Oil-rich West African country, Nigeria, has offered major oil companies, such as Exxon Mobil and Shell, that planned to leave the country’s onshore oil an offer for quicker exit approval on the ground that they take responsibility for spills rather than wait for authorities to apportion blame.

The regulator tt a meeting with the companies in Abuja, Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) chief Gbenga Komolafe offered a short-term option with faster approval if the companies commit to cleaning up spills and compensating communities.

To concentrate on deepwater drilling, Exxon, Shell, TotalEnergies, and Eni have all attempted to withdraw from Nigeria’s oil-rich Niger Delta in recent years, claiming security issues including theft and sabotage. Regulatory obstacles have, however, caused their exits to be postponed.

“We have the undertaking here. The consent here though fixed for June, could be much shorter,” he said.

“If you agree to take that option, you sign the undertaking knowing that there are obligations to be fulfilled,” Komolafe said.

The second long-term alternative might push back the final approval until August by requiring NURPC to identify and assign all liabilities first. In order to safeguard the environment, local populations, and the long-term viability of the assets, NURPC is attempting to strike a compromise between expediting the exit for oil majors.

According to them, the corporations are considering their alternatives and will reply shortly. Meanwhile, some observers say the accelerated option could cost oil majors millions of dollars for cleanups and reparations.

“The risk with option 1 is the transferor will continue to take responsibility for the asset until the process is completed while option 2 puts them at the mercy of the regulator since they waived their right to deemed approval,” said Ayodele Oni, energy lawyer at Lagos-based Bloomfield law firm.

Following the majors’ withdrawal, 26 onshore blocks with a combined estimated reserve of 13.76 billion barrels of oil, 2.70 billion barrels of condensate, and roughly 90,717 billion cubic feet of gas are up for grabs, according to NUPRC.

“We aim to ensure that the companies that take over these blocks have the necessary financial resources and possess the technical expertise required to responsibly manage the blocks throughout their lifecycle under good asset stewardship practices,” Komolafe said.

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