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Polluters owe Africa as much as Africa owes them; let’s debt-swap by Joachim Buwembo

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The time for grandstanding is over. In fact, the time for buying time in matters of climate is up. The world has been boxed into a perilous situation by the reckless actions of rich industrial countries.

Now the planet could be on the way to becoming inhospitable for human beings. And, as if that is not bad enough, of the world’s eight billion people, the most innocent 1.4 billion are the worst affected by the consequences of the biggest polluters.

This situation was recognised years ago and, the climate being a physical matter of science and not a matter of arguments, the big polluters admitted their culpability and committed to paying $100 billion per year, starting 2020 up to 2025, as their Nationally Determined Commitments.

The climate damage is likely to finish off Africans before the big polluters because of the continent’s low resilience. Africa is yet to develop the infrastructure and economic systems to withstand the shocks triggered by climate change.

And its capacity to transition to clean energy cannot develop because the climate shocks have worsened its economy. This is because the African economies are sinking deeper in debt every day.

Most indebted

In this region, Kenya, which is considered the biggest economy, is actually the most indebted. A growing number of Kenyans even believe that their national assets, their heritage like the port of Mombasa, have been mortgaged to money lenders.

The final outcome of this could be instability and reducing the viability of African states. Indeed, the reckless pollution by the rich countries directly hastens the extinction of the African nations.

This matter is simple to resolve. Africa’s debt is about $700 billion. The climate dues owed by the polluters as committed by themselves will, as of 2025, stand at $600 billion. Since they have delayed paying up, then at 20 percent annual interest it should come to the same amount.

In brief, the common sense solution should be to swap the two debts so they cancel out. Africa does not need the climate money to do anything else but fixes the climate mess created by the polluters. Let the debts be swapped so that Africa gets out of the debt bondage it has been pushed into.

Debt swap

Hopefully, the United Nations is not going to plead incompetence to arrange the debt swap. There should be no shortage of expertise to perform the calculations to make the book conclusion of these debt things. But the African Union can help speed up the debt swap by stopping the African countries from servicing the debts immediately. That should help the convener of the UN Conference of Parties to conclude the swap before COP28.

The question of why Africa contracted the debts should not arise unless it is being asked by naïve children who have not read how these debts are conceived, initiated, and executed. Even the children in their late teens should have heard enough to know that these debts are mostly meant to enrich the lenders and further impoverish the borrowers.

And, yes, they are initiated, aggressively sold, and managed by lenders. In fact, Africa should have no business returning to the COPs before the debt swap is affected.

Buwembo is a Kampala-based journalist. E-mail:buwembo@gmail.com

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In 64 years, how has IDA reduced poverty in Africa? By Tee Ngugi

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The name of the organisation is as opaque as a name can get: World Bank’s International Development Association (IDA).

I had never heard of it. And suppose I, who follows socioeconomic developments that affect Africa, had never heard of it until last week when it convened in Nairobi. In that case, likely, only a handful of people outside those who serve its bureaucracy had ever heard of it.

Maybe IDA intends to remain shadowy like magicians, emerging occasionally to perform illusions that give hope to Africa’s impoverished masses that deliverance from poverty and despair is around the corner.

So, I had to research to find out who the new illusionist in town was. IDA was founded in 1960. Thirty-nine African countries, including Kenya, are members. Its mission is “to combat poverty by providing grants and low-interest loans to support programmes that foster economic growth, reduce inequalities, and enhance living standards for people in developing nations”.

It’s amazing how these kinds of organisations have developed a language that distorts reality. In George Orwell’s dystopian novel, Nineteen Eighty-Four, the totalitarian state of Oceania devises a new language. “Newspeak” limits the thoughts of citizens of Oceania so that they are incapable of questioning whatever the regime does.

Let’s juxtapose the reality in Africa against IDA’s mission. Africa has some of the poorest people in the world. It contributes a paltry two percent of international trade. It contributes less than one per cent of patents globally.

The continent has the largest wealth disparities in the world. Millions of people across Africa are food insecure, needing food aid. A study has indicated that Africa is among the most hostile regions in the world for women and girls, because of residual cultural attitudes and the failure of governments to implement gender equality policies.

Africa has the largest youth unemployment rate in the world. Africa’s political class is the wealthiest in the world. Africa remains unsustainably indebted. The people who live in Africa’s slums and unplanned urban sprawls have limited opportunities and are susceptible to violent crime and natural and manmade disasters.

As speeches in “Newspeak” were being made at the IDA conference, dozens of poor Kenyans were being killed by floods. These rains had been forecast, yet the government, not surprisingly, was caught flatfooted.

So in its 64-year existence, how has IDA reduced poverty and inequality in Africa? How has its work enhanced living standards when so many Africans are drowning in the Mediterranean Sea trying to escape grinding poverty and hopelessness?

As one watched the theatre of leaders of the poorest continent arriving at the IDA illusionists’ conference in multimillion-dollar vehicles, wearing designer suits and wristwatches, with men in dark suits and glasses acting a pantomime of intimidation, and then listened to their “Newspeak,” one felt like weeping for the continent. The illusionists had performed their sleight of hand.

Tee Ngugi is a Nairobi-based political commentator

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This Sudan war is too senseless; time we ended it, By Tee Ngugi

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Why are the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RPF) engaged in a vicious struggle? It is not that they have ideological, religious or cultural differences.

Not that people should fight because of these kinds of differences, but we live in a world where social constructions often lead to war and genocide. It is not that either side is fighting to protect democracy. Both sides were instruments of the rapacious dictatorship of Omar el-Bashir, who was overthrown in 2019.

 

Both are linked to the massacres in Darfur during Bashir’s rule that led to his indictment by the International Criminal Court for crimes against humanity. They both stood by as ordinary, unarmed people took to the streets and forced the removal of the Bashir regime.

 

None of these entities now fighting to the last Sudanese citizen has any moral authority or constitutional legitimacy to claim power. They both should have been disbanded or fundamentally reformed after the ouster of Bashir.

 

The SAF and the RSF are fighting to take over power and resources and continue the repression and plunder of the regime they had supported for so long. And, as you can see from news broadcasts, they are both well-versed in violence and plunder.

 

Since the fighting began in 2023, both sides have been accused of massacres that have left more than 30,000 people dead. Their fighting has displaced close to 10 million people. Their scramble for power has created Sudan’s worst hunger crisis in decades. Millions of refugees have fled into Chad, Ethiopia and South Sudan.

 

The three countries are dubious places of refuge. Chad is a poor country because of misrule. It also experiences jihadist violence. Ethiopia is still simmering with tensions after a deadly inter-ethnic war.

 

And South Sudan has never recovered from a deadly ethnic competition for power and resources. African refugees fleeing to countries from which refugees recently fled or continue to flee sums up Africa’s unending crisis of governance.

 

Africa will continue to suffer these kinds of power struggles, state failure and breakdown of constitutional order until we take strengthening and depersonalising our institutions as a life and death issue. These institutions anchor constitutional order and democratic process.

 

Strong independent institutions would ensure the continuity of the constitutional order after the president leaves office. As it is, presidents systematically weaken institutions by putting sycophants and incompetent morons in charge. Thus when he leaves office by way of death, ouster or retirement, there is institutional collapse leading to chaos, power struggles and violence. The African Union pretends crises such as the one in Sudan are unfortunate abnormally. However, they are systemic and predictable. Corrupt dictatorships end in chaos and violence.

 

Tee Ngugi is a Nairobi-based political commentator.

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