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Massive job losses loom in Kenya as US Dollar shortages persist

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Workers in the private sector in Kenya are on the verge of losing their jobs following an acute shortage of the dollar which could trigger manufacturing firms to shut down or suspend operations as they try to navigate cash flow problems.

The fears were raised barely a week after the Kenya Association of Manufacturers (KAM) warned that most of its members are facing challenges accessing the dollar.

According to the KAM, firms like Pwani Oil, the manufacturer behind the Salit Oil, Mpishi Poa, and Fresh Fry cooking oil products, has announced a temporary halt of its operations, citing dollar shortage which has hindered it from sourcing key commodities.

KAM Chairperson Mucai Kunyiha on May 30, had said manufacturers have been forced to plan for foreign currency payments by purchasing foreign currency in advance resulting in an increase in working capital.

A foremost Kenyan economist, Ken Gichinfa who spoke on a radio programme on Wednesday, said with sufficient dollars in reserves, the shortage is being occasioned by pent-up demand for the dollars which has led to the depreciation of the Kenyan shilling.

“The worst-case scenario is that many firms will shut down resulting in job losses escalating due to manufacturers struggling to meet their obligations.

“If the situation remains unresolved, the business community involved with importation, like manufacturers and car dealers, will be largely affected and might lead to further closure and job losses,” Gichinga said.

But in response to the fears, the Kenyan Central Bank (CBK) accused the manufacturers of causing the scarcity of the dollars.

“The manufacturers should understand that they are small in that sense and sort of go to the market like everyone else. There are no favorites in the market. Follow the rules of the market and everything will be okay,” the CBK head, Patrick Ngugi Njoroge had previously remarked.

Kenya is already battling rising inflation which has heightened the cost of living with fuel and food prices rising.

The costs of producing goods and services remained at an 8-year high driven by rising fuel prices, higher taxes, and input shortages which forced many firms to scale back on output and employment levels.

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Nigeria gets $600 million investment from Danish firm Moller-Maersk

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Nigeria’s presidency said on Sunday that President Bola Tinubu had secured an investment of $600 million from Danish shipping and logistics company, A.P. Moller-Maersk.

Nigerian ports will get more space for container shipping services as part of the deal by improving their facilities.

A presidential spokesman, Ajuri Ngelale, said in a statement that the decision was made by Mr Robert Maersk Uggla, Chairman of A.P. Moller-Maersk, during a meeting with President Tinubu on Sunday in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, at the World Economic Forum Special Meeting on Global Collaboration, Growth, and Energy for Development.

”We have seen a significant opportunity for Nigeria to cater for larger container ships. Historically, most of the West African coasts are already served by smaller ships. Currently, we see an opportunity to deploy larger ships to Nigeria. To achieve this, we need to expand the port infrastructure, especially in Lagos, where we need a bigger hub for logistics services. The growth potential is hard to quantify,” Ngelale quoted Uggla as saying.

”We believe in Nigeria, and we will invest $600 million in existing facilities and make the ports accommodating for bigger ships.”

Tinubu, for his part, thanked the company for what it did for the Nigerian economy.

“We appreciate your business and the contribution you have made and continue to make to our country’s economy over time. We do not take our partners for granted. A bet on Nigeria is a winning bet. It is also a bet that rewards beyond what is obtainable elsewhere,” Tinubu said.

“More investment opportunities are available, and my government has worked on various reforms to encourage investments. We need to encourage more opportunities for revenue expansion and minimize trans-shipments from larger ships to smaller ships.”

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Nigeria: Bureaux De Change operators to harmonise retail FX market

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Amidst the volatility around the Nigerian currency and its foreign exchange market, the Association of Bureaux De Change Operators in the country has revealed plans for a unified retail end of the foreign currency market.

 

In a statement released on Saturday, the association said that the move would reduce volatility and improve regulatory compliance in that market sector.

 

The lack of dollars has had a huge effect on Nigeria. In the past few weeks, the naira has hit all-time lows, and the central bank has had to weaken the currency twice in less than a year and launched campaigns against currency racketeers as well as other policies like banning Binance and other crypto companies’ online sites through the Nigerian Communications Commission to stop what the government saw as ongoing manipulation of the foreign exchange market and the illegal flow of money.

 

Aminu Gwadabe, President of ABCON, said that the organization was putting plans in place to bring together market operators from different backgrounds. These plans included starting state groups to coordinate, integrate, and run a single market structure.

 

Gwadebe said that all BDC owners in Nigerian markets would be taken care of when it was done. He also talked about plans to improve its Business Process Platform, which used to be known as SAAZ Master.

 

He said, “Part of our vision for a united retail-end forex market includes activating geo-mapping and automated BDCs physical office verification exercise using the Remote Gravity Physical verification apps. This will enable forex buyers to locate BDCs offices for effective and seamless transactions easily.”

 

He said again that a strong retail end forex market would help the Central Bank of Nigeria reach its goal of real price discovery for the naira, as well as meet international obligations and national goals, make it easier for security agencies to monitor and supervise, and give BDC players a better view of the market.

 

Gwadabe says that the goal of a unified retail end forex market will help with the creation of market intelligence reports, improve the image of BDCs, other players, and market operators both locally and internationally, and create more jobs.

 

Gwadabe said that if this plan is carried out well, it will help the government make money through a digitalized retail end market and create a well-structured, open, and competitive platform to stop the threat of illegal platforms.

 

“With the world going digital, BDC operators under the ABCON leadership are committed to staying ahead of the competition by deploying time-tested technology to deliver effective services to foreign exchange end-users.

 

“Finally, we also condemned in its entity, the seeming reappearance of illegal economic behaviours in forex conversion and peer-to-peer trading that pose another recent surprise in naira volatility and I therefore want to warn that while surprises are the new normal, resilience is also the new skills,” Gwadebe explained.

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