In Ivory Coast, the world’s largest cocoa producer, multinational cocoa exporters are concerned that farmers may cut back on supply in the upcoming months due to crop-damaging weather, increasing the likelihood that some may not fulfil their obligations.
The amount of beans arriving at ports this season is 34% more than in 2023–2024. But according to one unidentified European buyer’s director, last season was the worst in ten years.
“If you compare arrivals to 2022, a normal season, we are 15% below that. That means the situation isn’t rosy, despite appearances,” said a second European exporter.
After crops were destroyed by severe rains, excitement has given way to despair in the west and southwestern districts of Ivory Coast, which produce more than half of the country’s cocoa.
“We were happy at the start of October, but the rains arrived and ruined everything. Today we only have a few pods to harvest and nothing more,” said Daniel Konan Kanga, a farmer who owns six hectares in the western city of Duekoue.
“There’s nothing more to harvest,” said Simon Djedje, who owns five hectares in the southwestern region of Soubre.
The majority of the primary crop in the Ivorian bush was finished in November, according to cooperatives, purchasers, and intermediaries, and shortages are predicted to persist into February or March.
The mid-crop harvest usually starts in April, while the main crop often peaks in December.
“I don’t see how we can meet our target volumes with two or three months of low arrivals,” said another director at a multinational exporter in the port of San Pedro.
“It’s clear that production will be weak for two months through January and February, maybe even March. It will be untenable.”