As reported by the electoral commission on Tuesday, Abdirahman Cirro, the opposition leader of Somaliland, triumphed against incumbent president Muse Bihi Abdi in last week’s election. This initiates a leadership transition as the secessionist Somali province seeks international recognition.
Since proclaiming independence from Somalia in 1991, Somaliland has maintained de facto self-governance; nevertheless, it has not received recognition from any nation, which limits access to foreign financing and restricts travel for its six million inhabitants.
Musa Hassan, head of the Somaliland Electoral Commission, reported that Cirro, leader of the opposition Waddani party, secured 64% of the vote, while Bihi received 35%.
Situated at the intersection of the Indian Ocean and Red Sea, Somaliland perceives international recognition as attainable following a preliminary agreement with landlocked Ethiopia in January, which would provide Addis Ababa with a coastal strip in return for recognition.
Hargeisa, the capital, is likewise optimistic that President-elect Donald Trump’s new government would support its interests. Trump’s first-term top Africa policy officials have expressed support for Somaliland’s recognition.
While Somalia entered a civil conflict from which it has not yet recovered, Somaliland has experienced a comparable period of stability since gaining autonomy thirty years ago.
Although Cirro has expressed widespread support for the preliminary agreement with Ethiopia, it is unclear if he will actually carry it out. He could be more receptive to communication with the government of Somalia, which is against the deal, according to some observers.
The agreement has strained ties between Mogadishu and Ethiopia, which is a key backer of a peacekeeping force battling Islamist terrorists in Somalia, and has brought Somalia closer to Ethiopia’s longstanding adversaries, Egypt and Eritrea.
“While I think there are concerns that (Cirro) may opt for a radical departure from his predecessor, jettison the MOU, embrace dialogue with Somalia, there’s a big difference between campaigning and governing,” said Matt Bryden, a strategic adviser with the Sahan think-tank.