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Nigeria’s debt servicing rises by 68.8% in H1

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The latest data from the Central Bank of Nigeria has revealed that Nigeria’s debt servicing reached N6.04tn in the first half of 2024, a remarkable increase of 68.8% over the N3.58tn reported during the same time in 2023.

This suggests that the Nigerian government’s debt servicing expenses were around three times higher than its staff expenditures throughout the review period.

The devaluation of the naira for international debt repayments is probably the primary cause of this steep increase in debt service requirements. The Federal Government is facing an increasing strain as repayment of debts takes up a substantial amount of its financial resources.

Personnel costs, on the other hand, increased 17.6% from N1.97tn in H1 2023 to N2.32tn in H1 2024.

Debt servicing is now nearly three times the government’s salary bill, according to this spending pattern, which raises questions about the sustainability of the debt profile of the nation and the mounting strain on public finances.

The overall amount spent on salaries in the first half of 2024 increased very slightly, despite the country’s rising cost of living.

Approximately 50% of the Federal Government spending in H1 2024 went towards debt service. The total amount spent by the government increased by 29.6% to N12.17 trillion in H1 2024 from N9.39 trillion in H1 2023. The increase in overall spending has led to a wider fiscal deficit, with N6.6 trillion in H1 2023 and N8.44 trillion in H1 2024 representing a 27.9% growth in deficit.

The government’s difficulty in managing its earnings and expenditures is highlighted by this expanding imbalance, which is made worse by the government’s mounting debt commitments.

Nigeria’s present fiscal trajectory may not be sustainable given the country’s ongoing expansion in the budget deficit and growing reliance on debt financing to make up for revenue deficits.

Recurrent spending, which includes staff compensation and debt servicing, increased by 51.4% from N6.72 trillion in H1 2023 to N10.17 trillion in H1 2024.

The burden of debt servicing, which currently accounts for a sizable amount of ongoing expenses, keeps the government’s finances tight.

In H1 2024, recurrent expenses alone more than doubled revenue, accounting for nearly 27% of retained revenue. This shows how much fiscal strain the government is under.

Capital expenditure, which is essential for long-term economic growth and the development of infrastructure, decreased by 25.3% from N2.68tn in H1 2023 to N1.99tn in H1 2024, despite an increase in overall spending.

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Kenya seeks $750m from World Bank, obtains $200m from AfDB— Official

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The head of debt management for the finance ministry told Reuters that Kenya had obtained a $200 million loan from the African Development Bank (AfDB) and was negotiating a fresh $750 million loan with the World Bank.

After being forced to abandon proposed tax rises costing more than 346 billion shillings ($2.68 billion) in June due to fatal demonstrations, the East African nation’s administration, which has been grappling with significant debt, has been frantically seeking fresh funding.

The Finance Ministry’s public debt management office director general, Raphael Owino, told Reuters that the IMF’s October clearance of the seventh and eighth reviews, which opened the door for a $606 million loan tranche, had aided the ministry’s talks for more loans.

“The World Bank is coming on board, riding on the back of IMF receipts,” Owino said. “The AfDB is already on board.”

The discussions for more assistance, which came under the World Bank’s “Development Policy Operations” (DPO) with the government, were confirmed by a representative at the organization’s Kenya office.

“The amount of the current (loan) is yet to be determined. The amount will also depend on the implementation of the policy reforms agreed upon,” the spokesperson told Reuters, adding that past DPO loans averaged about $750 million.

In May, the World Bank approved the latest round of DPO loans, totalling $1.2 billion.

According to a statement made last month by Finance Minister John Mbadi, Kenya has set a foreign borrowing goal of 168 billion shillings for the fiscal year ending in June 2025.

 

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Dangote refinery begins petroleum sales to West Africa

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In an indication to traders that the activities of its mega-refinery might soon disrupt regional fuel markets, Nigeria’s private Dangote Petroleum Refinery has started exporting refined petroleum products to neighbouring West African nations.

According to a Bloomberg story on Tuesday, a tanker had transported a consignment of petrol from the Dangote Petroleum Refinery to seas off the coast of Togo, a nearby West African nation. The article cited data from Vortexa, Kpler, Precise Intelligence, a port report, and a ship-tracking tool.

According to the source, a CL Jane Austen recently departed west after loading over 300,000 barrels from Dangote.

Recall that Mustapha Abdul-Hamid, the chairman of the Ghana National Petroleum Authority, stated last month that the nation is thinking of purchasing petroleum products from the Dangote refinery in order to reduce the approximately $400 million it spends each month on more costly exports from Europe.

Speaking at the OTL Africa Downstream Oil Conference in Lagos, the chairman of NPA, Ghana, said that by eliminating freight expenses, buying from Nigeria instead of Europe will lower the cost of other products and services.

“If the refinery reaches 650,000bpd a day capacity, all that volume cannot be consumed by Nigeria alone, so instead of us importing as we do right now from Rotterdam, it will be much easier for us to import from Nigeria and I believe that will bring down our prices,” Hamid said.

Two weeks ago, it was announced that the refinery would start exporting fuel to Namibia, Angola, and South Africa. Four more African nations—Niger Republic, Chad, Burkina Faso, and Central Africa Republic—had also begun talks with the refinery, it was said.

According to a very reliable source who spoke directly to one of our reporters, the management of the refinery with a capacity of 650,000 barrels per day was in the advanced stages of negotiations with the nations to begin lifting petroleum.

“I can confirm to you that talks are actually at the advanced stage with Ghana, Angola, Namibia, and South Africa, while the initial discussion is coming up with Niger, Chad, Burkina Faso, and the Central African Republic,” the source said.

The petroleum product shipment is currently floating off the coast of Lome, which is a well-liked location for ship-to-ship transfers, according to the source.

Furthermore, the final destination of the cargo of the CL Jane Austen is uncertain.

Despite being off Togo, the region is frequently utilised for ship-to-ship transfers, thus the gasoline may eventually be transported elsewhere.

“While the shipment is tiny in the context of the global gasoline market, it signals the ramp-up of Dangote’s production and the potential to export significant volumes of gasoline beyond Nigeria, which could upend regional markets.”

Last month, the refinery sent its first shipment of petrol by sea to Lagos, a neighbouring commercial centre.

Under the regulatory statute, the Federal Government last month terminated the state-owned oil company’s monopoly on purchasing gasoline from the plant for domestic use, but it has permitted the ongoing importation of fuel from the US and Europe.

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