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Nigeria considers US diaspora bond, seeks $1 billion monthly remittance

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Nigeria is aiming for remittance inflows of $1 billion per month and is thinking of issuing a diaspora bond in the US next year, the country’s central bank governor told Reuters on Thursday.

Since the present government started implementing extensive changes last year, Nigerians living overseas are eager to invest and have already more than doubled the amount of money they bring home, according to Central Bank Governor Olayemi Cardoso.

In an interview conducted on the fringes of IMF and World Bank meetings in Washington, D.C., Cardoso stated that a diaspora bond “could be on the horizon” in 2025 in the United States, which is home to the highest concentration of Nigerians living abroad.

“They want to invest … beyond just financially,” Cardoso said of Nigerians abroad.

“Our currency has now become extremely competitive and cheap. So they see the opportunity of taking positions in assets back home and in businesses back home.”

When President Bola Tinubu took over Africa’s oil-producing giant last year, he discovered a debilitating gasoline subsidy cost, a tightly controlled naira currency that was impeding investment, and a multi-billion dollar backlog of foreign exchange payments.

Cardoso was appointed by Tinubu in September 2023; Godwin Emefiele, his predecessor, is being tried for alleged corruption and criminal fraud.

With fuel prices five times higher and the naira worth only a fourth of what it was when Tinubu entered office, Cardoso said the bank’s attempts to win back investor confidence were succeeding. According to him, officials are aiming for $1 billion per month, and remittances reached $600 million in September from $250 million per month in the spring of this year.

“I would be surprised if we are not there by this time next year,” he said.

With reserves now worth over $40 billion, Cardoso stated that long-term attempts to diversify the economy away from oil could benefit from the weak naira.

“Now that our currency is relatively competitive … there should be the opportunity for those who have relied so much on importation to now beef up the productive activity that has so greatly eluded us over these years,” he said.

According to Cardoso, the bank will employ “vigilant” inflation monitoring and base interest rate choices on economic facts. He claimed that maintaining consistency in policy would attract longer-term foreign investment capital; investors were still evaluating the system at this point.

“Only time can show that you can stay the course,” he said.

Cardoso claimed that the government’s difficult decisions had received “an element of validation” from his talks with foreign Nigerians, investors, and rating agencies.

“It is necessary for people back home who have felt the brunt of a lot of these reforms to be able to … see that we are on the right course,” he said.

 

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Nigeria: Marketers predict further price cut as another refinery begins operations

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Oil marketers and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority expect refined petroleum product prices to reduce as another public refinery in Warri begins operations.

The marketers made the prediction when the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited launched the 125,000-barrel-per-day Delta State WRPC. NNPCL also wants to export locally refined goods for foreign cash. Last month, the 60,000-barrel-per-day Port Harcourt Refinery in Rivers State began operations.

During an inspection tour of the facility on Monday, the NNPCL Group Chief Executive Officer, Mele Kyari, explained that the inspection aimed to show Nigerians the level of work completed so far.

During a tour with NMDPRA CEO Farouk Ahmed and NNPC Board Chairman Pius Akinyelure, Kyari said that while facility repairs were not yet 100% complete, refining operations had begun and would produce straight-run kerosene, diesel and naphtha.

In a statement commemorating the milestone, President Bola Tinubu stated the plant is functioning at 60% or 75,000 barrels per day.

Kyari said, “We are taking you through our plant. This plant is running. Although it is not 100 per cent complete, we are still in the process. Many people think these things are not real. They think real things are not possible in this country. We want you to see that this is real.”

Since some of these goods would be shipped to foreign markets, he said, the reopening of the Warri refinery will help the country become a net exporter of petroleum products.

“Secondly, this plant had three stages; we have started plant one, which we call Area One. It can produce AGO (diesel), kerosene, naphtha, and a blend of crude oil. These are high-grade quality products required in the country, and we may need to export them. So this will give us cash, this company will make money and the promise of Mr President that this country must be a net exporter of petroleum products is already happening. Some of these products will go into the international market.

“Most importantly, I must put on record that Mr President believes that we can get this to work and get them to start and gave us the charge that we must start all three refineries. It’s already happening; we have started the 60,000 barrels per day refinery, and Area One of the Warri refinery is already working. Other plants that would produce PMS are being streamed and they would also come alive.

Mustapha Zarma, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria’s National Operations Controller, stated that the rivalry in the downstream oil industry will become more fierce.

There will undoubtedly be a further decrease in pricing if the plant begins producing goods in bulk, he stated. This is because the market will ultimately be influenced by market forces and there will be fierce rivalry.

Until recently, none of Nigeria’s publicly owned refineries has worked to capacity for years, despite several investments to revive them. The failure of the government to revive them contributed to the high level of national anticipation surrounding the Dangote refinery whose operations appear to have revolutionalised the industry.

The refinery will concentrate on manufacturing and storing essential goods, such as heavy and light naphtha, automotive petrol oil and straight-run kerosene.

The country’s first fully owned refinery, the WRPC, was put into service in 1978 and is situated in Warri, Delta State, Nigeria. It was first built to process 100,000 barrels of crude oil a day, but in 1987 it was updated to process 125,000 barrels.

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Kenya: Consumer inflation rises to 3.0% from 2.8%

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Kenya’s statistics agency said on Tuesday that Kenya’s consumer price inflation increased slightly to 3.0% year-over-year in December from 2.8% the previous month.

According to a release from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, monthly inflation was 0.6%, down from 0.3% in November. Kenya aims to have a medium-term inflation rate of 2.5% to 7.5%.

With inflation under control, Kenya’s central bank said there was an opportunity for looser policy to assist economic development, lowering its benchmark lending rate by a larger-than-expected 75 basis points to 11.25% on December 5.

 

Kenya’s GDP expanded by 5.2% in 2023, up from 4.8% in 2022, thanks to a recovery in agriculture and a modest increase in services. Household consumption accounted for 70% of the growth on the demand side, while services and agriculture accounted for 69% and 23% of the growth, respectively, on the supply side.

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