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IMF recommends exporting African countries make crucial changes. Here’s why

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Abebe Aemro Selassie, director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Africa, has stated that countries in Sub-Saharan Africa that rely on commodity exports must change their economies to address uneven regional economic growth.

According to the IMF’s most recent World Economic Outlook, which was released this week, the region is predicted to develop by 3.6% this year, which is unchanged from last year and lower than an April prediction of 3.8%. Commodity economies are likely to lag behind their more diverse rivals.

According to the IMF’s assessment, the growth of the commodity-intensive nations is around half that of the rest of the region, with oil exporters bearing the brunt of what it called “subdued and uneven” regional growth.

“South Sudan, Nigeria, Angola are all very much in that camp,” Abebe told Reuters.

The IMF’s regional economic outlook for Sub-Saharan Africa was released on Friday, and while diverse economies like Senegal and Tanzania are predicted to develop at a rate higher than the regional average, Nigeria would only grow at a rate of 2.9%.

“They have had very large macroeconomic imbalances, financing challenges which have held back growth,” Abebe said.

He claimed that because those issues had led to rising inflation and pressure on the expense of living, the Nigerian government needed to “squarely address” them.

The administration of President Bola Tinubu has started a number of measures that it claims are intended to boost economic expansion and draw in foreign investment. The IMF predicted that South Africa, whose growth has been hampered by debilitating power outages, would expand by 1.1% this year.

The IMF stated that armed conflicts are also impeding growth, pointing to the fact that South Sudan’s oil exports are impeded by fighting in neighbouring Sudan, where the crude export pipeline is located.

“They (oil exporters) need to find new sources of growth, get more private sector investment – so working on reforms that will facilitate that is important,” Abebe said.

According to the IMF research, Sub-Saharan Africa’s economic growth is anticipated to improve marginally to 4.2% in the upcoming year.

Although Sub-Saharan Africa accounted for almost half of the world’s 20 fastest-growing economies this year, the research issued a warning that greater growth rates were necessary to combat pervasive poverty and inequality.

According to the IMF, as nations grapple with high debt loads and high debt servicing costs, one of the primary barriers to higher growth is a lack of access to inexpensive financing.

The fresh money was expensive, even though some nations were able to sell bonds on global capital markets this year after a two-year break brought on by geopolitical shocks and high interest rates in developed nations like the US.

“The old development finance architecture is not delivering, and, if anything, kind of is in the process of disintegrating,” Abebe said, citing “very problematic levels” of official bilateral funding for poor countries.

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Moroccan annual inflation rises to 0.8% in November

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Morocco’s statistics office has confirmed that the country’s annual inflation rate, as determined by the consumer price index, increased from 0.7% in October to 0.8% in November.

Monthly, consumer prices decreased by 0.2% from October.

The primary driver of inflation, food costs, grew by 0.8% compared to the previous year, while non-food inflation climbed by 0.7%. Core inflation, which does not include more erratic items like food, increased 2.6% annually and 0.2% monthly.

According to the central bank, inflation is expected to average 1% this year, down from 6.1% last year.

Despite the Al-Haouz earthquake, a spike in inflation, and worldwide economic challenges, Morocco’s GDP grew by 3.4% in 2023.

A recovery in tourism, robust industrial exports, and rising private consumption—all bolstered by prudent macroeconomic policies—were the main drivers of growth.

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Nigeria’s $42bn foreign reserves enough for 9 months’ imports— Central Bank

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According to Olayemi Cardoso, Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the nation’s $42.01 billion in foreign reserves can cover imports of goods and services for almost nine months.

Cardoso promised Nigerians improved economic fortunes in 2025 while addressing the Senate Committee on Banking, Insurance, and Other Financial Institutions yesterday in Abuja at the presentation of the performance index report.

Cardoso stated: “External Reserves rose from $ 38.35 billion it was on September 30, 2024, to $ 42.01 billion as of December 12, 2024”.

He clarified that third-party receipts in Q3 2024 and revenues from taxes connected to crude oil were the main drivers of the rise in foreign reserves during the specified time.

“We saw remarkable improvements in our trade balance and maintained a current account surplus,” he added.

“Our external reserves level can finance over 9.09 months of import of goods and services or 13.91 months only, higher than the international benchmark of 3.0 months and a robust buffer against shocks”.

On cash shortage, the CBN boss reiterated the N150 million fine against any branch of banks caught illegally distributing new Naira notes to currency hawkers and unscrupulous elements and said the Nigerian economy will improve in 2025 through policies and measures.

He predicted a stronger economic future: “Despite our economy’s challenges, there are clear reasons for optimism.

“The gradual stabilization of the forex market, ongoing banking sector recapitalization, and positive growth trends in key sectors, especially the services sector, indicate a path toward recovery and stability.”

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