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IMF expects Nigeria’s economy to meet 2024 grow target with stronger reforms

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says stronger reforms are needed for Nigeria to reach its goal of 3.1% economic growth in 2024.

 

The IMF’s Resident Representative, Dr Christian Ebeke, said this at the “Invest Nigeria” themed International Business Conference and Expo 2024 held by the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) on Tuesday in Lagos.

 

Ebeke said that the country needed more changes to its laws and rules about running a business to grow a little faster than the 2.9% rate seen in 2023.

 

He said that these kinds of measures would change the country’s growth rate into something more stable. But he did say that the country had made progress in its loan market, as well as in its financial and international areas.

 

“Insecurity, tight financial conditions, multiple taxes, insufficient power and corruption are foremost constraints identified by businesses.

 

“What comforts the IMF is that the Nigerian government can address these issues, and they are currently being addressed through reforms by the Federal Government.

 

“And we are encouraged by the fact that these issues can be reversed,” he said.

 

He said that Nigeria should close the structural gaps like India does by removing 25% of the problems with government and company rules.

 

In the next three years, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) could grow by 6.4% if that is done, according to him.

 

Adegboyega Oyetola, who is the Minister of Marine and Blue Economy, said that Nigeria’s location and wealth of resources made it a great place to invest, especially in the marine and blue economy fields. Even though there were problems, Oyetola said that the government was committed to making the right conditions for economic growth so that big capital would come in.

 

He talked about some of the ways the government is trying to get people to invest in the marine and blue economy sector. For example, businesses that operate in free trade zones don’t have to pay taxes, and they get help with building infrastructure.

 

He said that the government had given the marine sector new ways to sell through the African Continental Free Trade Area’s Guided Trade Initiative (GTI) and the Cabotage Vessel Financing Fund (CVFF), among other things.

 

“Our commitment to the marine and blue economy is demonstrated through ongoing port rehabilitation and modernisation projects. To boost investment, the Nigerian government has introduced a wide range of incentives, including tax reliefs, trade zone benefits, infrastructure development, and financial support. I encourage the business community and investors to take advantage of such incentives to contribute to Nigeria’s economic development and be part of Africa’s promising future,” he said.

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Ezz al-Arab appointed as Egypt’s CIB chairman

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Commercial International Bank (CIB), Egypt’s largest private bank, announced on Monday that long-time chairman and previous CEO Hisham Ezz al-Arab will become CEO.

Neveen Sabbour, a board member, will take over as chairman, according to a statement. Hussein Abaza, the outgoing CEO, will be replaced by Ezz al-Arab, who will hold the role for three years.

In Egypt, the market share held by traditional banks is expected to reach US$35.84 billion. As more clients choose online and mobile banking options, Egypt’s banking industry is seeing an increase in digital banking services.

The new appointments are part of “to lead the bank’s multifaceted business transformation and continue its programme to support recognised potential future leaders,” the announcement stated.

Ezz al-Arab, chairman and managing director since 2002, resigned in October 2020 due to “compliance concerns” from the national bank.

In August 2022, a year before his tenure expired, central bank governor Tarek Amer resigned due to a currency crisis. Ezz al-Arab was requested to rejoin as chairman in December.

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Nigerian inflation falls again, drops to 32.15% in August

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Nigeria’s August inflation rate declined for a second month to 32.15% from 33.40% in July, the statistics office reported on Monday. This comes after the month of July saw the first decrease in consumer inflation in Africa’s largest country in almost a year.

Analysts predict August’s slowdown may be short-lived after two gas price increases this month enraged citizens facing the worst cost-of-living crisis in a generation.

The removal of a decades-old gasoline subsidy, devaluation of the naira currency, and increase in energy costs by President Bola Tinubu have raised prices.

Reforms attempt to boost economic growth and public finances.

The central bank’s next interest rate decision next week may be influenced by inflation figures. The apex bank has hiked rates four times this year to curb inflation, and economists say July’s hike may be the last.

Further petrol price increases and northern flooding that swept away crops could raise food prices.

“On the whole, disinflation should continue with the headline rate falling below 30% by year-end, but upside risks remain,” Capital Economics Africa analyst David Omojomolo wrote.

He claimed rising petrol prices might “slow the pace of the disinflation process” and that the central bank would not drop rates until early next year.

Food inflation dropped from 39.53% to 37.52% in August. It remained the greatest inflation driver in August.

 

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