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Ethiopia to save $4.9 bln from debt restructuring— Minister

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According to State Finance Minister, Eyob Tekalign, Ethiopia will receive relief of $4.9 billion from its debt obligations after it completes a long-postponed restructuring. He expressed his optimism in signing agreements with creditor nations within the next few months.

Following its recent default on debt, the East African nation, which now ranks as the third largest economy on the continent, aims to resume its debt restructuring efforts. This objective has been facilitated by its recent agreement to a new financing package with the International Monetary Fund.

“We will sign and finalise with each individual (creditor) country over the next few months,” Eyob told Reuters, referring to the estimated savings to Ethiopia as a result of the restructuring.

According to figures from the finance ministry, the total external debt of the country was $28.38 billion in March of this year.

In a televised speech on Thursday, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed clarified the recent economic reforms and stated that the anticipated savings would encompass $200 million resulting from the restructuring of the $1 billion Eurobond.

Abiy justified the recent transition to a market-based foreign exchange rate, asserting that its purpose is to narrow the disparity between the official and black market values and that it does not constitute a currency depreciation.

The central bank has implemented a policy where the birr currency is now permitted to fluctuate without any restrictions, meeting an important requirement to obtain financial assistance from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Subsequently, the birr has depreciated by at least 31.5% versus the dollar, currently trading at 83.94 per greenback, according to the Commercial Bank of Ethiopia, the country’s largest lender. This has raised concerns among economic analysts and pundits about the possibility of a significant increase in inflation.

“There were two markets. One is 100 and the other is 50. So when the gap between the two became wide, it brought many dangers. So what we said, (the two) should be unified,” Abiy said, chiding banks for failing to unify the two rates swiftly.

“I believe your approach is not correct. The rate you are currently posting does not ensure unification,” he told bank executives who were present when he spoke.

Following Abiy’s remarks, banks adjusted the exchange rates for the birr, resulting in a decline. Some banks are now quoting the exchange rate at 90 birr per dollar, which is closer to the prevailing black market rate of 118 birr per dollar.

Although the removal of foreign exchange trading limitations enabled Ethiopia to secure the IMF deal and money from other creditors such as the World Bank, authorities have taken action due to concerns over the policy’s inflationary effects on low-income households.

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Ezz al-Arab appointed as Egypt’s CIB chairman

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Commercial International Bank (CIB), Egypt’s largest private bank, announced on Monday that long-time chairman and previous CEO Hisham Ezz al-Arab will become CEO.

Neveen Sabbour, a board member, will take over as chairman, according to a statement. Hussein Abaza, the outgoing CEO, will be replaced by Ezz al-Arab, who will hold the role for three years.

In Egypt, the market share held by traditional banks is expected to reach US$35.84 billion. As more clients choose online and mobile banking options, Egypt’s banking industry is seeing an increase in digital banking services.

The new appointments are part of “to lead the bank’s multifaceted business transformation and continue its programme to support recognised potential future leaders,” the announcement stated.

Ezz al-Arab, chairman and managing director since 2002, resigned in October 2020 due to “compliance concerns” from the national bank.

In August 2022, a year before his tenure expired, central bank governor Tarek Amer resigned due to a currency crisis. Ezz al-Arab was requested to rejoin as chairman in December.

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Nigerian inflation falls again, drops to 32.15% in August

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Nigeria’s August inflation rate declined for a second month to 32.15% from 33.40% in July, the statistics office reported on Monday. This comes after the month of July saw the first decrease in consumer inflation in Africa’s largest country in almost a year.

Analysts predict August’s slowdown may be short-lived after two gas price increases this month enraged citizens facing the worst cost-of-living crisis in a generation.

The removal of a decades-old gasoline subsidy, devaluation of the naira currency, and increase in energy costs by President Bola Tinubu have raised prices.

Reforms attempt to boost economic growth and public finances.

The central bank’s next interest rate decision next week may be influenced by inflation figures. The apex bank has hiked rates four times this year to curb inflation, and economists say July’s hike may be the last.

Further petrol price increases and northern flooding that swept away crops could raise food prices.

“On the whole, disinflation should continue with the headline rate falling below 30% by year-end, but upside risks remain,” Capital Economics Africa analyst David Omojomolo wrote.

He claimed rising petrol prices might “slow the pace of the disinflation process” and that the central bank would not drop rates until early next year.

Food inflation dropped from 39.53% to 37.52% in August. It remained the greatest inflation driver in August.

 

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