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Demand for Namibian assets surges following more oil discoveries

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Interest in Namibian assets has surged since more crude oil reserves were discovered there; as a result, an index fund that tracks local government bonds is about to see its largest annual increase ever.

On both the Namibian Stock Exchange and in South Africa, there is an exchange-traded fund that tracks local government bonds. Its value has gone up over 20% in U.S. dollars since Galp, based in Portugal, found out in April that the Mopane field could hold at least 10 billion barrels of oil.

There have been at least 12 other big oil companies interested since then.

With a return of almost 12% in U.S. dollars, the fund is on track for its best year ever. An ETF that follows the closely watched JPMorgan developing markets bonds index has gained 3.6% so far this year.

Since the finding, yields on local sovereign bonds have dropped even more. Since April, yields on bonds due in 2037 have dropped about 150 basis points, and yields on papers due in 2050 have dropped around 200 basis points.

“Most of the bonds issued are held by Namibian pension funds, but we are seeing some foreign buying now. We have seen massive yield compression … since the oil discoveries were first announced,” said Rowland Brown, co-founder of Cirrus Capital based in Windhoek.

Brown also said that Namibian government bonds were still settled on paper, so foreign investors were looking to the ETF to get more invested in the resource-rich country.

Major international energy companies are interested in the southwest African country because of several big finds along its coast in the past few years, even though the country hasn’t produced any oil or gas yet. Topaz Energy and Shell say they plan to start producing in 2029 or 2030.

The local stock market index has grown by more than 19% so far this year in U.S. dollars, while MSCI’s index of developing markets stocks has only grown by 7.5%.

The Namibian dollar has gotten stronger against the US dollar by 4.5% this year, ending a four-year losing run. Since December 2019, LSEG data shows that total central bank reserves have gone up by nearly $1 billion.

People will be interested in any changes to Namibia’s economic policy after the end-of-the-year presidential election. This is because the country has a lot of economic promise after finding oil.

 

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Nigeria’s ARN Foods partners Canada’s AGI Miltec for rice milling plants

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One of Nigeria’s commodities trading organisations, A.R.N Foods, is making the move into rice milling and production. To process high-quality rice and increase food security in Nigeria, AGI Miltec, a global provider of grain processing solutions, has teamed up with A.R.N Foods.

Adelota Nola, the founder and CEO of ARN Foods, stated during the contract signing ceremony in Lagos on Friday, that his firm will use AGI Milltec’s cutting-edge solutions to process high-quality rice for the Nigerian market as part of their partnership.

Stressing that the collaboration is a team of experts to drive food sustainability and maximize the agricultural value chain which has remained under-explored in Africa. According to Nola, A.R.N. is taking the lead in finding a solution to the shortage of rice which has proven to be the world’s largest staple in demand.

Also in attendance was the Executive Director at Providus Bank, Mr Adeoye, the Chief Executive Officer of Parallex Bank- Olufemi Bakare, Executives from Lotus Bank, Media mogul Chief Dele Momodu and other top executives, partners and stakeholders.

“The deficit is very large. We can only start from somewhere. If we sleep and say the problems are so much and there is nothing we can do about it, then we will all just continue to sleep. But if we say we can do a little by taking the first step to solving the problem like we are doing today, then someone from somewhere can emulate what we are doing.

“If 100 people try to solve the problem, one day the problem will be solved. We have taken the first step to solving the rice deficit problem in Nigeria,” he said.

Vincent Joseph, the Business Development Manager for AGI in Nigeria, discussed the company’s history and experience that made it suitable for ARN’s ambitious goals. The company has over thirty years of experience operating throughout continents and Africa, and it has constructed over ten mill plants in Nigeria.

“The rice quality we see today is due to two reasons. One is the quality of paddy itself and the second comes from the way it is processed. There are still people over here that are using traditional methodology for processing and the quality of that will not be so good.

“We have 25 years’ experience in the rice milling sector. In Nigeria, we are not new. We know the quality of paddy and the requirements. We would like to bring the same quality to Nigeria. This one has been specifically designed for the Nigerian market and we already know the benchmark that Nola is looking for,” he said.

According to Joseph, the collaboration between the two companies would be smooth because A.R.N. Foods already has backward integration and is processing its rice paddies as the next natural step. He emphasised the solid engineering and financial foundation of AGI Milltec.

He also emphasized that the construction of the mill will be according to the acceptable standards from its parent country – Canada, thus issues around managing emissions from the mill plant will not arise.

Currently, Nigeria produces more rice than any other country in West Africa. The nation consumes more rice than any other country in the region in absolute terms because of its massive population. The average national production of milled rice is 3.3 million tonnes, compared to an anticipated 5.2 million tonnes of yearly consumption. But post-harvest loss remains one of the biggest challenges in the rice farming space, with private investment like ARN geared towards the space, it is yet to be seen if local rice production can become sufficient, and become export goods in the global highly competitive market.

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Zimbabwe looks to private companies to increase rail freight volumes

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To increase freight volumes that had fallen as a result of decades of underinvestment, Zimbabwe’s state-owned railway operator has opened up its network to private operators, including a division of South Africa’s Grindrod, an official said.

At its height in the 1990s, Zimbabwe’s National Railways handled 12 million tonnes of cargo annually; today, however, due to a shortage of locomotives and inadequate maintenance of its rail system, it handles less than 3 million tonnes.

In addition, the collapse came after a precipitous fall in mineral and agricultural production brought on by the violent takeover of white-owned farms in 2000, which was supported by Robert Mugabe, the former leader of Zimbabwe.

Nonetheless, China’s desire for lithium and chrome is the primary driver of the recovery in mineral output.

Recent years have seen the establishment of iron ore, steel, chrome, and lithium enterprises in Zimbabwe by Chinese corporations including Tsingshan Holdings, Sinosteel, Sinomine, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, and Chengxin Lithium.

Through Mozambique’s ports, they export minerals to China, and the NRZ’s present capability isn’t keeping up with the expanding volume of commodities being exported. With the help of private businesses, the state-owned organisation is currently trying to increase its capacity.

“Last year we uplifted 2.8 million tons against the available business of 3 million tons,” NRZ spokesperson Andrew Kunambura told Reuters in an interview on Wednesday.

“So these private companies are coming in with their locomotives and wagons to augment what we have.”

As part of the agreement, Grindrod has deployed three locomotives and 150 waggons through its Zimbabwean subsidiary, Beitbridge Bulawayo Railway, since March.

The logistics company based in South Africa is preparing for goods train partnerships in the region as underfunded state-owned operators allow private players to access its deteriorating networks.

The mineral-rich country is seeing an increase in new mining operations that need more rail capacity. It also contains some of the largest resources of copper and lithium in the world, which are needed for renewable energy.

To capitalise on the growing market potential in the area, Grindrod has reorganised its rail division, CEO Xolani Mbambo informed analysts last week. The DRC’s inland railway business and Transnet, a South African corporation that also intends to open up its network to private operators, are potential partners for the company. Recently, the company reached an agreement to cooperate with Transnet.

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