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Concerned about inflation, Ethiopia’s PM supports currency float

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Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed of Ethiopia has defended this week’s move to a foreign exchange rate set by the market, claiming that it was not a devaluation of the birr currency but rather an attempt to reduce the difference between official and black market rates.

To get financial backing from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and other creditors, and to restart the country’s long-delayed debt restructuring deal, the central bank on Monday enabled the birr to float freely.

On Friday, the largest lender in the nation, Commercial Bank of Ethiopia, reported that the birr had since dropped 31.5% versus the dollar, trading at 83.94 per greenback. Several economists and journalists have expressed fear that inflation may spike as a result.

“Saying Ethiopia has devalued its currency is wrong,” Abiy said in a televised briefing late on Thursday to explain the new policy.

“There were two markets. One is 100 and the other is 50. So when the gap between the two became wide, it brought many dangers. So what we said (the two) should be unified,” he said.

While removing foreign exchange trading limitations assisted Ethiopia in securing funds from the World Bank and the IMF, worries about the policy’s potential to drive up costs for low-income consumers have prompted at least two local governments to take action against businesses that raise prices.

According to the government and its creditors, liberalization will increase long-term growth and allow the private sector to contribute more to the economy.

Shortly after the currency was floating, Ethiopia received a $3.4 billion loan from the IMF. According to a senior official in the finance ministry, this would allow Ethiopia to finish restructuring its debt over the next three to six months.

Not long after, the World Bank authorized $1.5 billion in funding for Ethiopia’s first-ever budget support loan. According to Abiy, the restructuring of its $1 billion Eurobond would save $200 million thanks to the new financing.

 

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Ezz al-Arab appointed as Egypt’s CIB chairman

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Commercial International Bank (CIB), Egypt’s largest private bank, announced on Monday that long-time chairman and previous CEO Hisham Ezz al-Arab will become CEO.

Neveen Sabbour, a board member, will take over as chairman, according to a statement. Hussein Abaza, the outgoing CEO, will be replaced by Ezz al-Arab, who will hold the role for three years.

In Egypt, the market share held by traditional banks is expected to reach US$35.84 billion. As more clients choose online and mobile banking options, Egypt’s banking industry is seeing an increase in digital banking services.

The new appointments are part of “to lead the bank’s multifaceted business transformation and continue its programme to support recognised potential future leaders,” the announcement stated.

Ezz al-Arab, chairman and managing director since 2002, resigned in October 2020 due to “compliance concerns” from the national bank.

In August 2022, a year before his tenure expired, central bank governor Tarek Amer resigned due to a currency crisis. Ezz al-Arab was requested to rejoin as chairman in December.

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Nigerian inflation falls again, drops to 32.15% in August

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Nigeria’s August inflation rate declined for a second month to 32.15% from 33.40% in July, the statistics office reported on Monday. This comes after the month of July saw the first decrease in consumer inflation in Africa’s largest country in almost a year.

Analysts predict August’s slowdown may be short-lived after two gas price increases this month enraged citizens facing the worst cost-of-living crisis in a generation.

The removal of a decades-old gasoline subsidy, devaluation of the naira currency, and increase in energy costs by President Bola Tinubu have raised prices.

Reforms attempt to boost economic growth and public finances.

The central bank’s next interest rate decision next week may be influenced by inflation figures. The apex bank has hiked rates four times this year to curb inflation, and economists say July’s hike may be the last.

Further petrol price increases and northern flooding that swept away crops could raise food prices.

“On the whole, disinflation should continue with the headline rate falling below 30% by year-end, but upside risks remain,” Capital Economics Africa analyst David Omojomolo wrote.

He claimed rising petrol prices might “slow the pace of the disinflation process” and that the central bank would not drop rates until early next year.

Food inflation dropped from 39.53% to 37.52% in August. It remained the greatest inflation driver in August.

 

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