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IMF requests more changes as it approves release of $820 million to Egypt

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has announced that it has finished a review and that Egypt may now take out $820 million. It added that efforts to bring macroeconomic stability back were beginning to bear fruit but called for further progress in reining in state-owned businesses.

This assessment is the third conducted as part of Egypt’s most recent 46-month IMF loan term, which was approved in 2022 and increased to $8 billion this year in response to an economic crisis characterized by severe shortages of foreign currency and soaring inflation.

The IMF stated on Monday that Egypt’s switch to a flexible currency rate regime is still “a cornerstone of the authorities’ program.” Egypt claims to have made this change.

“Inflationary pressures are gradually abating, foreign exchange shortages have been eliminated, and fiscal targets (including related to spending by large infrastructure projects) were met,” an IMF statement said.

“While there has been progress on some critical structural reforms, greater efforts are needed to implement the State Ownership Policy (SOP),” it added.

The Fund urged Egypt to expedite its plan to sell off state-owned businesses and implement changes to stop them from engaging in unfair business practices.

It further stated that Egypt needed to control the budgetary risks associated with the energy sector since daily power outages have been caused by declining natural gas production since last year.

“Restoring energy prices to their cost recovery levels, including retail fuel prices by December 2025, is essential to supporting the smooth provision of energy to the population and reducing imbalances in the sector,” the IMF quoted its Deputy Managing Director Antoinette M. Sayeh as saying.

Egypt increased the price of domestic fuel by as much as 15% in advance of the IMF assessment, which was rescheduled from July 10.

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Nigeria’s Dangote Refinery exports first fuel to Cameroon

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The Dangote Refinery in Nigeria said on Wednesday that it had exported its first petrol to Cameroon, marking a significant milestone that may help stabilise gasoline costs throughout the region and open the door for regional energy integration.

When fully operational, Nigerian billionaire Aliko Dangote’s 650,000-barrel refinery in Lagos is intended to alter the trade of refined products in the Atlantic basin and compete with refineries in Europe.

According to a statement by Neptune Oil, an energy company based in Cameroon, both businesses were looking into new projects to create a dependable supply chain that would assist in stabilising fuel costs and opportunities throughout the area.

According to Neptune Oil, there were no middlemen involved in the petrol delivery deal.

It is anticipated that the refinery’s operations will spur growth in the upstream, midstream, and downstream sectors, increasing investments in cement manufacture, plastic and rubber production, chemical and pharmaceutical goods, and oil refining.

 

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Egypt’s November inflation drops to 25.5%, near 2-year low

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According to figures released Tuesday by statistics agency CAPMAS, Egypt’s annual urban consumer price inflation rate fell more than anticipated to 25.5% in November, the lowest level since December 2022.

Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which caused international investors to pull billions of dollars out of Egyptian treasury markets, inflation started to rise sharply in early 2022.

In September 2023, headline inflation reached a record high of 38.0%. It dropped to 26.5% by October 2024.

In a Reuters survey last month, 15 economists’ consensus prediction was for annual inflation to gradually decline to 26.4%.

According to CAPMAS statistics, headline inflation decreased from 1.1% in October to 0.5% in November every month.

Compared to October, when they fell 1.1%, food costs fell 2.8% over the month, making them 23.3% more than they were a year ago.

An increase in the money supply has been a major contributor to inflation. According to central bank data, Egypt’s M2 money supply increased by 29.54% in October compared to the same month last year.

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