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Sources reveal Ghana, bondholders reach agreement for $13bn debt restructuring

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Following a deal struck with official creditors earlier this month, Ghana has secured an agreement in principle with its bondholders for the restructuring of $13 billion in foreign debt, according to three sources quoted by Reuters.

According to two of the sources, bondholders will get a haircut on the principal of up to 37% as part of the transaction, and the bonds’ term will be extended. Under the weight of the COVID-19 pandemic, the conflict in Ukraine, rising global interest rates, and soaring debt, the West African country that produced gold and cocoa went into default on the majority of its $30 billion in foreign debt in 2022.

Ghana, like Zambia, enrolled in the G20 Common Framework’s debt treatment program. This program’s objectives are to speed up debt restructurings and include China, the newest significant bilateral lender, in the process. After Zambia, the first African nation to default during the pandemic became the first copper producer in southern Africa, its bondholders approved the restructuring earlier this month.

“Things are pretty close” for Ghana. A source who wished to remain anonymous stated, “We can anticipate an announcement by next week, as they were not authorized to speak to the media.”

According to the other two sources, the news might be released as early as this Friday. Due to the late hour, it was not possible to quickly reach the Paris Club, an alliance of creditor nations, or Ghana’s finance ministry for comment.

In mid-March, Ghana initiated formal negotiations with two groups of bondholders: one comprising regional African banks and another of Western asset managers and hedge funds.

However, the proposed agreement did not satisfy the requirements of the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) debt sustainability analysis, causing the negotiations to break down in April and forcing both parties to reorganize to come up with a workable solution.

According to the three individuals, the agreement in principle was reached because it later aligned with an updated IMF debt framework on Ghana that was previously disclosed to bondholders.

The second-largest cocoa producer in the world signed an agreement with its official creditor committee earlier this month to formalize a debt restructuring agreement that was negotiated in January.

The agreement’s broad contours made it possible for the IMF executive board to convene on June 28 in Ghana to discuss a second assessment of the country’s $3 billion loan, a three-year package, and the release of the subsequent $360 million tranche.

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Nigeria: Marketers predict further price cut as another refinery begins operations

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Oil marketers and the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority expect refined petroleum product prices to reduce as another public refinery in Warri begins operations.

The marketers made the prediction when the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited launched the 125,000-barrel-per-day Delta State WRPC. NNPCL also wants to export locally refined goods for foreign cash. Last month, the 60,000-barrel-per-day Port Harcourt Refinery in Rivers State began operations.

During an inspection tour of the facility on Monday, the NNPCL Group Chief Executive Officer, Mele Kyari, explained that the inspection aimed to show Nigerians the level of work completed so far.

During a tour with NMDPRA CEO Farouk Ahmed and NNPC Board Chairman Pius Akinyelure, Kyari said that while facility repairs were not yet 100% complete, refining operations had begun and would produce straight-run kerosene, diesel and naphtha.

In a statement commemorating the milestone, President Bola Tinubu stated the plant is functioning at 60% or 75,000 barrels per day.

Kyari said, “We are taking you through our plant. This plant is running. Although it is not 100 per cent complete, we are still in the process. Many people think these things are not real. They think real things are not possible in this country. We want you to see that this is real.”

Since some of these goods would be shipped to foreign markets, he said, the reopening of the Warri refinery will help the country become a net exporter of petroleum products.

“Secondly, this plant had three stages; we have started plant one, which we call Area One. It can produce AGO (diesel), kerosene, naphtha, and a blend of crude oil. These are high-grade quality products required in the country, and we may need to export them. So this will give us cash, this company will make money and the promise of Mr President that this country must be a net exporter of petroleum products is already happening. Some of these products will go into the international market.

“Most importantly, I must put on record that Mr President believes that we can get this to work and get them to start and gave us the charge that we must start all three refineries. It’s already happening; we have started the 60,000 barrels per day refinery, and Area One of the Warri refinery is already working. Other plants that would produce PMS are being streamed and they would also come alive.

Mustapha Zarma, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria’s National Operations Controller, stated that the rivalry in the downstream oil industry will become more fierce.

There will undoubtedly be a further decrease in pricing if the plant begins producing goods in bulk, he stated. This is because the market will ultimately be influenced by market forces and there will be fierce rivalry.

Until recently, none of Nigeria’s publicly owned refineries has worked to capacity for years, despite several investments to revive them. The failure of the government to revive them contributed to the high level of national anticipation surrounding the Dangote refinery whose operations appear to have revolutionalised the industry.

The refinery will concentrate on manufacturing and storing essential goods, such as heavy and light naphtha, automotive petrol oil and straight-run kerosene.

The country’s first fully owned refinery, the WRPC, was put into service in 1978 and is situated in Warri, Delta State, Nigeria. It was first built to process 100,000 barrels of crude oil a day, but in 1987 it was updated to process 125,000 barrels.

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Kenya: Consumer inflation rises to 3.0% from 2.8%

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Kenya’s statistics agency said on Tuesday that Kenya’s consumer price inflation increased slightly to 3.0% year-over-year in December from 2.8% the previous month.

According to a release from the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics, monthly inflation was 0.6%, down from 0.3% in November. Kenya aims to have a medium-term inflation rate of 2.5% to 7.5%.

With inflation under control, Kenya’s central bank said there was an opportunity for looser policy to assist economic development, lowering its benchmark lending rate by a larger-than-expected 75 basis points to 11.25% on December 5.

 

Kenya’s GDP expanded by 5.2% in 2023, up from 4.8% in 2022, thanks to a recovery in agriculture and a modest increase in services. Household consumption accounted for 70% of the growth on the demand side, while services and agriculture accounted for 69% and 23% of the growth, respectively, on the supply side.

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